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Insulet (PODD)
NASDAQ:PODD

Insulet (PODD) AI Stock Analysis

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Insulet

(NASDAQ:PODD)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$363.00
▲(19.16%Upside)
Insulet Corporation demonstrates strong financial performance and growth potential, supported by robust revenue and margin improvements. While technical and valuation indicators suggest caution, strategic leadership changes and positive earnings guidance bolster confidence in future growth. The stock is well-positioned in its industry but requires careful monitoring of valuation metrics.
Positive Factors
Leadership
The addition of Ashley McEvoy to the management team should be viewed as a positive, contributing to the company's strength.
Product Differentiation
PODD is viewed as a top idea for robust growth driven by product differentiation and new indications.
Sales Performance
Insulet reported first-quarter results that handily exceeded expectations, with sales of $569 million, which beat estimates.
Negative Factors
Growth Challenges
While new indications and integrations are promising, they also present challenges in maintaining growth momentum.
Market Competition
PODD's premium trading price reflects its durable competitive edge, but this may also indicate intense market competition.
Market Expectations
Although Insulet's results exceeded expectations, the high growth rate sets a challenging benchmark for future performance.

Insulet (PODD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Insulet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInsulet Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells insulin delivery systems for people with insulin-dependent diabetes. It offers Omnipod System, a self-adhesive disposable tubeless Omnipod device that is worn on the body for up to three days at a time, as well as its wireless companion, the handheld personal diabetes manager. The company sells its products primarily through independent distributors and pharmacy channels, as well as directly in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, and Australia. Insulet Corporation was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Acton, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyInsulet makes money through the sale of its Omnipod Insulin Management System, which includes both the wearable pods and the associated Personal Diabetes Manager (PDM). The company generates revenue primarily from the sale of these consumable pods, which need to be replaced every few days, creating a recurring revenue model. Additionally, Insulet may earn revenue from partnerships and collaborations with healthcare providers, insurance companies, and other stakeholders in the diabetes management ecosystem. The company's earnings are also influenced by its ability to expand its customer base, market its products effectively, and innovate within the insulin delivery space.

Insulet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant revenue and gross margin growth. The company's expansion into the type 2 diabetes market and international markets is progressing well. While there are some challenges related to tariffs and increased interest expenses, these are being effectively managed. Overall, the company's positive achievements and strategic growth plans outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total company revenue for Q1 2025 was $569 million, growing by 30% year-over-year. This was driven by Omnipod growth of 29%.
Impressive Gross Margin
Gross margin reached 71.9%, up 240 basis points from the previous year, driven by improved manufacturing and supply chain efficiencies.
Increased Guidance for 2025
Total Omnipod revenue growth guidance for 2025 was raised to 20% to 23%, with total company revenue growth guidance now at 19% to 22%.
Expansion in Type 2 Diabetes Market
Over 30% of U.S. new customer starts were type 2, showcasing the company's success in expanding into the type 2 diabetes market.
International Market Success
International revenue grew 36%, driven by Omnipod 5 launches in new markets such as Canada and Switzerland.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs
The company anticipates a 50 basis point impact on gross margin due to tariffs, primarily related to production in China.
Debt and Interest Expense
Net interest expense for 2025 is expected to be approximately $30 million higher due to recent debt transactions and interest rate swaps.
Company Guidance
During Insulet Corporation's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a robust performance, showcasing a 30% year-over-year growth in total company revenue, which reached $569 million. This impressive growth was driven by a 29% increase in total Omnipod revenue. The company also achieved a gross margin of 71.9% and an adjusted operating margin of 16.4%. Insulet raised its guidance for the full year, now expecting total Omnipod revenue growth between 20% and 23%, with U.S. Omnipod revenue projected to rise by 18% to 21% and international Omnipod revenue by 27% to 30%. The guidance reflects strong demand for Omnipod 5, particularly in type 2 diabetes and international markets. Additionally, Insulet increased its full-year gross margin guidance to approximately 71%, even after accounting for an estimated 50 basis point impact from tariffs.

Insulet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Insulet's financial performance is strong, with notable revenue growth and robust gross profit margins. The balance sheet is solid with low financial leverage and high return on equity. Cash flow management is efficient, with positive free cash flow, though there is room for further optimization.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Insulet has demonstrated strong revenue growth, particularly noticeable in its TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) performance with a significant increase over previous years. The gross profit margin is robust at approximately 76.5%, indicating efficient production management. The net profit margin and EBIT margin have also improved, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and profitability. However, compared to some industry peers, there is scope for further improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.06, indicating low financial leverage and risk. Insulet's return on equity (ROE) is impressive at approximately 30.22%, showcasing strong shareholder returns. The equity ratio is about 37.8%, affirming a stable financial structure, although there is room to enhance asset utilization.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Insulet's cash flow management is commendable with positive free cash flow and a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow growth is stable, contributing to financial flexibility. However, there is potential to optimize capital expenditures further to enhance free cash flow generation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.03B2.07B1.70B1.31B1.10B904.40M
Gross Profit
1.55B1.45B1.16B805.60M752.10M582.30M
EBIT
340.80M308.90M220.00M-26.70M66.70M-600.00K
EBITDA
428.10M423.70M323.60M109.50M139.60M110.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
402.20M418.30M206.30M4.60M16.80M6.80M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.28B953.40M704.20M674.70M791.60M947.60M
Total Assets
3.52B3.09B2.59B2.25B2.05B1.87B
Total Debt
83.10M1.39B1.42B1.40B1.25B1.04B
Net Debt
-1.20B438.70M711.60M727.10M457.20M96.10M
Total Liabilities
2.19B1.88B1.86B1.77B1.49B1.27B
Stockholders Equity
1.33B1.21B732.70M476.40M556.30M603.60M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
290.90M305.40M36.50M-38.30M-190.80M-82.50M
Operating Cash Flow
406.50M430.30M145.70M119.00M-68.10M84.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-137.90M-146.20M-119.40M-191.10M-82.70M14.00M
Financing Cash Flow
263.80M-28.10M-13.60M-40.30M40.70M605.50M

Insulet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price304.63
Price Trends
50DMA
285.68
Positive
100DMA
278.31
Positive
200DMA
262.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.70
Positive
RSI
49.22
Neutral
STOCH
26.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PODD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 304.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 317.76, above the 50-day MA of 285.68, and above the 200-day MA of 262.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PODD.

Insulet Risk Analysis

Insulet disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Insulet reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Insulet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$32.15B61.5523.72%9.11%-17.87%
SNSNN
80
Outperform
$12.98B31.147.82%3.14%4.58%55.99%
STSTE
80
Outperform
$23.74B38.039.46%0.94%0.32%64.36%
76
Outperform
$21.44B54.8237.92%23.49%71.25%
54
Neutral
$5.37B3.26-45.10%3.30%16.81%0.02%
PHPHG
50
Neutral
$21.92B-7.10%3.89%-0.76%-55.03%
50
Neutral
$1.38B-92.31%27.65%-28.22%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PODD
Insulet
304.63
106.23
53.54%
DXCM
Dexcom
81.99
-34.54
-29.64%
PHG
Koninklijke Philips
22.75
-2.07
-8.34%
SNN
Smith & Nephew Snats
29.39
4.96
20.30%
STE
Steris
241.34
27.36
12.79%
TNDM
Tandem Diabetes Care
20.76
-22.24
-51.72%

Insulet Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Insulet Issues Redemption Notice for Convertible Notes
Neutral
Jun 9, 2025

On June 6, 2025, Insulet Corporation amended its Credit Agreement to refinance $481.25 million in term loans, reducing the interest rate margin and maintaining similar terms to the previous loans. Additionally, Insulet issued a redemption notice on June 9, 2025, for its outstanding Convertible Senior Notes due 2026, with plans to redeem them by August 20, 2025, potentially impacting stock transactions as hedge positions are unwound.

The most recent analyst rating on (PODD) stock is a Buy with a $380.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insulet stock, see the PODD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Insulet Corporation Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 28, 2025

Insulet Corporation held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 22, 2025, where shareholders elected three Class III directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Additionally, the Insulet Corporation 2025 Stock Option and Incentive Plan was approved, indicating continued shareholder support for the company’s strategic initiatives and governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (PODD) stock is a Hold with a $185.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Insulet stock, see the PODD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Insulet Appoints Ashley McEvoy as New CEO
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Insulet Corporation announced the appointment of Ashley McEvoy as President and CEO, succeeding Jim Hollingshead. This leadership change is expected to further the company’s success, as McEvoy brings extensive experience in healthcare leadership and innovation. Under Hollingshead’s tenure, Insulet achieved market leadership in diabetes care with the launch of the Omnipod 5. The company also announced it expects to exceed its first-quarter revenue guidance and plans to raise its full-year 2025 guidance, indicating strong financial performance and growth potential. The planned Investor Day has been postponed due to the CEO transition.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Insulet Closes $450 Million Senior Notes Issuance
Neutral
Mar 21, 2025

On March 20, 2025, Insulet Corporation closed its issuance and sale of $450 million in 6.50% Senior Notes due 2033, with net proceeds expected to be approximately $444 million. Additionally, Insulet entered into a Seventh Amendment to its Credit Agreement, extending the maturity of revolving credit commitments to March 20, 2030, and increasing the commitments to $500 million. The company also engaged in Note Repurchase Transactions, repurchasing $419 million of its Convertible Senior Notes due 2026, which will impact its outstanding debt and potentially influence stock market activities.

Private Placements and Financing
Insulet Announces Pricing of $450 Million Senior Notes
Neutral
Mar 18, 2025

On March 18, 2025, Insulet Corporation announced the pricing of $450 million in senior unsecured notes due 2033, with an annual interest rate of 6.50%. The proceeds, estimated at $444.4 million, will be used to finance the redemption of existing convertible senior notes, cover offering-related expenses, and for general corporate purposes. The private placement is expected to close on March 20, 2025, and the notes are offered to qualified institutional buyers and non-U.S. persons under specific regulations.

Private Placements and Financing
Insulet Announces $450M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Mar 18, 2025

On March 18, 2025, Insulet Corporation announced a proposed offering of $450 million in senior unsecured notes due 2033, intended to finance the redemption of its existing Convertible Senior Notes due 2026, cover related expenses, and for general corporate purposes. Additionally, Insulet plans to amend its Credit Agreement to extend the maturity of its revolving credit facility to 2030 and increase commitments by $200 million. These financial maneuvers aim to strengthen Insulet’s financial position, though they are subject to market conditions and may not proceed as planned.

Executive/Board Changes
Insulet CTO Mark Field Departs for New Opportunities
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

Mark Field, the Senior Vice President and Chief Technology Officer of Insulet Corporation, has left the company as of March 14, 2025, to pursue other opportunities. Amit Guliani, currently the Group Vice President of Software Engineering, will temporarily assume the role of acting Chief Technology Officer while the company searches for a permanent replacement. Insulet plans to enter into a Consulting Agreement with Mr. Field to ensure a smooth transition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.