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AmRest Holdings SE (EAT) AI Stock Analysis

PL:EAT

AmRest Holdings SE

(Warsaw:EAT)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:PLN 15.50▲(63.16% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:09/16/25

AmRest's score is anchored by steady operational improvement and growing digital engagement, but remains limited by persistent balance sheet risk and thin profitability. Positive trends in key markets drive the outlook, yet weak technical signals, subdued valuation metrics, and geographic headwinds prevent a higher score.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthConsistent revenue growth indicates expanding market presence and effective brand management, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
High LeverageSignificant leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns, impacting long-term financial health.

AmRest Holdings SE (EAT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%PL:EAT-30.95%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
PLN 1.83B
Dividend Yield
3.12%
Average Volume (3M)
37.84K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
104.3
Beta (1Y)
0.54
Revenue Growth
-2.73%
EPS Growth
-86.87%
Country
PL
Employees
44,000
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

AmRest Holdings SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

AmRest Holdings SE is a restaurant operator and manager, overseeing a wide array of dining concepts including quick service, fast casual, coffee shops, and casual dining establishments. Its operations span across Central and Eastern Europe, Western E...

How the Company Makes Money

AmRest generates revenue primarily through the operation of its restaurant locations, which includes both company-owned and franchised outlets. The company earns money by selling food and beverages directly to customers at these locations. Additional...

AmRest Holdings SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-13.64%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The call presented a mixed picture. AmRest reported materially improved free cash flow, lower investment intensity, reduced net debt, enhanced financing flexibility, continued restaurant openings, and resilience in several core markets and brands. However, revenue was broadly flat or slightly down, EBITDA and margins declined, comparable sales remained below the prior year, Czechia and Romania continued to face challenges, China profitability weakened, and full-year 2026 growth expectations were reduced from single-digit growth to slightly positive growth. The positive cash generation and balance-sheet developments were significant, but the operating performance and outlook remained uneven.

Positive Updates

Improved Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow improved from EUR -26.2 million in the first half of 2025 to EUR +25.6 million in the first half of 2026, a year-on-year improvement of almost EUR 52 million. Management attributed the improvement to stronger working capital discipline, better cash conversion, and disciplined CapEx.

Negative Updates

First-Half Revenue and EBITDA Margin Decline
First-half revenue excluding the effect of the prior-year business deconsolidation declined 0.7% year over year. EBITDA was EUR 177.7 million with a 14.4% margin, compared with a 15% margin in the first half of 2025.

Company Guidance

For the remainder of 2026, AmRest now expects revenue and profitability growth to be “slightly positive rather than growing at a single-digit rate,” versus its prior expectation of “single-digit growth” in both revenue and profitability; it expects to open three Taco Bell restaurants in Poland “before year-end” and “a higher number next year,” while the timing of Czech market recovery is “difficult to tell,” Romania’s cycle is expected to “end soon,” and in the short term it does not expect “any affectations” from food-cost pressures, although expectations for next year could put “some pressure” on costs if the conflict in the Middle East continues.

AmRest Holdings SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary

AmRest Holdings SE shows moderate revenue growth (+10.8% TTM) and improving operating margins, but continues to operate with thin net profitability (1.3%) and high leverage (debt-to-equity 4.35). Cash flow generation is healthy and improving, but overall risk remains elevated due to the weak balance sheet.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

72Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.52B2.57B2.56B2.43B2.42B1.92B
Gross Profit269.62M297.42M323.10M308.20M269.00M212.90M
EBITDA379.43M394.96M377.70M355.00M353.00M335.60M
Net Income4.69M16.17M8.50M44.90M6.60M32.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.35B2.55B2.37B2.35B2.28B2.17B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments161.87M145.69M139.60M227.50M229.60M198.70M
Total Debt1.61B1.62B1.59B1.51B1.53B1.49B
Total Liabilities1.98B2.17B1.98B1.95B1.95B1.87B
Stockholders Equity364.69M371.63M372.60M385.40M320.10M298.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow248.65M189.64M192.70M173.40M224.50M258.80M
Operating Cash Flow378.25M343.12M408.50M370.50M362.50M356.90M
Investing Cash Flow-133.17M-165.33M-214.50M-133.00M-138.10M-96.60M
Financing Cash Flow-218.13M-185.73M-268.50M-233.50M-192.10M-270.40M

AmRest Holdings SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price9.50

Price Trends

50DMA9.97Negative
100DMA10.39Negative
200DMA11.02Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.10Negative
RSI39.76Neutral
STOCH23.33Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PL:EAT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.63, below the 50-day MA of 9.97, and below the 200-day MA of 11.02, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PL:EAT.

AmRest Holdings SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

PL:EAT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
PL:EATPL:EAT59NeutralPLN 2.06B104.331.27%3.12%-2.73%-86.87%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%PL:EATPL:MRHPL:MXPPL:SFSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
PL:EAT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PL:EATAmRest Holdings SE9.50-4.59-32.56%
PL:MRHMr Hamburger SA0.21-0.17-44.74%
PL:MXPMaxiPizza S.A.0.570.1846.15%
PL:SFSSfinks Polska S.A.0.38-0.02-4.73%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025