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Cognor Holding SA (COG) AI Stock Analysis

PL:COG

Cognor Holding SA

(Warsaw:COG)

Select Model
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:PLN 6.50â–²(34.85% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:09/16/25

Cognor Holding SA receives the lowest overall score due to its extremely poor financial performance—including negative profit margins, return on equity, and cash flows—combined with a strongly negative P/E ratio and absent technical/valuation signals. No positive offset exists from recent events or earnings guidance. Major risks to profitability, liquidity, and investor value are the dominant factors suppressing the score.

Positive Factors
Market PositionCognor's diverse product range in the steel industry strengthens its market position, allowing it to cater to multiple sectors like construction and automotive, which can provide resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Negative Factors
Profitability ChallengesCognor's negative profit margins indicate ongoing operational struggles, which could hinder its ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain competitive pricing over the long term.

Cognor Holding SA (COG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%PL:COG-27.41%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
PLN 1.12B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
342.19K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-11.0
Beta (1Y)
1.12
Revenue Growth
-0.48%
EPS Growth
12.28%
Country
PL
Employees
1,981
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Steel

Cognor Holding SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cognor Holding S.A., a Polish enterprise established in 1946 and headquartered in Poraj, is primarily engaged in the manufacturing and international supply of steel goods. The company boasts an extensive product catalog, including various steel forms...

How the Company Makes Money

Cognor Holding SA generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of steel products, which represent its primary revenue stream. The company sells its products to construction firms, industrial manufacturers, and other businesses that require st...

Cognor Holding SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cognor Holding SA's financial performance is extremely weak. All major profitability metrics are negative: net profit margin is -4.0%, EBIT margin is -2.4%, and ROE is -7.8%. Cash flow has deteriorated severely with sharply negative operating and free cash flows. While revenue has stabilized, the overall negative trajectory in profits and liquidity places the company at significant risk, warranting the lowest allowable component score.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

46Neutral

Cash Flow

19Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.18B2.08B2.29B2.72B3.67B2.81B
Gross Profit87.19M40.66M42.20M280.20M894.28M588.91M
EBITDA19.53M-94.05M31.82M356.65M810.08M538.95M
Net Income-94.63M-125.18M-53.97M229.25M577.92M342.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.95B2.82B2.63B2.27B2.08B1.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments97.91M124.88M69.00M144.27M335.84M107.90M
Total Debt924.67M822.62M873.79M542.64M398.02M338.00M
Total Liabilities1.54B1.41B1.45B1.03B854.59M861.30M
Stockholders Equity1.34B1.33B1.10B1.16B1.16B603.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-270.60M-272.13M-295.55M-93.77M281.04M19.52M
Operating Cash Flow-45.08M-3.73M159.04M294.55M486.42M120.01M
Investing Cash Flow-209.25M-251.83M-441.94M-359.06M-235.83M-92.12M
Financing Cash Flow251.31M285.12M224.77M-124.32M-5.48M-37.84M

Cognor Holding SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.82

Price Trends

50DMA5.50Negative
100DMA5.82Negative
200DMA5.53Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.17Positive
RSI29.07Positive
STOCH16.52Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PL:COG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.16, below the 50-day MA of 5.50, and below the 200-day MA of 5.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.07 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PL:COG.

Cognor Holding SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

PL:COG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PL:KTYPL:KTY66NeutralPLN 12.37B17.7733.93%3.90%7.70%22.93%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
PL:STPPL:STP49NeutralPLN 1.26B-22.710.60%―-7.18%-316.04%
PL:COGPL:COG37UnderperformPLN 1.12B-11.03-7.38%―-0.48%12.28%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%75%PL:COGPL:KTYPL:STPPL:BOWPL:IZSPL:ZMTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
PL:COG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PL:COGCognor Holding SA4.82-1.87-27.95%
PL:KTYGrupa KETY S.A.1255.00350.5038.75%
PL:STPStalprodukt S.A.233.00-31.00-11.74%
PL:BOWBowim S.A.6.981.9839.60%
PL:IZSIzostal S.A.2.87-0.60-17.24%
PL:ZMTZamet SA0.570.035.71%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025