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Arctic Paper S.A. (ATC) AI Stock Analysis

PL:ATC

Arctic Paper S.A.

(Warsaw:ATC)

Select Model
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:PLN 8.50â–²(55.96% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:09/16/25

The overall score is driven by weak financials, absence of positive technical trends, and poor valuation prospects. The most significant risk is operational and cash flow deterioration, putting dividend continuity and long-term sustainability at risk. Secondary factors, such as technical trends, offer no counterbalance. The stock currently reflects severely negative outlook and heightened risk.

Positive Factors
Stable Capital StructureA stable capital structure with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio supports financial resilience, providing a foundation for potential future growth and investment.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow IssuesDeclining cash flow poses liquidity risks, limiting the company's ability to fund operations and invest in growth opportunities, potentially affecting long-term sustainability.

Arctic Paper S.A. (ATC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%PL:ATC-34.26%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
PLN 377.62M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
33.16K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.9
Beta (1Y)
0.51
Revenue Growth
-5.48%
EPS Growth
-1912.55%
Country
PL
Employees
1,500
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

Arctic Paper S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Arctic Paper S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells paper products for printing houses, paper distributors, book and magazine publishing houses, and the advertising industries. It operates through Paper and Pulp segments. The Paper...

How the Company Makes Money

Arctic Paper S.A. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its paper products to a diverse customer base, which includes printers, publishers, and packaging companies. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on both domestic and interna...

Arctic Paper S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak, with sharply deteriorating income statement figures: revenue declined 17.5%, profit margins turned negative, and cash flows are deeply negative, indicating high operational and sustainability risk. The only moderate strength is a conservative balance sheet, but overall trends signal significant financial stress and limited flexibility.

Income Statement

42Neutral

Balance Sheet

54Neutral

Cash Flow

32Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.11B3.20B3.43B3.55B4.89B3.41B
Gross Profit176.11M225.17M584.39M745.68M1.41B707.93M
EBITDA-52.61M-18.20M314.93M466.26M1.07B358.07M
Net Income-96.64M-99.68M154.46M247.13M631.00M175.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.65B2.68B2.76B2.72B3.25B2.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments135.22M152.55M291.34M552.25M765.34M265.29M
Total Debt354.12M274.43M257.14M151.92M204.75M282.80M
Total Liabilities1.01B978.96M988.24M921.37M1.20B1.15B
Stockholders Equity1.37B1.42B1.46B1.44B1.59B912.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-130.91M-182.87M-235.20M271.03M452.50M78.32M
Operating Cash Flow78.00M117.86M188.40M471.20M607.38M238.19M
Investing Cash Flow-208.90M-302.04M-416.63M-146.72M-155.88M-159.51M
Financing Cash Flow18.42M44.42M22.84M-288.93M-124.59M-162.07M

Arctic Paper S.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price5.45

Price Trends

50DMA6.08Negative
100DMA6.21Negative
200DMA6.81Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.12Negative
RSI29.31Positive
STOCH36.67Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PL:ATC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.64, below the 50-day MA of 6.08, and below the 200-day MA of 6.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 29.31 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PL:ATC.

Arctic Paper S.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

PL:ATC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
PL:KTYPL:KTY66NeutralPLN 12.37B17.7733.93%3.90%7.70%22.93%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
PL:ATCPL:ATC39UnderperformPLN 377.62M-3.89-6.90%―-5.48%-1912.55%
PL:COGPL:COG37UnderperformPLN 1.12B-11.03-7.38%―-0.48%12.28%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%PL:ATCPL:COGPL:PWXPL:KTYPL:KMPPL:KPDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
PL:ATC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PL:ATCArctic Paper S.A.5.45-2.98-35.35%
PL:COGCognor Holding SA4.82-1.87-27.95%
PL:PWXPolwax SA0.90-0.49-35.25%
PL:KTYGrupa KETY S.A.1255.00350.5038.75%
PL:KMPKompap S.A.22.00-1.27-5.48%
PL:KPDKPPD SA20.20-7.00-25.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 16, 2025