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Panbela Therapeutics (PBLA) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q3, 2024
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Sep 30, 2024, filed Nov 14, 2024
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Our common stock is eligible for quotation on the over-the-counter-market but not listed on any national securities exchange.
Our shares of common stock are eligible for quotation on the OTCQB tier of the over-the-counter markets. Despite eligibility for quotation, no assurance can be given that any market for our common stock will be maintained for any period of time. Quotation on the over-the-counter markets is generally understood to be a less active, and therefore less liquid, trading market than other types of markets such as a national securities exchange. In comparison to a listing on a national securities exchange, quotation on the over-the-counter markets is expected to have an adverse effect on the liquidity of shares of our common stock, both in terms of the number of shares that can be bought and sold at a given price, but also through delays in the timing of transactions and reduction in analyst and media coverage. This may result in lower prices for our common stock than might otherwise be obtained and could also result in a larger spread between the bid and ask prices for our common stock.
Risk Highlights Q3, 2024
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 34
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1AddedOur common stock is eligible for quotation on the over-the-counter-market but not listed on any national securities exchange.
Our shares of common stock are eligible for quotation on the OTCQB tier of the over-the-counter markets. Despite eligibility for quotation, no assurance can be given that any market for our common stock will be maintained for any period of time. Quotation on the over-the-counter markets is generally understood to be a less active, and therefore less liquid, trading market than other types of markets such as a national securities exchange. In comparison to a listing on a national securities exchange, quotation on the over-the-counter markets is expected to have an adverse effect on the liquidity of shares of our common stock, both in terms of the number of shares that can be bought and sold at a given price, but also through delays in the timing of transactions and reduction in analyst and media coverage. This may result in lower prices for our common stock than might otherwise be obtained and could also result in a larger spread between the bid and ask prices for our common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2ChangedFailure to obtain or maintain a listing of our common stock on a national securities exchange could seriously harm the liquidity of our stock and our ability to raise capital.
Nasdaq completed the delisting of our common stock by filing a Form 25 Notification of Delisting with the SEC on April 24, 2024. Our common stock became eligible for quotation on the OTCQB market starting on April 16, 2024, under the symbol "PBLA." We have applied to relist our common stock on the Nasdaq. No assurances can be given that we will satisfy the listing criteria, our application will be approved, or that a trading market will develop or be maintained. Our share price on the OTCQB may not be indicative of the market price on Nasdaq if we become listed. If, for any reason, we were unable to obtain listing on Nasdaq or another reputable national securities exchange, a reduction in some or all of the following may occur, each of which could materially adversely affect our stockholders: - the liquidity and marketability of our common stock; - the market price of our common stock;- our ability to obtain financing for the continuation of our operations;- the number of institutional and general investors that will consider investing in our common stock;- the number of market makers in our common stock;- the availability of information concerning the trading prices and volume of our common stock; and - the number of broker-dealers willing to execute trades in shares of our common stock. In addition, if we cannot obtain or maintain a listing on a national securities exchange, we may have to continue trading on a less recognized or accepted market, such as the OTCQB, our stock would continue to be traded as a "penny stock", which would make transactions in our stock more difficult and cumbersome, and we may be unable to access capital on favorable terms or at all, as companies trading on alternative markets may be viewed as less attractive investments with higher associated risks, such that existing or prospective institutional investors may be less interested in, or prohibited from, investing in our common stock. This may also cause the market price of our common stock to decline further.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3Raising additional capital may cause dilution to our stockholders or restrict our operations.
To the extent that we raise additional capital through the sale of equity or convertible debt securities, stockholders' ownership interest will be diluted, and the terms may include liquidation or other preferences that adversely affect their rights as stockholders. Debt financing, if available, may involve agreements that include covenants limiting or restricting our ability to take specific actions such as incurring additional debt, making capital expenditures or declaring dividends. Any of these events could adversely affect our ability to achieve our product development and commercialization goals and harm our business. We do not anticipate any adverse effects stemming from the lack of available credit facilities at this time.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4Issuance of common stock in offerings or pursuant to the exercise of rights to purchase shares may cause the price of our common stock to decline and cause investors to lose a significant portion of their investment.
If our stockholders sell substantial amounts of our common stock in the public market or upon the expiration of any statutory holding period under Rule 144, or upon expiration of lock-up periods applicable to outstanding shares or issued upon the exercise of outstanding options or warrants, it could create a circumstance commonly referred to as an "overhang" and in anticipation of which the market price of our common stock could fall. The existence of an overhang, whether sales have occurred or are occurring, also could make our ability to raise additional financing through the sale of equity or equity-related securities in the future at a time and price that we deem reasonable or appropriate more difficult. As of March 22, 2024, we had outstanding options to purchase 607 shares of our common stock at a weighted-average exercise price of $14,410.38 per share with a remaining contractual life of 8.50 years and outstanding warrants to purchase 9,095,943 of common stock at a weighted-average exercise price of $3.13 per share and an average remaining exercise period of 5.23 years.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5Securities analysts may not initiate coverage or continue to cover our common stock, and this may have a negative impact on the market price of our common stock.
Common stock prices are often significantly influenced by the research and reports that securities analysts publish about companies and their business. We do not have any control over these analysts. There is no guarantee that securities analysts will cover, or continue to cover, our common stock. If securities analysts do not cover our common stock, the lack of research coverage may adversely affect the market price of our common stock. If our common stock is covered by securities analysts and our stock is downgraded, our stock price will likely decline. If one or more of these analysts ceases to cover us or fails to publish regular reports on us, we can lose visibility in the financial markets, which can cause our stock price or trading volume to decline.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6Our charter documents and Delaware law may inhibit a takeover that stockholders consider favorable.
The provisions of our certificate of incorporation and bylaws and applicable provisions of Delaware law may make it more difficult for or prevent a third party from acquiring control of us without the approval of our board of directors. These provisions: - set limitations on the removal of directors;- limit who may call a special meeting of stockholders;- establish advance notice requirements for nominations for election to our board of directors or for proposing matters that can be acted upon at stockholder meetings;- do not permit cumulative voting in the election of our directors, which would otherwise permit less than a majority of stockholders to elect directors;- establish a classified board of directors limiting the number of directors that are elected each year; and - provide our board of directors with the ability to designate the terms of and issue preferred stock without stockholder approval. In addition, Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law generally limits our ability to engage in any business combination with certain persons who own 15% or more of our outstanding voting stock or any of our associates or affiliates who at any time in the past three years have owned 15% or more of our outstanding voting stock unless our board of directors has pre-approved the acquisitions that lead to such ownership. These provisions may have the effect of entrenching our management team and may deprive stockholders of the opportunity to sell their shares to potential acquirers at a premium over prevailing prices. This potential inability to obtain a control premium could reduce the price of our common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7We cannot assure that a reverse stock split will increase our stock price for the required time period or maintain our listing on a national securities exchange.
Our recent reverse stock splits were each accompanied by an initial increase in the market price of our common stock; however, the ongoing effect of reverse stock splits on the market price of our common stock cannot be predicted with any certainty, and the history of reverse stock splits for other companies is varied. Some investors may view one or more reverse stock splits negatively. While the rules of national securities exchanges do not impose specific limits on the number of times a listed company may effect a reverse stock split, certain exchanges, such as Nasdaq, have stated that a series of reverse stock splits may undermine investor confidence, especially where the reverse stock splits follow dilutive transactions. Accordingly, a national securities exchange may determine that it is not in the public interest to maintain or accept our listing, even if we comply with all applicable initial or continued listing standards. Furthermore, the reverse stock split may not result in a per share price that attracts investors who do not trade in lower priced stocks. Although we believe the reverse stock split may enhance the marketability of our common stock to certain potential investors, we cannot assure you that our common stock will be more attractive to investors following the reverse stock split. Even though we have implemented a reverse stock split, the market price of our common stock may decrease due to factors unrelated to the reverse stock split, including our future performance or general market trends. If the trading price of the common stock declines, the percentage declines as an absolute number and as a percentage of our overall market capitalization may be greater than would occur in the absence of a reverse stock split.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8Recent and future reverse stock splits may decrease the liquidity of our common stock and result in higher transaction costs.
The liquidity of our common stock may be negatively impacted by a reverse stock split, given the reduced number of shares that are outstanding after such a reverse stock split, particularly if the stock price does not increase as a result of the reverse stock split. Additionally, if the reverse stock split is implemented, it will increase the number of our stockholders who own "odd lots" of fewer than 100 shares of common stock. Brokerage commissions and other costs of transactions in odd lots are generally higher than the costs of transactions of more than 100 shares of common stock. Accordingly, reverse stock splits may not achieve the desired results of increasing marketability of our common stock as described above.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9Recent reverse stock splits have not been accompanied by decreases in our authorized shares.
Although the reverse stock splits have not had have any directly dilutive effects on our stockholders, the reduction in outstanding shares that resulted from the reverse stock split reduced the proportion of shares owned by our stockholders relative to the number of shares authorized for issuance, giving the Board of Directors an effective increase in the relative number of authorized shares available for issuance, in its discretion. The Board of Directors from time to time may deem it to be in the best interests of the Company and its stockholders to enter into transactions and other ventures that may include the issuance of shares of our common stock. If the Board of Directors authorizes the issuance of additional shares of common stock subsequent to a reverse stock split, the dilution to the ownership interest of our existing stockholders may be greater than would occur had such reverse stock split not been effected.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10If we issue preferred stock, the rights of the holders of our common stock and the value of such common stock could be adversely affected.
Our Board of Directors is authorized to issue classes or series of preferred stock, without any action on the part of the stockholders. The Board of Directors also has the power, without stockholder approval, to set the terms of any such classes or series of preferred stock, including voting rights, dividend rights and preferences over the common stock with respect to dividends or upon the liquidation, dissolution or winding-up of our business and other terms. If we issue preferred stock in the future that has a preference over the common stock with respect to the payment of dividends or upon liquidation, dissolution or winding-up, or if we issue preferred stock with voting rights that dilute the voting power of the common stock, the rights of holders of the common stock or the value of the common stock would be adversely affected.
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