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Oriental Land Co (OLCLY) AI Stock Analysis

OLCLY

Oriental Land Co

(Other OTC:OLCLY)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:$21.50â–¼(-2.26% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

Oriental Land earns a moderately above-average score anchored by sound fundamentals: a dominant franchise with pricing power, healthy margins, consistent operating cash flow, and a conservatively leveraged balance sheet. Technicals reinforce the case, with the share price trading above all major moving averages and a positive MACD signaling a durable uptrend. The main drag is valuation — a P/E near 38 paired with a 0.50% yield is demanding given decelerating revenue growth. Investors should also monitor the current heavy capex cycle, which is compressing free cash flow and driving a projected ~23% increase in debt, raising the importance of expansion projects delivering adequate returns.

Positive Factors
Revenue Recovery and GrowthThe substantial revenue recovery demonstrates renewed demand across the resort business and continued operating scale. Growth that remains positive after the post-2021 rebound supports stronger fixed-cost absorption, reinvestment capacity, and durable earnings potential over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Rising DebtThe increase in debt reduces some of the balance-sheet flexibility provided by otherwise moderate leverage. Higher borrowings can raise financing commitments and leave less room to absorb a weaker operating cycle or fund future resort investment entirely through internally generated resources.

Oriental Land Co (OLCLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%OLCLY+8.30%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$36.21B
Dividend Yield
0.46%
Average Volume (3M)
18.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
42.2
Beta (1Y)
0.30
Revenue Growth
0.33%
EPS Growth
2.02%
Country
US
Employees
11,207
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Leisure

Oriental Land Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Oriental Land Co., Ltd. operates and manages theme parks and hotels in Japan. It operates through Theme Park and Hotels segments. The Theme Park segment operates and manages Tokyo Disneyland and Tokyo DisneySea theme parks. The Hotel Business segment...

How the Company Makes Money

Oriental Land makes money primarily by operating the Tokyo Disney Resort and monetizing guest demand across multiple on-site channels. Key revenue streams include: (1) Theme park operations: Admission-related sales and in-park guest spending generate...

Oriental Land Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Oriental Land has completed a strong post-pandemic recovery, with revenue climbing from ¥170.6B (FY2021) to ¥679.4B (FY2025) and FY2026 projected at ¥747B. Margins are solid for the leisure sector (gross ~39-40%, net ~17-19%, EBIT ~25-27%), and the balance sheet is conservatively levered at 0.27-0.30x debt-to-equity with equity approaching ¥1.1 trillion. Offsetting this, growth is normalizing to single digits, total debt is projected to rise ~23% in FY2026 to fund park expansion, and free cash flow fell 36% in FY2025 to ¥92.7B with FCF/net income at just 0.47x. Operating cash flow remains robust and consistent (~¥168B-¥198B), but the heavy capex cycle and modest debt-service coverage (0.80-0.93x) temper the overall picture.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue700.95B679.37B704.54B618.49B483.12B275.73B
Gross Profit281.27B273.19B272.96B249.52B186.23B65.75B
EBITDA246.82B240.06B234.02B212.14B157.53B51.03B
Net Income127.31B124.16B121.88B120.22B80.73B8.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41T1.44T1.64T1.36T1.21T1.09T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments410.13B461.32B599.69B397.01B298.23B234.87B
Total Debt225.64B266.67B328.12B208.95B240.96B242.65B
Total Liabilities379.85B461.11B531.35B405.65B376.73B330.57B
Stockholders Equity1.03T977.41B1.10T949.56B829.69B756.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow092.69B110.54B144.98B74.52B-50.60B
Operating Cash Flow0195.39B192.21B197.67B167.73B54.60B
Investing Cash Flow0-253.14B-182.47B-21.27B-144.43B-138.98B
Financing Cash Flow0-26.87B40.88B-45.63B-10.94B48.93B

Oriental Land Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price22.00

Price Trends

50DMA19.43Positive
100DMA18.04Positive
200DMA17.16Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.53Negative
RSI71.00Negative
STOCH35.37Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OLCLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.71, above the 50-day MA of 19.43, and above the 200-day MA of 17.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OLCLY.

Oriental Land Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

OLCLY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IHGIHG67Neutral$24.42B36.16-25.04%1.11%3.41%-1.33%
OLCLYOLCLY66Neutral$35.70B42.1812.16%0.46%0.33%2.02%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
LVSLVS55Neutral$23.18B15.59216.58%3.14%10.93%9.73%
MGMMGM52Neutral$7.58B11.5328.11%―2.57%1487.04%
WYNNWYNN52Neutral$7.69B17.77-174.87%1.29%6.36%21.32%
CZRCZR43Neutral$5.93B-11.06-15.71%―3.08%-128.00%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%OLCLYIHGLVSMGMWYNNCZRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
OLCLY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
OLCLYOriental Land22.051.648.05%
IHGIntercontinental Hotels171.6250.9542.22%
LVSLas Vegas Sands38.20-21.54-36.05%
MGMMgm Resorts International30.56-1.31-4.11%
WYNNWynn Resorts Limited77.67-42.54-35.39%
CZRCaesars Entertainment Inc28.998.9744.81%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026