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Oceania Healthcare Ltd. (NZ:OCA)
ASX:OCA
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Oceania Healthcare (OCA) AI Stock Analysis

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NZ:OCA

Oceania Healthcare

(Sydney:OCA)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$0.71
Action:N/A
Date:10/05/26
The score is held back primarily by the sharp recent earnings and revenue deterioration and a weak technical trend (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are partially offset by strong recent operating and free cash flow and an improving leverage profile, but valuation metrics are a major drag due to the extremely high P/E and no provided dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained positive cash generation gives Oceania financial flexibility to fund development, reduce debt, and support operations without relying entirely on external capital. The 2026 step-up in operating and free cash flow provides resilience even though accounting earnings were near break-even.
Negative Factors
Material revenue deterioration
The latest revenue contraction indicates weaker top-line momentum across Oceania’s operating and property activities, following an already stagnant prior year. A sustained slowdown in sales, resales, or care income would reduce the base available to absorb fixed costs and support future development.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained positive cash generation gives Oceania financial flexibility to fund development, reduce debt, and support operations without relying entirely on external capital. The 2026 step-up in operating and free cash flow provides resilience even though accounting earnings were near break-even.
Read all positive factors

Oceania Healthcare (OCA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oceania Healthcare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Oceania Healthcare Limited, headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand, owns and operates a network of retirement villages and aged care facilities across the country. The company's business activities are categorized into three primary segments: Care...
How the Company Makes Money
Oceania Healthcare makes money primarily through a combination of (1) retirement village and property-related cash flows and (2) care and ancillary service income. 1) Retirement living (village) revenue: A key earnings driver is the development a...

Oceania Healthcare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: cash flow is strong (2026 operating cash flow ~$158M and free cash flow ~$140M) and leverage has improved (debt-to-equity down to ~0.45 in 2026). However, the latest year shows clear deterioration in operating results with revenue down ~18.6% YoY and profitability near break-even with very low margins, materially weighing on the score.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue267.14M260.57M265.46M247.18M231.14M
Gross Profit45.03M260.57M265.46M46.51M38.61M
EBITDA4.00M68.05M63.35M53.36M88.31M
Net Income119.00K30.41M31.47M15.45M61.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.08B2.94B2.78B2.54B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.59M7.59M7.49M7.44M9.74M
Total Debt526.81M638.31M651.72M558.39M390.03M
Total Liabilities1.90B1.84B1.76B1.58B1.25B
Stockholders Equity1.18B1.10B1.03B962.26M948.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow140.01M70.47M33.36M15.05M49.24M
Operating Cash Flow157.80M110.28M85.37M70.21M105.53M
Investing Cash Flow-33.42M-100.31M-161.25M-219.60M-218.82M
Financing Cash Flow-115.38M-9.86M75.92M147.09M43.13M

Oceania Healthcare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price―
Price Trends
50DMA
0.77
Negative
100DMA
0.75
Negative
200DMA
0.77
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
36.01
Neutral
STOCH
4.76
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NZ:OCA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.74, equal to the 50-day MA of 0.77, and equal to the 200-day MA of 0.77, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.76 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NZ:OCA.

Oceania Healthcare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$45.49M16.07―3.60%17.86%20.79%
66
Neutral
$1.76B5.658.89%2.43%14.09%-18.30%
63
Neutral
$34.15M0.03――29.55%-11.97%
56
Neutral
$1.83B-10.88-4.17%3.15%11.86%72.99%
56
Neutral
$114.80M12.16―4.23%14.16%34.82%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$514.20M3,525.000.02%4.16%2.52%-99.52%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NZ:OCA
Oceania Healthcare
0.70
-0.02
-2.78%
NZ:RYM
Ryman Healthcare
1.80
-1.09
-37.67%
NZ:SUM
Summerset Group Holdings Limited
7.04
-4.01
-36.26%
NZ:PHL
Promisia Healthcare Limited
0.65
0.22
50.00%
NZ:TAH
Third Age Health Services Limited
4.46
0.03
0.72%
NZ:RAD
Radius Residential Care Ltd
0.40
0.06
18.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 05, 2026