TipRanks
Foley Wines Ltd. (NZ:FWL)
:FWL
New Zealand Market
Want to see NZ:FWL full AI Analyst Report?

Foley Wines Ltd. (FWL) AI Stock Analysis

― Followers

Top Page

NZ:FWL

Foley Wines Ltd.

(FWL)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 63 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$0.64
Action:N/A
Date:10/05/26
The score is driven primarily by a mid-tier but improving financial profile (earnings recovery, moderate leverage, and positive cash generation, tempered by weak revenue momentum and historical volatility). Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, but overbought signals add near-term risk. Valuation is modestly supportive given the moderate P/E and a 3.23% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Premiumisation and margin improvement
Premiumisation, targeted marketing and cost control have improved profitability even while volumes weakened. Higher revenue per case and stronger EBITDA can support more resilient earnings, helping Foley Wines protect margins and fund brand, vineyard and winery investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Declining sales and revenue momentum
Falling case volumes and revenue indicate that premiumisation is currently compensating for weaker demand rather than being supported by broad-based growth. Persistent top-line contraction could limit operating leverage, reduce brand-building capacity and make future earnings more dependent on pricing and mix.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Premiumisation and margin improvement
Premiumisation, targeted marketing and cost control have improved profitability even while volumes weakened. Higher revenue per case and stronger EBITDA can support more resilient earnings, helping Foley Wines protect margins and fund brand, vineyard and winery investment over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Foley Wines Ltd. (FWL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Foley Wines Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Foley Wines Limited operates as a comprehensive wine enterprise, overseeing the production, marketing, and sale of its wines throughout New Zealand. Its portfolio includes a variety of renowned brands such as Martinborough Vineyard, Te Kairanga, L...

Foley Wines Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are recovering but still mixed: 2026 returned to positive net income with healthy operating/EBITDA profitability, the balance sheet is reasonably stable with moderate leverage, and operating/free cash flow is positive (with FCF exceeding net income in 2026). Offsetting this, revenue declined year over year and both profitability and free cash flow have been volatile over the last several years.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
67
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue67.80M70.53M66.45M66.63M57.69M
Gross Profit22.32M22.57M25.57M22.33M22.40M
EBITDA15.05M8.43M12.31M18.52M17.15M
Net Income2.94M-1.86M-4.08M6.34M6.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets226.52M230.82M245.78M248.08M233.22M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments874.00K584.00K101.00K10.00K354.00K
Total Debt57.22M64.21M76.93M74.92M67.48M
Total Liabilities82.89M88.82M102.35M100.57M89.42M
Stockholders Equity143.62M142.00M143.43M147.51M143.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.84M12.62M-1.43M-3.67M-4.92M
Operating Cash Flow11.75M16.16M4.34M10.35M7.57M
Investing Cash Flow-3.76M-3.29M-5.49M-13.77M-12.26M
Financing Cash Flow-7.69M-12.39M5.96M-973.00K1.82M

Foley Wines Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price―
Price Trends
50DMA
0.53
Positive
100DMA
0.50
Positive
200DMA
0.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
70.58
Negative
STOCH
71.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NZ:FWL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.56, equal to the 50-day MA of 0.53, and equal to the 200-day MA of 0.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.58 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NZ:FWL.

Foley Wines Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$217.66M5.39―12.44%0.48%38.02%
69
Neutral
$974.75M11.21―4.09%100.12%60.22%
67
Neutral
$426.77M10.56―6.13%4.14%-19.51%
63
Neutral
$39.44M13.53―3.20%-3.85%―
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
52
Neutral
$268.37M22.18―6.67%-17.18%196.29%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NZ:FWL
Foley Wines Ltd.
0.61
-0.02
-3.20%
NZ:SCL
Scales Corp. Ltd.
6.50
1.08
19.99%
NZ:SEK
Seeka Limited
5.22
1.29
32.89%
NZ:DGL
Delegat Group Limited
4.18
0.18
4.50%
NZ:FCG
Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited
4.78
-0.30
-6.00%
NZ:TGG
T&G Global Limited
2.22
0.22
11.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 05, 2026