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Comvita (CVT) AI Stock Analysis

NZ:CVT

Comvita

(NZX:CVT)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:NZD 0.90â–²(18.54% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:10/05/26

The score is driven primarily by improved financial performance (profitability returning, strong operating/free cash flow, and materially better leverage). Valuation is supportive with a low P/E, but technicals are only neutral-to-soft in the near term, and the earnings call highlights meaningful uncertainties (no FY27 guidance yet, China pressure, and North America margin compression) that temper confidence in the durability of the recovery.

Positive Factors
Profitability and cash-flow recoveryThe return to positive earnings and cash generation materially strengthens Comvita’s financial base after prior losses. Revenue growth, improved gross margin and positive free cash flow can support reinvestment, debt reduction and operating resilience if performance is sustained.
Negative Factors
Greater China demand and pricing pressurePersistent demand softness and price competition in Greater China threaten both revenue quality and profitability. Commoditization and parallel imports can weaken brand pricing power, making recovery in this important market dependent on improved demand and stronger channel control.

Comvita (CVT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%NZ:CVT+0.40%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
NZD 30.05M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
25.23K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.6
Beta (1Y)
1.16
Revenue Growth
10.67%
EPS Growth
―
Country
NZ
Employees
395
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Packaged Foods

Comvita Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Comvita Limited, along with its associated entities, specializes in the global production and distribution of natural health products. The company boasts a significant international presence, operating across diverse markets in Australasia, Asia (inc...

Comvita Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 26, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:-4.43%|Next Earnings Date:Oct 10, 2021
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasizes a clear recovery: the company returned to profitability, materially improved cash generation, substantially reduced net debt to a net cash position, normalized inventory and secured refinancing and a strategic investor. Commercially, North America and parts of Southeast Asia delivered strong growth, gross margins improved and operating costs were reduced. However, significant challenges remain — notably margin compression in North America, softer demand and pricing pressure in Greater China, outstanding overhead optimization, and near-term risks from harvest variability and geopolitical/market uncertainty. Overall, the positive financial repair and diversification progress materially outweigh the remaining challenges.

Positive Updates

Return to Profitability
Reported NPAT of $7.7 million for FY '26, with normalized EBIT of $16.4 million (above guidance of $15.5 million). Operating profit (reported) was $14.0 million, demonstrating recovery to a profitable position.

Negative Updates

China Market Softness and Pricing Pressure
Greater China remains the toughest market with softer consumer demand, continued commoditization and pricing pressure from parallel imports and lower-price competitors; contribution margins in Greater China declined to approximately 14%.

Company Guidance

Management gave no numeric FY‑27 guidance at the call — saying it is too early and that guidance will be provided once apiary crop and channel visibility improves (notably after November) — but framed a disciplined outlook underpinned by FY‑26 metrics: revenue of $213.0m, reported NPAT $7.7m, normalized EBIT $16.4m (vs prior guidance $15.5m) and operating profit $14.0m; operating cash flow of $40.3m and positive free cash flow; net debt turned from $62.4m to net cash $0.5m; inventory reduced from $89.0m to $79.9m (≈$80m target); gross margin recovered to 53.9% (vs a normalized FY‑25 50.8%); operating expenses were cut by $8m; North America sales rose to $58.7m (from $28.7m) though contribution margin fell 14.1%→6.6%, Greater China contribution margin is ~14%; capital raise issue costs were $3.42m with failed SIA costs ~$1.4m, refinancing provides covenant headroom to Sept 2028, and dividends will only resume when earnings, cash generation and balance sheet metrics sustainably support them.

Comvita Financial Statement Overview

Summary

FY26 shows a clear turnaround: revenue rose to 213.0M, gross margin improved to ~53.9%, the company returned to positive EBIT (~6.1% margin) and net income (~3.6% margin), operating cash flow was strong (~35.1M) with positive free cash flow (~33.8M), and leverage improved materially with debt reduced and debt-to-equity ~0.32. The main constraint is multi-year volatility (deep losses and negative FCF in 2022–2025), so durability of the recovery is still being proven.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

69Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue212.96M212.96M192.43M200.68M234.19M209.09M
Gross Profit114.80M114.80M82.70M108.88M135.76M126.23M
EBITDA21.61M21.99M-14.62M-63.03M31.78M30.56M
Net Income7.74M7.74M-104.76M-77.39M11.06M12.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets164.88M164.88M173.35M307.86M358.77M332.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.00M13.00M9.00M8.16M11.55M17.76M
Total Debt30.54M30.54M91.70M109.42M80.30M56.10M
Total Liabilities68.06M68.06M118.45M147.23M119.45M104.79M
Stockholders Equity96.83M96.83M54.90M160.63M239.32M227.99M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow33.84M33.84M30.89M-2.19M-18.04M-5.87M
Operating Cash Flow35.10M35.10M34.14M5.33M2.40M3.58M
Investing Cash Flow-1.45M-1.45M-1.66M-13.65M-20.79M-13.22M
Financing Cash Flow-30.31M-30.31M-31.65M5.04M12.46M10.88M

Comvita Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.76

Price Trends

50DMA0.79Negative
100DMA0.76Negative
200DMA0.71Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.00Positive
RSI41.85Neutral
STOCH10.74Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NZ:CVT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.78, below the 50-day MA of 0.79, and above the 200-day MA of 0.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NZ:CVT.

Comvita Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

NZ:CVT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NZ:ATMNZ:ATM69NeutralNZD 6.29B27.8717.63%7.29%3.84%6.53%
NZ:CVTNZ:CVT67NeutralNZD 98.04M7.569.98%―10.67%―
NZ:SANNZ:SAN66NeutralNZD 640.52M8.909.48%1.72%-4.16%91.88%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
NZ:NZKNZ:NZK54NeutralNZD 129.16M-13.64-4.98%―――
NZ:SMLNZ:SML49NeutralNZD 310.65M-4.24-10.58%―-7.94%-95.77%
NZ:MEENZ:MEE40UnderperformNZD 7.39M-2.30――-12.36%79.80%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%NZ:CVTNZ:ATMNZ:NZKNZ:SANNZ:SMLNZ:MEEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
NZ:CVT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
NZ:CVTComvita 0.760.033.85%
NZ:ATMa2 Milk Company Ltd.8.64-1.57-15.39%
NZ:NZKNew Zealand King Salmon Investments Ltd.0.240.0420.00%
NZ:SANSanford 6.850.8013.15%
NZ:SMLSynlait Milk Ltd.0.52-0.20-28.47%
NZ:MEEMe Today Limited0.070.000.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 05, 2026