Nexien BioPharma (NXEN) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q1, 2025
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Mar 31, 2025, filed May 14, 2025
Risk Change Over Time
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1The Company has negative cash flow for the financial year ended June 30, 2023. 2024.
The Company had negative operating cash flow for the financial year ended June 30, 2024. To the extent that the Company has negative operating cash flow in future periods, it may need to allocate a portion of its cash reserves to fund such negative cash flow. The Company may also be required to raise additional funds through the issuance of equity or debt securities. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to generate a positive cash flow from its operations, that additional capital or other types of financing will be available when needed or that these financings will be on terms favorable to the Company.
Risk Highlights Q1, 2025
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 55
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Our independent registered public accounting firm has expressed substantial doubt as to our ability to continue as a going concern.
The audited financial statements of BioPharma included in this Annual Report have been prepared assuming that we will continue as a going concern and do not include any adjustments that might result if we cease to continue as a going concern. The development of pharmaceuticals with the objective of obtaining approval by the FDA and other international regulatory authorities is not a short-term endeavor for any specific drug candidate. It also requires extremely significant amounts of capital funding for clinical trials and other matters. At June 30, 2024, the Company had a working capital deficit of $361,249. The Company will require significant additional capital to fund the implementation and execution of its business plan. This capital, which likely will be millions of dollars for a single drug candidate, will be required for research, regulatory applications, and clinical trials. We have incurred an accumulated deficit of $11,534,473 since our inception. We have funded these losses primarily through the sale of restricted shares of our Common Stock. Based on our financial history, in its report on the financial statements for the year ended June 30, 2024, our independent registered public accounting firm has expressed substantial doubt as to our ability to continue as a going concern. To date, we have not generated any revenues and we do not anticipate generating any significant revenues during the current fiscal year. Notwithstanding BioPharma's success in raising approximately $2.1 million from the sale of its equity securities from inception in 2017 through June 2024, and the completion of a debt financing agreement resulting in the receipt of $194,898 through June 30, 2024, there can be no assurance that we will be able to continue to raise equity and/or debt capital from investors on terms and conditions satisfactory to the Company, find strategic or financial partners for a specific drug candidate, or have adequate capital resources required by us to fund our current and future planned operations. If we are unable to obtain adequate capital resources to fund operations, we may be required to delay, scale back or eliminate some or all of our plan of operations, which may have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and ability to operate as a going concern.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2Raising additional capital may cause dilution to our existing stockholders and restrict our operations.
We may seek additional capital through a combination of private and public equity offerings, debt financings, strategic partnerships and alliances, and licensing arrangements. To the extent that we raise additional capital through the sale of equity or convertible debt securities, existing ownership interests will be diluted, and the terms of such financings may include liquidation or other preferences that adversely affect the rights of existing stockholders. Debt financings may be coupled with an equity component, such as warrants to purchase shares, which could also result in dilution of our existing stockholders' ownership. The incurrence of indebtedness would result in increased fixed payment obligations and could also result in certain restrictive covenants, such as limitations on our ability to incur additional debt, limitations on our ability to acquire or license intellectual property rights and other operating restrictions that could adversely impact our ability to conduct our business and may result in liens being placed on our assets and intellectual property. If we were to default on such indebtedness, we could lose such assets and intellectual property. If we raise additional funds through strategic partnerships and alliances and licensing arrangements with third parties, we may have to relinquish valuable rights to our drug candidates.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3There can be no assurance of a liquid public trading market for our Common Stock or whether investors will be able to readily be able to sell their shares of Common Stock.
At present, our Common Stock is subject to quotation on the OTC pink sheets under the symbol "NXEN". There is only a limited and non-liquid public trading market for our Common Stock and there can be no assurance that a more liquid market will ever develop or be sustained. Market liquidity will depend on the perception of our business and any steps that our management might take to bring public awareness of our business to the investing public within the parameters of the federal securities laws. We can provide no assurance that there will be any awareness generated or sustained. Consequently, investors may not be able to liquidate their investment or liquidate it at a price paid by investors equal to or greater than their initial investment in our Common Stock. As a result, holders of our Common Stock may not find purchasers for their shares should they to decide to sell the Common Stock held by them at any specific time, if ever. Consequently, our Common Stock should be purchased only by investors who have no immediate need for liquidity from their investment and who can hold our Common Stock potentially for a prolonged period of time.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4In the event an active trading market develops for our Common Stock, the market price may, from time-to-time, be volatile.
In the event an active trading market develops for our Common Stock, the market price of our Common Stock may be highly volatile. Some of the factors that may materially affect the market price of our Common Stock are beyond our control, such as changes in conditions or trends in the industry in which we operate, general market and economic conditions both in the United States and globally, as well as the number of our shares of Common Stock being purchased and sold at any particular time. These factors may materially adversely affect the market price of our Common Stock, regardless of our historic business performance or future business prospects. In addition, the public stock markets have experienced and may be expected to experience extreme price and trading volume volatility. These market fluctuations may adversely affect the market price of our Common Stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5A large number of additional shares will be available for resale into the public market pursuant to Rule 144, which may cause the market price of our Common Stock to decline significantly.
Sales of a substantial number of shares of our Common Stock in the public market will become available pursuant to Rule 144 promulgated by the SEC under the Act and could adversely affect the market price of our Common Stock. As of October 22, 2024 we have 70,772,196 shares of Common Stock outstanding, of which 58,621,069 are restricted due to applicable federal securities laws. As restrictions on the resale of shares of Common Stock expire, pursuant to the provisions of Rule 144 or otherwise, the market price could drop significantly if the holders of these restricted shares sell them or are perceived by the market as intending to sell them at any given date or over any particular period of time. If holders of restricted securities sell a large number of shares pursuant to Rule 144, they could adversely affect the market price for our Common Stock, over which we will likely have no control.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6You may experience dilution of your ownership interest because of the potential of future issuance of additional shares of our Common Stock or our preferred stock.
In the future, we may issue our authorized but previously unissued equity securities, including shares of our Common Stock, resulting in the dilution of the ownership interests of our present stockholders. We are authorized to issue an aggregate of 200,000,000 shares of Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per share, of which 70,772,196 shares of Common Stock are outstanding as of October 22, 2024. We may also issue additional shares of our Common Stock, warrants or other securities that are convertible into or exercisable for the purchase of shares of our Common Stock in connection with hiring and/or retaining employees or consultants, future acquisitions, future sales of our securities for capital raising purposes, or for other business purposes. The future issuance of any such additional shares of our Common Stock or other securities, for any reason including those stated above, may have a negative impact on the market price of our Common Stock. There can be no assurance that the issuance of any additional shares of Common Stock, warrants or other convertible securities may not be at a price (or exercise prices) below the then prevailing price at which shares of our Common Stock will be quoted in the U.S. over-the-counter market.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7Insiders will continue to have substantial control over us and will be able to influence corporate matters.
As of October 22, 2024, our directors and executive officers and stockholders holding more than 5% of our Common Stock own of record and beneficially, in the aggregate, approximately 63% of our outstanding Common Stock. As a result, if these stockholders were to choose to act together, they would be able to exercise considerable influence over all matters requiring stockholder approval, including the election of directors and approval of significant corporate transactions, such as a merger or other sale of our Company or all or a significant percentage of our assets. This concentration of ownership could limit your ability to influence corporate matters and may have the effect of delaying or preventing a third party from acquiring control over us. For information regarding the ownership of our outstanding stock by our executive officers and directors and their affiliates, see the disclosure under Item 12 - "Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters." We cannot assure you that the interests of our management and affiliated persons will coincide with the interests of other stockholders. As long as our management and affiliated persons collectively control a substantial portion of our Common Stock, these individuals and/or entities controlled by them, including Intiva USA Inc., will continue to collectively be able to strongly influence or effectively control our decisions.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8Our Common Stock is thinly traded, so stockholders may be unable to sell at or near ask prices, or at all, if they need to sell shares to raise money or otherwise desire to liquidate their shares.
Our Common Stock is "thinly-traded," meaning that the number of persons interested in purchasing our Common Stock at or near ask prices at any given time may be relatively small or non-existent. This situation is attributable to a number of factors, including the fact that we are a small company that is relatively unknown to stock analysts, stock brokers, institutional investors and others in the investment community that generate or influence sales volume, and that even if we came to the attention of such persons, they tend to be risk-averse and would be reluctant to follow an unproven company such as ours, or purchase or recommend the purchase of our shares until such time as we become more seasoned and viable. As a consequence, there may be periods of several days or longer when trading activity in our Common Stock is minimal or non-existent, as compared to a seasoned issuer which has a large and steady volume of trading activity that will generally support continuous sales without an adverse effect on its share price. We cannot give stockholders any assurance that a broader or more active public trading market for our Common Stock will develop or be sustained, or that current trading levels will be sustained.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9Anti-takeover provisions of the Delaware General Corporation Law may discourage or prevent a change of control, even if an acquisition would be beneficial to our stockholders, which could reduce our stock price.
We are subject to the provisions of Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law, which may prohibit certain business combinations with stockholders owning 15% or more of our outstanding voting stock. These and other provisions in our certificate of incorporation, bylaws and Delaware law could make it more difficult for stockholders or potential acquirers to obtain control of our board of directors or initiate actions that are opposed by our then-current board of directors, including a merger, tender offer or proxy contest involving our Company. Any delay or prevention of a change of control transaction or changes in our board of directors could cause the market price of our Common Stock to decline.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10State Blue Sky registration and potential limitations on resale of our Common Stock.
The holders of our shares of Common Stock and those persons who desire to purchase our Common Stock in any trading market, should be aware that there may be state blue-sky law restrictions upon the ability of investors to resell our securities. Accordingly, investors should consider the secondary market our securities to be a limited one.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 11Our Common Stock is considered a Penny Stock, which may be subject to restrictions on marketability, so you may not be able to sell your shares.
We are subject to the Penny Stock rules since our shares of Common Stock sell below $5.00 per share. Penny stocks generally are equity securities with a price of less than $5.00. The penny stock rules require broker-dealers to deliver a standardized risk disclosure document prepared by the SEC which provides information about penny stocks and the nature and level of risks in the penny stock market. The broker-dealer must also provide the customer with current bid and offer quotations for the penny stock, the compensation of the broker-dealer and its salesperson, and monthly account statements showing the market value of each penny stock held in the customer's account. The bid and offer quotations, and the broker-dealer and salesperson compensation information must be given to the customer orally or in writing prior to completing the transaction and must be given to the customer in writing before or with the customer's confirmation. In addition, the penny stock rules require that prior to a transaction, the broker dealer must make a special written determination that the penny stock is a suitable investment for the purchaser and receive the purchaser's written agreement to the transaction. The penny stock rules are burdensome and may reduce purchases of any offerings and reduce the trading activity for shares of our Common Stock. As long as our shares of Common Stock are subject to the penny stock rules, the holders of such shares of Common Stock may find it more difficult to sell their securities.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 12We are required to comply with certain provisions of Section 404 of SOX and if we fail to comply in a timely manner, our business could be harmed, and our stock price could decline.
Rules adopted by the SEC pursuant to Section 404 of SOX require an annual assessment of internal controls over financial reporting, and for certain issuers an attestation of this assessment by the issuer's independent registered public accounting firm. The standards that must be met for management to assess the internal controls over financial reporting as effective are evolving and complex, and require significant documentation, testing, and possible remediation to meet the detailed standards. We expect to incur expenses and to devote resources to Section 404 compliance on an ongoing basis. It is difficult for us to predict how long it will take or costly it will be to complete the assessment of the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting for each year and to remediate any deficiencies in our internal control over financial reporting. As a result, we may not be able to complete the assessment and remediation process on a timely basis. In addition, although attestation requirements by our independent registered public accounting firm are not presently applicable to us, we could become subject to these requirements in the future, and we may encounter problems or delays in completing the implementation of any resulting changes to internal controls over financial reporting. If our Chief Executive Officer or Chief Financial Officer determines that our internal controls over financial reporting are not effective as defined under Section 404, we cannot predict how the market prices of our shares will be affected; however, we believe that there is a risk that investor confidence and share value may be negatively affected.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 13Our share price could be volatile, and our trading volume may fluctuate substantially.
The price of our common shares has been and may in the future continue to be extremely volatile, with the sale price fluctuating from a low of pennies per share to a high of $0.18 during the two most recently completed fiscal years. Many factors could have a significant impact on the future price of our common shares, including: - our inability to raise additional capital to fund our operations, whether through the issuance of equity securities or debt; - our failure to successfully implement our business objectives and strategic growth plans; - compliance with ongoing regulatory requirements; - market acceptance of our drug candidates, once approved for sale; - changes in government regulations; - general economic conditions and other external factors; and - actual or anticipated fluctuations in our quarterly financial and operating results; and - the degree of trading liquidity in our common shares.
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