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NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR (NVX) AI Stock Analysis

NVX

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:NVX)

Select Model
Rating:37Underperform
Price Target:$2.00â–¼(-11.11% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

The stock scores at the absolute bottom of the range due to a confluence of severe fundamental and market risks. The most significant factor is the company's rapidly deteriorating financial performance, marked by deeply negative gross margins and massive cash burn that threaten its viability. This is compounded by a persistent technical downtrend across all timeframes and a negative P/E ratio that underscores the lack of earnings. The balance sheet provides no meaningful offset to these overwhelming weaknesses.

Positive Factors
Revenue reboundThe sharp 2025 revenue rebound indicates improving commercial activity and stronger demand for NOVONIX’s products or services. If sustained, higher revenue can provide operating scale, support customer qualification efforts, and improve the company’s ability to absorb its substantial fixed cost base.
Negative Factors
Severe unprofitabilityExtremely negative gross and net margins show that NOVONIX is not yet covering its production and operating costs, despite the revenue rebound. Continued losses reduce financial resilience, limit internally funded investment, and make future growth dependent on achieving major improvements in scale and economics.

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR (NVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%-75%-50%-25%0%25%50%NVX-81.56%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$472.54M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
27.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.4
Beta (1Y)
0.99
Revenue Growth
-52.63%
EPS Growth
-7.51%
Country
US
Employees
192
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Electrical Equipment & Parts

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Novonix Limited (NVX) is a Brisbane, Australia-headquartered firm, established in 2012 (and known as Graphitecorp Limited until its rebranding in July 2017). The company is a key provider of battery materials, specialized equipment, and ancillary ser...

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial health is critically weak. Revenue grew 44%, but gross margin collapsed to -433%, net loss widened to 16.5x revenue, and cash burn is severe with -$154M free cash flow. The balance sheet offers only a thin cushion with moderate leverage, but -59% ROE and deep losses overshadow any positives.

Income Statement

8Very Negative

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

12Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.80M5.62M5.85M8.05M3.75M6.10M
Gross Profit-12.18M-24.36M4.08M5.24M2.78M4.38M
EBITDA-80.73M-77.13M-66.61M-38.86M-36.08M-46.18M
Net Income-97.54M-92.79M-74.82M-46.25M-38.63M-51.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets264.99M282.83M226.10M263.34M277.42M302.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.66M84.12M42.56M78.63M99.04M142.74M
Total Debt95.84M99.27M70.42M68.22M40.37M41.41M
Total Liabilities112.17M125.73M88.51M79.41M51.37M51.85M
Stockholders Equity152.81M157.10M137.59M183.94M151.39M251.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-78.40M-102.45M-70.32M-55.42M-29.65M-113.02M
Operating Cash Flow-43.13M-42.23M-40.42M-36.23M-13.08M-29.23M
Investing Cash Flow-22.13M-32.88M-18.17M-11.74M-16.33M-106.80M
Financing Cash Flow98.64M109.98M25.21M29.31M-539.22K180.69M

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.25

Price Trends

50DMA2.76Negative
100DMA3.66Negative
200DMA5.85Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.15Negative
RSI42.22Neutral
STOCH77.71Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NVX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.29, below the 50-day MA of 2.76, and below the 200-day MA of 5.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NVX.

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

NVX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
ENVXENVX48Neutral$691.26M-3.94-66.93%―34.88%-18.59%
PLUGPLUG47Neutral$1.91B-1.00-176.19%―10.59%41.83%
FCELFCEL44Neutral$897.09M-3.27-22.15%―1.09%62.70%
SDSTSDST38Underperform$753.50K-0.00256.59%――67.65%
NVXNVX37Underperform$58.24M-0.42-63.44%―-52.63%-7.51%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%0%100%200%300%NVXFCELPLUGENVXSDSTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
NVX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
NVXNOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR2.25-11.95-84.15%
FCELFuelcell Energy11.222.9235.18%
PLUGPlug Power Inc1.36-1.39-50.36%
ENVXEnovix Corporation3.15-9.06-74.20%
SDSTStardust Power Inc.0.01-3.96-99.70%

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Corporate Events

NOVONIX Tightens Capital Structure as Employee Performance Rights Lapse

Sep 21, 2026

On September 18, 2026, NOVONIX Limited notified the ASX that 460,452 unquoted performance rights (ASX code NVXAD) had ceased due to the lapse of conditional rights that could no longer be satisfied. The cessation was linked to employee departures, as...

NOVONIX, ACP Technologies Forge Partnership to Build U.S. Battery Anode Supply Chain

Sep 16, 2026

NOVONIX Limited has entered a strategic partnership with U.S.-based ACP Technologies, LLC, formalized through a memorandum of understanding announced on September 16, 2026, in Chattanooga, Tennessee. The collaboration aims to expand NOVONIX’s p...

Novonix Adds New ASX-Quoted Shares Following Performance Rights Conversion

Sep 15, 2026

On September 15, 2026, Novonix Limited filed a Form 6-K in the U.S. and an Appendix 2A with the ASX, detailing an application for quotation of additional ordinary fully paid shares under code NVX. The move reflects the conversion of employee performa...

NOVONIX Triggers Amortisation Under Yorkville Funding Deal as Share Price Breaches Floor

Sep 14, 2026

NOVONIX Limited, a North American-focused battery materials company producing synthetic graphite anodes for lithium-ion batteries, is working to support U.S. energy independence by supplying the energy storage, electric vehicle and industrial sectors...

NOVONIX Tightens Focus on U.S. Graphite Push with Panasonic Progress and BTS Sale

Sep 2, 2026

For the six months ended June 30, 2026, NOVONIX advanced its core synthetic graphite strategy while recording a $24.6 million loss and a reduction in cash to $59.5 million, largely due to investment at its Riverside facility. The company delivered a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026