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Noble Roman's (NROM) AI Stock Analysis

17 Followers
NROM

Noble Roman's

(Other OTC:NROM)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:$0.66â–²(5.08% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/13/26

The score of 60 reflects a company with a solid operational turnaround and reasonable valuation, offset by significant financial risks. The primary strength is the recovery to profitability and efficient cash generation. The most significant risk is the declining revenue trend combined with a highly leveraged balance sheet, which makes the company vulnerable to any earnings downturn. Positive technical momentum provides some near-term support.

Positive Factors
Improved profitabilityThe return to meaningful operating and net profitability indicates that the business model has regained earnings traction after weaker periods. Sustained positive margins can support reinvestment, debt service, and resilience over the next several quarters if operating discipline continues.
Negative Factors
Softening revenue trendThe recent revenue contraction shows that top-line momentum has weakened despite the recovery in margins. If this persists, it could limit operating leverage, reduce the resources available for growth initiatives, and make future earnings improvement increasingly dependent on cost control.

Noble Roman's (NROM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%250%300%NROM+215.00%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$14.31M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
27.36K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
17.4
Beta (1Y)
-0.25
Revenue Growth
3.94%
EPS Growth
-45.10%
Country
US
Employees
152
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Noble Roman's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Noble Roman's, Inc. specializes in establishing and supporting foodservice operations across a spectrum of formats, encompassing both traditional independent restaurants and various non-traditional settings. The company expands its reach through a co...

How the Company Makes Money

Noble Roman's primarily makes money by monetizing its brands through franchising and licensing rather than relying mainly on company-owned restaurant sales. Key revenue streams include: (1) Royalties and ongoing franchise/licensing fees: Franchisees...

Noble Roman's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 14, 2025(Q3-2025)|% Change Since:270.59%|Next Earnings Date:Jun 09, 2020
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call highlighted significant growth in revenue, net income, and margins, along with a successful expansion of franchise units. However, challenges such as a drop in consumer sentiment, commodity price fluctuations, and refinancing uncertainties posed concerns.

Positive Updates

Increase in Net Income Before Taxes
Net income before taxes increased to $578,918 for the quarter, up from $193,314 in 2024.

Negative Updates

Drop in Consumer Sentiment
Consumer sentiment has dropped to a 3-year low, down 29.9% compared to last year.

Company Guidance

During the call, Noble Roman's provided a detailed overview of their financial performance metrics for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company reported a net income before taxes of $578,918, a significant increase from $193,314 in the same period of 2024. Total revenue rose by 6.8% compared to the previous year, with same-store sales in the Craft Pizza & Pub segment up by 4.2%. Margins at these locations increased from 7.9% to 12.8%. The convenience store program saw a 14.8% rise in margin contribution, reaching approximately $1.1 million, with the margin rate for this segment climbing to 73.4% from 65.2% the previous year. The adjusted EBITDA for the trailing twelve months increased from over $3 million at the end of 2024 to approximately $3,825,000 at the end of Q3 2025. The company also discussed plans to open about 27 new units in Q4 and highlighted ongoing refinancing efforts, with current terms secured until June 2026. Despite challenges with consumer sentiment and external factors like the government shutdown, the company has maintained a value-oriented strategy and plans to introduce new products to enhance margins.

Noble Roman's Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed financials: Strong profitability recovery and cash conversion are positives, but negative revenue growth (-2.1% TTM) and a highly leveraged balance sheet (Debt/Equity 2.48) with a thin equity base present significant risks.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.30M16.46M15.15M14.37M14.45M13.88M
Gross Profit5.41M5.21M4.65M5.54M3.05M4.38M
EBITDA3.07M4.09M1.98M3.58M1.37M3.07M
Net Income817.29K1.17M-3,1741.46M-1.31M509.46K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.06M15.89M16.77M18.48M18.34M19.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.02M533.67K710.23K872.34K785.52K1.26M
Total Debt9.00M9.56M11.57M12.89M14.86M14.72M
Total Liabilities11.15M12.46M14.55M16.29M17.63M16.48M
Stockholders Equity3.91M3.43M2.22M2.19M710.21K2.89M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.47M1.10M808.66K1.57M-477.99K69.15K
Operating Cash Flow1.61M1.24M896.97K1.57M29.58K1.52M
Investing Cash Flow-136.81K-144.20K-88.30K13.82K-507.57K-1.45M
Financing Cash Flow-1.17M-1.28M-887.41K-1.50M01.39B

Noble Roman's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.63

Price Trends

50DMA0.59Positive
100DMA0.61Positive
200DMA0.48Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.01Negative
RSI57.78Neutral
STOCH48.90Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NROM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.60, above the 50-day MA of 0.59, and above the 200-day MA of 0.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NROM.

Noble Roman's Risk Analysis

Noble Roman's disclosed 14 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Noble Roman's reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Noble Roman's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

NROM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
RAVERAVE74Outperform$29.65M10.0417.21%―6.70%3.98%
GTIMGTIM65Neutral$13.41M6.026.62%―-5.81%78.41%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
NROMNROM60Neutral$14.31M17.3622.04%―3.94%-45.10%
BTBDBTBD40Underperform$9.04M-5.61-26.70%―-8.89%-76.13%
ARKRARKR38Underperform$16.68M-5.13-9.79%―-9.48%77.31%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%NROMARKRGTIMRAVEBTBDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
NROM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
NROMNoble Roman's0.630.44231.58%
ARKRArk Restaurants Corp.4.63-2.39-34.12%
GTIMGood Times Restaurants1.27-0.01-0.78%
RAVERave Restaurant Group2.08-0.89-29.97%
BTBDBt Brands Inc1.510.011.00%

Noble Roman's Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Noble Roman’s Shareholders Reinforce Board and Auditor Oversight

Positive
Sep 16, 2026

Noble Roman’s, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on September 15, 2026, with 52.44% of outstanding common shares represented, establishing a quorum for corporate actions. Shareholder participation underscored ongoing engagement with t...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2026