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FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE)
NYSE:NOTE
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FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) AI Stock Analysis

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NOTE

FiscalNote Holdings

(NYSE:NOTE)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-10.71% Downside)
FiscalNote Holdings' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its challenging financial performance, with declining revenues and negative cash flow. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics are unattractive due to ongoing losses. However, recent corporate events and positive aspects from the earnings call, such as EBITDA improvements and strategic refinancing, provide some optimism for future growth.

FiscalNote Holdings (NOTE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

FiscalNote Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFiscalNote Holdings Inc. operates as technology and data company that delivers critical legal data and insights worldwide. It combines artificial intelligence technology, machine learning, and other technologies with analytics, workflow tools, and expert research. The company delivers that intelligence through its suite of public policy and issues management products, as well as powerful tools to manage workflows, advocacy campaigns, and constituent relationships. It serves a customer base that includes businesses comprising the Fortune 100 companies, government agencies, law firms, professional services organizations, trade groups, and non-profits. The company is headquartered in Washington, District of Columbia.
How the Company Makes MoneyFiscalNote Holdings generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services, offering clients access to its comprehensive database of legal, legislative, and regulatory information. The company charges recurring fees for its platform, which provides users with real-time updates, analytics, and tools to track and manage compliance risks. Additionally, FiscalNote offers customized research and consulting services, which contribute to its revenue streams. Key partnerships with government agencies, multinational corporations, and legal firms help to expand its client base and enhance its market presence, further boosting its earnings potential.

FiscalNote Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -11.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant achievements in EBITDA margin improvement and strategic refinancing, alongside challenges in ARR decline and retention issues with legacy products. The company is optimistic about future growth with strong demand and improvements in new sales pipelines.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Performance
FiscalNote reported an adjusted EBITDA of $2.8 million in Q2, exceeding guidance and representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 12%, up from 4% on a pro forma basis in the same period last year.
New Capital Partnership and Refinancing
FiscalNote announced a substantial refinancing of its senior term loan with MGG Investment Group, extending the facility maturity to 2029.
Strong Demand and Sales Pipeline
Inbound leads for policy products increased more than 20% year-over-year, and the corporate new logo pipeline was 45% higher at the end of Q2 than at the end of Q1.
PolicyNote Engagement
PolicyNote now has more daily active users than the legacy platform, with core engagement metrics showing strong performance.
Negative Updates
Decline in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR)
ARR was $85.9 million in Q2, a decline of $7.7 million compared to the previous year on a pro forma basis.
Challenges with Legacy Product Retention
The company faced unacceptable execution challenges and customer retention issues with legacy products, contributing to organic ARR and revenue declines.
Instability in U.S. Federal Sector
Atypical instability in the U.S. federal sector has impacted FiscalNote's performance, contributing to revenue declines.
Company Guidance
During the FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. second quarter 2025 financial results conference call, the company provided guidance for both the full year and third quarter of 2025. FiscalNote reaffirmed its full-year revenue forecast of $94 million to $100 million and adjusted EBITDA between $10 million to $12 million. For the third quarter of 2025, the company expects revenues in the range of $22 million to $23 million and an adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2 million. The company also reported a second quarter revenue of $23.3 million, exceeding the guidance midpoint, and an adjusted EBITDA of $2.8 million, above the $2 million guidance. The focus remains on improving annual recurring revenue (ARR) and net revenue retention (NRR), with ARR at $85.9 million and NRR at 96% as of the second quarter. The company anticipates ARR growth to resume in the second half of 2025, driven by improvements in product offerings and customer engagement, particularly through the PolicyNote platform.

FiscalNote Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
FiscalNote Holdings faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and consistent net losses. While the gross profit margin remains strong, negative margins and cash flow issues present significant risks. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating reduced leverage, but overall financial health requires strategic improvements.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining revenue trend from $132.65 million in 2023 to $115.67 million in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025, indicating a negative growth trajectory. The gross profit margin for TTM 2025 is approximately 71.6%, which is robust, but the net profit margin is negative due to consistent losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 in TTM 2025, which shows a relatively low leverage compared to previous years. The equity ratio is 32.9%, indicating moderate financial stability. However, the company has experienced fluctuations in stockholders' equity and total assets over the years.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
The cash flow statement highlights negative free cash flow and operating cash flow in TTM 2025, with free cash flow deteriorating from previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting issues with converting income into cash. Overall, the cash flow situation remains challenging.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue120.27M132.65M113.77M82.91M65.16M
Gross Profit76.10M92.39M65.87M61.11M52.54M
EBITDA53.51M-56.58M-98.37M-36.13M-9.29M
Net Income9.52M-115.46M-218.26M-109.42M-83.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets326.20M370.56M433.16M378.49M280.11M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.61M23.59M60.39M32.17M44.23M
Total Debt172.95M251.64M197.87M333.27M215.22M
Total Liabilities228.37M327.10M288.47M411.33M272.37M
Stockholders Equity97.83M43.46M144.69M-32.83M7.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-14.18M-43.43M-83.99M-42.62M-22.66M
Operating Cash Flow-5.30M-35.49M-72.63M-37.05M-17.17M
Investing Cash Flow89.17M-20.32M-10.24M-49.20M-5.49M
Financing Cash Flow-71.43M12.08M111.53M74.31M60.68M

FiscalNote Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.56
Price Trends
50DMA
0.63
Negative
100DMA
0.67
Negative
200DMA
0.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
41.82
Neutral
STOCH
25.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NOTE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.66, below the 50-day MA of 0.63, and below the 200-day MA of 0.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NOTE.

FiscalNote Holdings Risk Analysis

FiscalNote Holdings disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FiscalNote Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

FiscalNote Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$228.45M30.378.29%3.80%-9.86%
61
Neutral
$35.87B6.13-9.30%2.06%7.63%-6.38%
58
Neutral
$284.39M-41.49%-13.76%-75.18%
57
Neutral
$107.80M40,175.00-3.16%1.12%-11.53%-128.96%
56
Neutral
$674.03M39.11-0.04%3.50%95.90%
49
Neutral
$90.59M14.84-45.39%-15.39%-50.66%
46
Neutral
$79.09M-36.39%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NOTE
FiscalNote Holdings
0.56
-0.72
-56.25%
III
Information Services Group
4.74
1.61
51.44%
CSPI
CSP
10.73
-2.33
-17.84%
PSFE
Paysafe
11.77
-8.82
-42.84%
TLS
Telos
3.87
1.43
58.61%
SAIH
SAIHEAT Limited
7.40
-5.57
-42.95%

FiscalNote Holdings Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FiscalNote Holdings Announces Balance Sheet Realignment
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings announced a comprehensive realignment of its balance sheet through refinancing transactions expected to close by mid-August. The company secured a new $75 million senior secured term loan maturing in 2029, replacing its current senior credit facility, and issued $33 million in new subordinated convertible debt. This refinancing aims to provide FiscalNote with long-term operating flexibility, supporting its product-led growth strategy and strengthening its market position in policy and regulatory intelligence.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOTE) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FiscalNote Holdings stock, see the NOTE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
FiscalNote Holdings Amends Convertible Promissory Notes
Neutral
Aug 5, 2025

On July 30, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. amended agreements with Nautilus Venture Partners and Wealth Plus Investments, adjusting terms of subordinated convertible promissory notes originally issued in 2019. These amendments extended the maturity date to August 15, 2025, increased the principal amounts, and altered repayment terms to require cash payments instead of issuing additional shares, impacting the company’s financial obligations and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOTE) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FiscalNote Holdings stock, see the NOTE Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
FiscalNote Holdings Showcases AI Solutions at IDEAS Conference
Positive
Jun 11, 2025

On June 11, 2025, FiscalNote Holdings participated in the Three Part Advisors 2025 East Coast IDEAS Conference in New York City, where they presented their updated investor presentation and hosted investor meetings. This event is part of their strategy to enhance investor relations and market positioning by showcasing their AI-powered solutions, which aim to transform regulatory uncertainty into actionable insights, potentially impacting their growth and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOTE) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FiscalNote Holdings stock, see the NOTE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
FiscalNote Holds Annual Stockholder Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
May 30, 2025

FiscalNote Holdings, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders on May 28, 2025, where stockholders voted on two proposals. The stockholders elected three Class III directors for a three-year term and ratified the appointment of RSM US LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOTE) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on FiscalNote Holdings stock, see the NOTE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025