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TomTom (TOM2) AI Stock Analysis

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NL:TOM2

TomTom

(Amsterdam:TOM2)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:EUR 4.00▲(7.07% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/17/26

The score is supported mainly by improved profitability and very strong gross margins alongside a low-leverage balance sheet, reinforced by earnings-call guidance pointing to further margin improvement and cost savings. Offsetting this, revenue remains in decline with contract phase-outs and restructuring impacts, while technical signals show a weak intermediate/long-term trend (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation is moderate (P/E ~15.2) but lacks dividend support based on the provided data.

Positive Factors
Very strong gross marginsGross margins near 90% indicate that TomTom’s digital content and software model can generate substantial contribution from each additional unit of revenue. A richer mix of these products can support operating leverage and help sustain profitability even while the company invests in growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and contract phase-outsRevenue contraction across the group indicates that TomTom’s current growth base remains under pressure, particularly as contracts phase out in automotive and enterprise. The enterprise phase-out continues for another three quarters, creating a prolonged headwind before new wins can fully offset lost business.

TomTom (TOM2) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%NL:TOM2-28.70%EWN+14.73%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
EUR 620.13M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
287.82K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.9
Beta (1Y)
1.42
Revenue Growth
-7.40%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Netherlands
Employees
3,300
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

TomTom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TomTom N.V., a Dutch company established in Amsterdam in 1991, is a global provider of navigation and location-based products and services. The company operates through two primary divisions: Location Technology and Consumer. Its offerings include a...

How the Company Makes Money

TomTom primarily makes money by licensing its location technology and selling related services to business customers. A key revenue stream is Automotive, where TomTom provides car manufacturers and automotive suppliers with embedded navigation softwa...

TomTom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 14, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-2.05%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive. TomTom reported improved gross margin, operating profitability, stronger cash generation, a solid net cash position, and a higher full-year operating margin outlook. Management also highlighted strategic opportunities in automated driving, enterprise location intelligence, AI integrations, and partnerships with DeepRoute.ai and Microsoft. These positives were tempered by a 6% group revenue decline, declines across automotive, enterprise, and consumer revenue, ongoing customer contract phase-outs, approximately 200 affected roles, and an upcoming EUR 15 million restructuring charge. AI monetization was described as an early-stage opportunity rather than an established revenue contributor.

Positive Updates

Strategic Reorganization Focused on Growth Markets
TomTom reorganized around three divisions: automated driving, location intelligence for enterprises, and navigation. The company said the structure is intended to sharpen focus, accelerate innovation, respond faster to customer needs, expand the customer base, and support sustainable growth. Navigation remains the backbone of the business, generating most revenue and supported by a strong backlog.

Negative Updates

Group Revenue Declined Year-on-Year
Third-quarter group revenue was EUR 129 million, down 6% versus last year. Management said the decline was in line with expectations and guidance.

Company Guidance

For 2026, TomTom expects group revenue of EUR 505 million-EUR 530 million, Location Technology revenue of EUR 450 million-EUR 470 million, and an operating margin of around 4%, including a restructuring charge of approximately EUR 15 million expected in the fourth quarter; excluding this one-off charge, operating margin is expected to be around 7% for the full year, with annualized savings for the organizational realignment estimated at approximately EUR 21 million. In the fourth quarter, apart from the EUR 15 million, full OpEx is expected to be slightly lower than what was reported in Q3 sequentially. For 2027, the company reiterates expectations of Location Technology revenue growth, supported by increasing gross margin and a more efficient cost base; the enterprise customer contract phase-out will take another three quarters to be fully phased out, although the exact quantity is not something that can be disclosed.

TomTom Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability has rebounded with positive TTM net income (~5.9% margin), strong EBIT margin (~11.6%), and exceptionally high gross margin (~90%). The balance sheet is conservatively financed with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.05). Offsetting this, revenue has been trending down and cash flow quality/consistency is mixed (free cash flow meaningfully below net income and historical volatility).

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

79Positive

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue523.86M554.69M574.38M584.76M536.34M506.93M
Gross Profit471.68M490.56M487.51M495.77M449.72M407.11M
EBITDA77.74M20.88M25.87M31.56M-36.94M-11.47M
Net Income31.11M-6.40M-17.29M-21.01M-102.73M-94.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets704.48M716.19M724.42M795.89M807.50M890.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments239.37M262.80M263.65M315.19M303.73M355.82M
Total Debt39.93M40.35M43.52M46.71M37.73M33.34M
Total Liabilities542.57M576.57M585.57M614.30M607.90M608.02M
Stockholders Equity161.91M139.62M138.85M181.59M199.61M282.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.01M43.59M-4.22M20.84M-41.57M23.51M
Operating Cash Flow35.75M46.91M1.35M32.70M-31.41M36.78M
Investing Cash Flow-3.83M-8.61M14.35M-53.55M-30.77M-19.98M
Financing Cash Flow-23.64M-10.27M-47.89M-23.46M-10.32M-43.66M

TomTom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3.74

Price Trends

50DMA3.84Negative
100DMA4.03Negative
200DMA4.49Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Negative
RSI53.62Neutral
STOCH44.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:TOM2, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.75, below the 50-day MA of 3.84, and below the 200-day MA of 4.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NL:TOM2.

TomTom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

NL:TOM2 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NL:ADYENNL:ADYEN75OutperformEUR 27.07B25.0020.11%―16.73%12.21%
NL:TOM2NL:TOM263NeutralEUR 473.84M14.9120.71%―-7.40%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
NL:CMCOMNL:CMCOM49NeutralEUR 198.67M-29.05-26.35%―-5.42%83.35%
NL:MTRKNL:MTRK34UnderperformEUR 114.96M-9.04――0.08%-2.81%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%40%NL:TOM2NL:ADYENNL:CMCOMNL:MTRKDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
NL:TOM2 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
NL:TOM2Tomtom Nv3.74-1.39-27.17%
NL:ADYENAdyen NV892.50-444.70-33.26%
NL:CMCOMCM.com N.V.6.100.8516.19%
NL:MTRKMotorK PLC2.35-1.81-43.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026