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HAL Trust (HAL) AI Stock Analysis

NL:HAL

HAL Trust

(Amsterdam:HAL)

Select Model
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:EUR 186.00â–²(9.41% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:04/09/26

HAL Trust scores 68, driven primarily by its compelling valuation — a P/E of 2.67 offers a substantial discount even after adjusting for holding company dynamics, providing a strong margin of safety. Financial performance is stable with improving free cash flow and a deleveraging balance sheet, though revenue contraction and modest ROE limit upside enthusiasm. Technicals confirm a healthy medium-term uptrend but show near-term consolidation with neutral momentum indicators. The low beta (0.53) reinforces HAL's defensive character. Key risks include declining top-line growth, earnings quality concerns inherent to diversified holding companies, and the absence of strong near-term catalysts. The stock is best suited for value-oriented investors seeking defensive exposure with downside protection.

Positive Factors
Improving balance sheetHAL's equity growth and rising ROE reflect improving capital efficiency and a more resilient balance sheet. Manageable leverage and declining debt versus prior peaks increase financial flexibility for reinvestment, dividends, or opportunistic acquisitions over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue declineTwo consecutive years of top-line contraction reduce the visibility of organic growth and heighten reliance on dividends and disposal gains. Sustained revenue weakness can compress operating leverage and limit internal funding for expansion or reinvestment over the medium term.

HAL Trust (HAL) vs. iShares MSCI Netherlands ETF (EWN)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%NL:HAL+27.80%EWN+14.93%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 15.35B
Dividend Yield
2.06%
Average Volume (3M)
10.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.7
Beta (1Y)
0.56
Revenue Growth
-4.57%
EPS Growth
-17.05%
Country
Netherlands
Employees
34,583
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Financial - Conglomerates

HAL Trust Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HAL Trust is an investment company, which engages in portfolio management and real estate asset development and management. It operates through the following segments: Unquoted, Quoted Interests, Real Estate, and Liquid Portfolio. The Unquoted segmen...

How the Company Makes Money

HAL makes money primarily as an investment holding company by earning returns from its portfolio companies and investments. Key revenue and value-creation mechanisms include: (1) Dividends and profit distributions received from subsidiaries and assoc...

HAL Trust Financial Statement Overview

Summary

HAL Trust shows solid long-term revenue and earnings growth, with net income rising from €623M (2020) to a projected €1.6B (2025) and a strengthening balance sheet with declining leverage (D/E from 0.51 to 0.31). However, recent revenue contraction (~-0.04% in 2024, -5.6% projected for 2025), volatile margins, and modest ROE (7-10%) temper the outlook. Free cash flow is rebounding strongly to an estimated €1.5B in 2025, but historical cash flow volatility is a concern. The income statement score of 58, balance sheet score of 65, and cash flow score of 62 collectively point to a stable but unspectacular financial profile.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

62Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.23B12.55B12.51B12.99B10.02B7.31B
Gross Profit3.28B3.23B4.79B7.08B3.40B2.93B
EBITDA2.75B3.47B3.26B2.90B895.80M4.91B
Net Income1.43B1.60B1.21B1.00B646.80M4.27B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.90B28.14B27.34B26.34B26.71B22.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.84B4.97B4.32B4.77B5.69B6.69B
Total Debt4.81B4.80B4.83B4.84B6.22B4.80B
Total Liabilities10.46B10.41B10.43B10.47B11.48B7.82B
Stockholders Equity16.28B15.63B14.78B13.68B13.01B12.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.64B1.49B1.22B1.26B505.00M665.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.65B2.68B2.62B2.41B1.44B1.49B
Investing Cash Flow-97.10M-266.60M-1.88B31.00M-2.03B-749.90M
Financing Cash Flow-561.40M-627.50M-818.50M-1.84B395.20M-73.50M

HAL Trust Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price170.00

Price Trends

50DMA163.87Positive
100DMA163.99Positive
200DMA164.78Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.59Negative
RSI67.66Neutral
STOCH92.79Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NL:HAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 170.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 164.83, above the 50-day MA of 163.87, and above the 200-day MA of 164.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.79 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NL:HAL.

HAL Trust Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

NL:HAL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NL:HALNL:HAL68NeutralEUR 15.35B10.748.96%2.06%-4.57%-17.05%
NL:CVCNL:CVC66NeutralEUR 13.99B11.18―3.73%13.61%28.51%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%NL:HALNL:PBHNL:VALUENL:CVCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
NL:HAL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
NL:HALHAL Trust170.0036.5927.43%
NL:PBHPB Holding NV3.320.5218.57%
NL:VALUEVALUE8 N V6.35-0.14-2.20%
NL:CVCCVC Capital Partners plc13.42-0.62-4.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026