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Zillow Group Class C (Z) AI Stock Analysis

MX:Z

Zillow Group Class C

(BMV:Z)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
High-Margin, Cash-Generating OperationsStrong gross margins and positive operating and free cash flow show that Zillow’s platform can convert consumer engagement and professional demand into financial resources. This supports continued investment in products, data and software while providing resilience through normal housing-market variability.
Negative Factors
Preferred-Model Transition HeadwindsThe transition to a preferred integrated model is changing revenue mix and delaying recognition from Zillow Home Loans. Even if long-term economics improve, the interim timing and seasonal effects can suppress reported for-sale growth and make near-term performance harder to interpret.

Zillow Group Class C (Z) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%MX:Z-58.56%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 7.01B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
101
Price to Earnings (P/E)
136.5
Beta (1Y)
-0.08
Revenue Growth
7.00%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Mexico
Employees
7,068
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Internet Content & Information

Zillow Group Class C Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Zillow Group, Inc. functions as a prominent digital real estate enterprise, offering a variety of real estate platforms accessible through mobile applications and websites throughout the United States. The company's operations are divided into three...

Zillow Group Class C Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-9.00%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed strong underlying business momentum with broad-based revenue growth, meaningful AI-driven engagement gains, rapid progress in Zillow Home Loans, and disciplined cost actions. Management acknowledged near-term headwinds tied to an accelerated transition to a preferred, integrated transaction model (revenue mix shifts, timing/seasonality impacts) and recorded restructuring and litigation costs. Despite these transitional and macro risks, the company reported above-expectation results, expanded profitability metrics, clear product adoption signals, and reiterated medium-term margin targets, indicating confidence in the strategy.

Positive Updates

Strong Total Revenue and Profitability
Total revenue of $772M in Q2, up 18% year-over-year and above guidance; EBITDA of $176M (23% margin) exceeded outlook; reported adjusted net income of $118M and diluted adjusted net income per share of $0.52 versus $0.40 a year ago.

Negative Updates

Transition to Preferred Model Causes Near-Term Revenue Headwinds
Accelerating connections to preferred creates a shift from residential revenue to mortgages and timing headwinds: a 300 bps shift in 2025, ~500 bps in H1 2026, and management expects 600–800 bps of shift in later quarters; the timing of Zillow Home Loans recognition (6–12 month lag) has created a ~200 bps headwind to for-sale revenue and Q4 is expected to face a 400–600 bps combined headwind to for-sale revenue YoY.

Company Guidance

Zillow guided Q3 revenue of $745–760M (≈11% YoY at the midpoint), with for‑sale growth of 5–7% (residential flat, mortgages >50% YoY) and rentals up in the high‑20% range; Q3 EBITDA expenses of $560–565M and EBITDA of $180–200M (≈25% margin at the midpoint). For full‑year 2026 management reiterated mid‑teens total revenue growth to $2.92–2.96B, ~30% rentals growth, EBITDA $730–760M and continued margin expansion, while targeting >75% of connections to preferred by year‑end and a 35%+ revenue‑per‑connection premium vs. the legacy model. Other key metrics: Q2 adjusted net income $118M and diluted adjusted EPS $0.52, Q2 EBITDA $176M (23% margin), Q2 for‑sale revenue $549M (+14% YoY: residential $465M +7%, mortgages $84M +75%, purchase origination volume +95%), Q2 rentals $209M (+31%, multifamily +42%) with 2.8M average monthly rental listings and 79k multifamily properties, AI Mode live to ~20% of signed‑in users and driving 2–3x engagement/contact rates, Follow‑up Boss 138k MAU (+21% YoY), $682M cash & investments (total liquidity ≈$1.2B), Q2 repurchases $200M (YTD $826M; 225M shares outstanding), and restructuring actions expected to deliver ~$75M annualized EBITDA savings (Q2 charges $36M; additional $23–28M expected in Q3) while full‑year share‑based comp is expected down >15% YoY.

Zillow Group Class C Risk Analysis

Zillow Group Class C disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Zillow Group Class C reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Zillow Group Class C Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

MX:Z against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NRDSNRDS75Outperform$714.66M12.2918.07%―11.51%42.17%
NXDRNXDR72Outperform$866.54M-28.50-7.27%―9.79%53.33%
YELPYELP72Outperform$1.04B9.0518.61%―1.50%-6.82%
PINSPINS64Neutral$10.95B77.465.25%―15.38%-91.36%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
ANGIANGI52Neutral$242.93M-1.09-25.18%―-8.83%-554.39%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%MX:ZANGIYELPPINSNXDRNRDSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:Z and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:ZZillow Group Inc Class C576.00-814.00-58.56%
ANGIAngi Inc.5.99-7.06-54.10%
YELPYelp Inc19.09-13.97-42.26%
PINSPinterest19.36-14.34-42.55%
NXDRNextdoor Holdings, Inc.2.240.3216.67%
NRDSNerdWallet, Inc. Class A11.18-0.85-7.07%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.