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Wabash National (WNC) AI Stock Analysis

MX:WNC

Wabash National

(BMV:WNC)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Backlog and demandThe rapidly expanding backlog provides meaningful forward visibility and indicates that customers are committing to Wabash equipment despite the cyclical market. This supports higher utilization of existing capacity, potential operating leverage, and a clearer route to improved earnings over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Profitability deteriorationThe sharp move from prior profitability to a substantial loss shows that current pricing, mix, and cost absorption remain unstable. Until margins recover sustainably, earnings will remain vulnerable to production inefficiencies and industry-cycle changes, limiting internal funding for growth.

Wabash National (WNC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%MX:WNC0.00%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 478.25M
Dividend Yield
1.57%
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.4
Beta (1Y)
0.44
Revenue Growth
-17.15%
EPS Growth
-148.87%
Country
Mexico
Employees
4,700
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Agricultural - Machinery

Wabash National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Wabash National Corporation (WNC) specializes in the engineering, manufacturing, and supply of diverse solutions for the transportation, logistics, and distribution industries, primarily serving the United States market. The company operates through...

Wabash National Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 02, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call had a positive forward-looking tone, supported by rapidly increasing dry van orders, a $1.3 billion backlog, improved pricing, stronger liquidity, expanded capacity, and expectations for quarterly profitability by Q2 2027. However, current results remained loss-making, truck body volumes and profitability were weak, cash flow was negative, and operational-readiness costs and refinancing needs remained near-term challenges.

Positive Updates

Safety Performance Continued to Improve
Total recordable injury rates were 26% favorable to the prior quarter and 42% favorable to the prior year. Q3 marked the fifth consecutive quarter of improvement, despite increases in working hours and new hires.

Negative Updates

Q3 Earnings Remained Negative
Non-GAAP adjusted EPS was -$0.63, adjusted non-GAAP EBITDA was -$10.4 million, or -2.2% of sales, adjusted non-GAAP operating margin was -5.7% of sales, and adjusted non-GAAP gross margin was 3.2% of sales. GAAP EPS was -$0.51 per diluted share.

Company Guidance

For Q4, Wabash expects revenue to be between $420 million and $450 million, adjusted operating margin of -8% to -5%, and adjusted EPS of -$0.75 to -$0.55; the 200-300 basis point improvement in dry van material margin percentage remains on track, and adjusted earnings per share are expected to be in the range of -$0.75 to -$0.55. Wabash expects rapid sequential improvement through 2027, reaching a level of quarterly profitability by Q2, consistent with an annualized EBITDA run rate between $150 million and $170 million, while strong incrementals exceeding 20% are expected moving into the first quarter. Dry van volume is expected in the 35,000-38,000 range, with the current pace of backlog intake suggesting a higher volume case in the low 40,000 unit range and targeted market share percentage in the ±25% range; dry van capacity is expected to reach a 42,000-45,000 unit run rate on an annualized basis. Parts & Services are expected to maintain a 5%-10% top-line growth trajectory, resulting in mid-teen EBIT% performance returning, while truck body recovery is expected to remain six to nine months behind dry vans; formal 2027 guidance was not provided.

Wabash National Risk Analysis

Wabash National disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wabash National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The accounting method for the Convertible Notes could adversely affect our reported financial condition and results.Q2, 2026
2.Conversion of the Convertible Notes will dilute the ownership interest of existing stockholders or may otherwise depress the price of our common stock.Q2, 2026
3.The contemplated amendment to the Revolving Credit Agreement may not be consummated, or may be consummated on terms that are less favorable to us.Q2, 2026

Wabash National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

MX:WNC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FSSFSS75Outperform$6.87B23.0920.12%0.52%23.99%25.76%
DEDE71Outperform$182.13B37.4418.11%0.96%7.98%-5.94%
OSKOSK68Neutral$8.53B17.5611.03%1.59%3.92%-22.69%
AEBIAEBI64Neutral$880.02M35.752.33%1.10%――
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
TWITWI39Underperform$300.42M-2.54-23.84%―-3.67%-1175.93%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%40%MX:WNCDEFSSOSKTWIAEBIDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:WNC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:WNCWabash National228.570.01<0.01%
DEDeere & Company675.48218.7547.90%
FSSFederal Signal112.67-2.04-1.78%
OSKOshkosh Corporation139.9420.4917.16%
TWITitan International4.65-3.11-40.08%
AEBIAebi Schmidt Holding AG11.340.292.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.