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Rockwell Automation (ROK) AI Stock Analysis

MX:ROK

Rockwell Automation

(BMV:ROK)

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Positive Factors
Raised Growth and Earnings GuidanceHigher sales and EPS guidance indicates improving demand, operating execution and earnings visibility. If achieved, the outlook supports durable financial momentum over the next several quarters despite cyclical industrial exposure.
Negative Factors
Sharp TTM Revenue DeclineThe pronounced trailing revenue contraction shows that Rockwell remains exposed to industrial demand cycles and portfolio effects. Even with improved guidance, sustained recovery depends on customers resuming capital spending across weaker end markets.

Rockwell Automation (ROK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%MX:ROK+27.67%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 48.54B
Dividend Yield
1.17%
Average Volume (3M)
289
Price to Earnings (P/E)
40.8
Beta (1Y)
-0.17
Revenue Growth
1.35%
EPS Growth
13.23%
Country
Mexico
Employees
26,000
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Rockwell Automation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Rockwell Automation, Inc., established in 1903 and headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, is a global leader in providing industrial automation and digital transformation solutions. The company's operations are segmented into three key areas: Intelli...

Rockwell Automation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-0.06%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed strong top-line and margin performance with raised guidance, notable outperformance in Software & Control, Intelligent Devices, and discrete end markets (Semiconductor, Data Center, E‑commerce). Cash generation, share repurchases, and margin expansion were highlighted. Headwinds include persistent inflationary cost pressure, slower-than-expected recurring services/ARR growth, Sensia-related sales impacts and pockets of weak capital spending (e.g., Food & Beverage, some process areas and Mining). On balance, positives (revenue beat, margin expansion, EPS raise, strong free cash flow and increased guidance) materially outweigh the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Top-line Growth Above Expectations
Q3 reported sales +8% YoY and organic sales +10% YoY (Sensia dissolution -3% impact; currency +1%). Full-year sales guidance raised to 7.5%–9.5% (8.5% midpoint), up 150 bps vs prior guide.

Negative Updates

Lifecycle Services Softness and ARR Miss
Lifecycle Services organic sales down 2% YoY; book-to-bill 0.97. Organic ARR grew 6% in Q3, below company expectations and constrained by lack of CapEx recovery in Food & Beverage and certain process industries.

Company Guidance

Rockwell's fiscal 2026 guidance: reported and organic sales growth of 7.5–9.5% (8.5% midpoint) with ~150 bps of favorable currency at the midpoint (partially offset by the Sensia dissolution); organic ARR growth mid‑single digits; enterprise operating margin ~21.5% (≈+260 bps YoY); adjusted EPS $13.00–$13.30 (midpoint $13.15, ~25% growth vs FY25); free cash‑flow conversion ~100%; full‑year price realization ~250 bps (≈100 bps tariff, 150 bps underlying) with tariffs expected to be EPS‑neutral; full‑year incrementals >50% as‑reported and high‑40s on an organic basis; Q4 expected low‑single‑digit sequential sales growth with roughly flat enterprise margin; segment expectations — Intelligent Devices: low double‑digit revenue growth, ~20% segment margin; Software & Control: high‑teens revenue growth, low‑30s margin; Lifecycle Services: ~-$150M revenue decline with flat to slightly up margin; CapEx ≈3% of sales; corporate & other ≈$115M; net interest ≈$120M; share repurchases ≈$850M for the year (≈300k shares / ~$150M repurchased YTD); average diluted shares ≈112.2M; adjusted ETR ≈19.5%.

Rockwell Automation Risk Analysis

Rockwell Automation disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Rockwell Automation reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Macro & Political - Risks related to catastrophic events or geopolitical conditions that may disrupt the company’s business

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Rockwell Automation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

MX:ROK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
EMREMR76Outperform$92.00B35.9112.69%1.35%4.82%-1.66%
ITTITT75Outperform$17.75B38.7710.35%0.76%28.07%-19.95%
NDSNNDSN73Outperform$17.97B32.4917.59%1.05%7.02%24.24%
PHPH72Outperform$113.48B31.1425.11%0.84%8.31%4.96%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
FLSFLS63Neutral$10.02B39.5111.35%1.10%0.21%-42.26%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%MX:ROKEMRFLSITTNDSNPHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:ROK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:ROKRockwell Automation7990.001731.8927.67%
EMREmerson Electric164.9427.0819.64%
FLSFlowserve79.018.0011.27%
ITTITT Corporation198.5014.417.83%
NDSNNordson Corporation322.6795.8442.25%
PHParker-Hannifin Corp899.82134.3117.55%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.