Royal Gold (RGLD) AI Stock Analysis

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Royal Gold

(BMV:RGLD)

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Positive Factors

High profitability and revenue growthStrong revenue growth combined with an exceptionally high net margin indicates that Royal Gold’s royalty and streaming model converts portfolio activity into substantial earnings. Because operators bear mine-level costs, this profitability profile can remain durable as production and metal deliveries expand.

Negative Factors

Exposure to operator disruptionsRoyal Gold does not operate its mines, so interruptions at partner assets can directly reduce deliveries and royalty revenue while investigations proceed. The Antamina suspension demonstrates that operational events outside Royal Gold’s control can affect portfolio output and cash generation.

Royal Gold (RGLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap: MXN 23.99B
Dividend Yield: 0.83%
Average Volume (3M): 24
Price to Earnings (P/E): 28.5
Beta (1Y): -0.03
Revenue Growth: 84.25%
EPS Growth: 21.73%
Country: Mexico
Employees: 39
Sector: Basic Materials
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Gold

Royal Gold Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Royal Gold, Inc. and its subsidiaries engage in the acquisition and oversight of precious metal streams, royalty agreements, and related rights. The company's strategy involves securing these interests or providing capital for projects, whether curre...

Royal Gold Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2022

Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive. Royal Gold reported record revenue, adjusted net income and operating cash flow, raised guidance for other metals, became debt-free, maintained substantial liquidity and highlighted broad organic growth across its portfolio. The company also described an active business development pipeline and continued shareholder returns. The main challenges were Antamina's suspension following a fatality, low-end or narrowed production guidance at Andacollo and Kansanshi, lower Rainy River sales, higher expenses, a fair value loss and Platreef operating below design capacity, but these issues were outweighed by the record financial results and positive portfolio developments.

Positive Updates

Record Quarterly Revenue, Adjusted Net Income and Operating Cash Flow

Third-quarter revenue was $465 million on record volume of 109,000 GEOs. Operating cash flow was $344 million, a record for the third consecutive quarter and up 98% from $174 million in the prior-year quarter. Net income was $227 million, while adjusted net income was a record $238 million, or $2.80 per share.

Negative Updates

Andacollo Production Guidance at Low End

Andacollo production improved during the quarter as operations recovered from earlier weather events and plant throughput increased, returning to full production by month end. However, Teck expects 2026 copper production to be at the low end of its 45,000 to 55,000 tonne guidance range.

Company Guidance

Management raised full year guidance for other metals, expects to be at or above the top end of the guidance ranges for silver and copper sales, and expects gold sales around the midpoint of the original guidance range; Teck expects 2026 copper production at the low end of the 45,000 to 55,000 tonne guidance range, while First Quantum’s 2026 copper production guidance is 175,000 to 185,000 tonnes, implying gold deliveries of 29,000 to 31,000 ounces for 2026. Royal Gold expects its total G&A expense for the year near the upper end of the $50 million to $60 million range, D&A within the original guidance range of $339 million to $379 million, and the full year effective tax rate within 17% to 22%; Ero’s total 2026 gold production guidance is between 75,000 to 80,000 ounces, including 30,000 to 35,000 ounces of mine production, implying approximately 22,000 to 27,000 ounces in the fourth quarter, and Kinross is expected to buy back 25% of the Great Bear royalty in the fourth quarter for approximately $43 million, reducing Royal Gold’s interest to a 1.5% NSR.

Royal Gold Risk Analysis

Royal Gold disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Royal Gold reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Royal Gold Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MX:RGLD against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AU	77Outperform	$46.96B	12.86	44.90%	4.86%	―	―
GFI	75Outperform	$34.11B	8.08	51.87%	6.02%	71.19%	133.85%
NEM	74Outperform	$125.65B	14.49	26.45%	0.85%	23.41%	33.87%
CDE	73Outperform	$15.81B	17.32	8.02%	0.13%	111.73%	33.15%
Sector *	61Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
CTGO	53Neutral	$520.00M	-5.91	-34.41%	―	―	-400.46%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

MX:RGLD and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
MX:RGLD	Royal Gold	4250.50	991.87	30.44%
CDE	Coeur Mining	15.47	0.28	1.83%
GFI	Gold Fields	39.17	-1.61	-3.95%
NEM	Newmont Mining	120.91	31.80	35.68%
CTGO	Contango ORE	15.55	-7.25	-31.80%
AU	Anglogold Ashanti PLC	92.99	17.16	22.63%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Royal Gold AI Stock Analysis