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Oracle (ORCL) AI Stock Analysis

MX:ORCL

Oracle

(BMV:ORCL)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
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Positive Factors
Cloud and AI growthRapid OCI growth, strong AI demand, and upgraded fiscal guidance indicate expanding relevance in a structurally growing cloud market. The combination of infrastructure adoption, contract activity, and rising utilization can support durable revenue growth as committed workloads convert over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Heavy leverageOracle’s substantial debt load reduces financial flexibility while the company is undertaking an unusually capital-intensive infrastructure expansion. Although leverage has improved from earlier levels, elevated obligations could increase refinancing and interest burdens if operating conditions or cash generation weaken.

Oracle (ORCL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%MX:ORCL-46.13%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 395.14B
Dividend Yield
1.51%
Average Volume (3M)
11.80K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.2
Beta (1Y)
-0.06
Revenue Growth
9.06%
EPS Growth
31.48%
Country
Mexico
Employees
141,000
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

Oracle Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Oracle Corporation, a global technology giant, provides a comprehensive suite of enterprise information technology solutions worldwide. A core part of its portfolio comprises cloud-based software-as-a-service (SaaS) applications, including the Oracle...

Oracle Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 09, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:-5.61%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 13, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly optimistic, characterized by record revenue, accelerating cloud infrastructure growth, robust AI demand and utilization, substantial contract activity, expanding multi-cloud capabilities, strong applications and AI adoption, and upgraded fiscal 2027 guidance. The principal challenges were the expected gross-margin decline during the infrastructure ramp, negative free cash flow, elevated CapEx, the absence of a specific positive free cash flow timeline, and comparatively slower NetSuite growth. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Record Revenue and Sequential Q1 Growth
Q1 total revenue reached a record $19.3 billion, up 30% year over year in US dollars. For the first time, Q1 total revenue grew sequentially, compared with the historical pattern of a lighter Q1 following record Q4 results.

Negative Updates

Gross Margin Decline During Infrastructure Ramp
Gross margin declined as expected due to the ramp-up of data centers and the acceleration of infrastructure revenue. Oracle said infrastructure is by nature a lower-gross-margin business than software. Gross margin was expected to flatten as the ramp-up finishes, although the company did not provide specific guidance.

Company Guidance

For Q2 27, Oracle expects total revenue growth of between 30% to 34% in US dollars, cloud revenue growth of between 65% to 71% in US dollars, and non-GAAP EPS between $1.85 and $1.93, up between 21% to 25% in US dollars, excluding the gains from Ampere booked in Q2 of last year; for the full year, it upgraded guidance to at least $90 billion in total revenues, a year over year increase of +34%, and $8.10 for non-GAAP EPS, while continuing to anticipate $90 billion to $95 billion in CapEx, with not more than $70 billion in net cash CapEx, and expects around half of RPO to convert into sales over the next 36 months.

Oracle Risk Analysis

Oracle disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oracle reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Oracle Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MX:ORCL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
MSFTMSFT80Outperform$3.88T27.1833.21%0.70%17.91%36.06%
NTNXNTNX77Outperform$18.33B12.07-395.76%―12.44%692.05%
NETNET74Outperform$99.95B-481.39-13.86%―33.53%-72.17%
OKTAOKTA74Outperform$36.40B123.224.26%―11.22%74.46%
MDBMDB68Neutral$28.43B483.182.00%―25.45%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%MX:ORCLMSFTNTNXOKTAMDBNETDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:ORCL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:ORCLOracle Corporation2450.82-2228.99-47.63%
MSFTMicrosoft521.919.101.77%
NTNXNutanix Inc67.21-3.95-5.55%
OKTAOkta, Inc.208.24117.16128.63%
MDBMongodb, Inc.352.96-16.09-4.36%
NETCloudflare Inc280.7032.5913.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.