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Microchip (MCHP) AI Stock Analysis

MX:MCHP

Microchip

(BMV:MCHP)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin RecoveryThe return to revenue growth and improved profitability indicates recovery from the 2025 downturn. Sustained embedded demand and operating leverage could support earnings improvement, although margins remain below prior-cycle peaks.
Negative Factors
Meaningful LeverageThe debt burden remains material relative to liquidity and requires management to prioritize deleveraging over shareholder returns. High leverage can constrain investment flexibility and amplify downside during future semiconductor demand weakness.

Microchip (MCHP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%MX:MCHP+23.14%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 42.00B
Dividend Yield
2.31%
Average Volume (3M)
1,180
Price to Earnings (P/E)
107.2
Beta (1Y)
0.27
Revenue Growth
10.00%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Mexico
Employees
17,900
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Semiconductors

Microchip Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Microchip Technology Incorporated creates, produces, and sells intelligent, interconnected, and secure embedded control solutions to customers throughout the Americas, Europe, and Asia. The company's core offerings include a range of microcontrollers...

Microchip Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:11.84%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call communicated strong operational and financial momentum: robust revenue growth, expanding margins, very strong bookings, accelerating data-center exposure and notable design wins, supported by strong cash generation and improving leverage. Headwinds include supply-chain constraints (foundry/OSAT/substrate/test), some one-time/lumpy margin benefits that may not repeat, elevated inventory levels (though improving), and a high net-debt balance that management is prioritizing for paydown. On balance, the positive execution, strong bookings/backlog, and meaningful data-center opportunity outweigh the challenges.

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue Growth
Net sales in the June quarter were $1.485 billion, up 13.2% sequentially and up 38% year-over-year.

Negative Updates

Supply Chain and Lead-Time Constraints
Lead times are stretching on many products due to constrained substrates, foundry nodes, OSAT and external test capacity; increased expedited shipment requests often go unsupported in-quarter.

Company Guidance

For the September quarter Microchip guided to net sales up 8% sequentially (+/‑1%) — at the midpoint +40.6% year‑over‑year — with non‑GAAP gross margin of 66%–67%, non‑GAAP operating expenses of about 27.5% of sales, non‑GAAP operating profit of 38.5%–39.5% of sales, and non‑GAAP diluted EPS of $0.91–$0.95 (midpoint +165.7% YoY, +22.4% sequentially). Management reiterated a FY‑2027 non‑GAAP cash tax rate of ~7.5% and FY‑2027 CapEx of about $100M, said underutilization charges should continue to decline (roughly an $8M sequential reduction expected), noted price increases implemented mid‑August/early‑September will only modestly affect the September quarter (full‑quarter benefit in December), reported a strong book‑to‑bill >1 and rising backlog, and expects net‑debt/adjusted‑EBITDA to fall materially from 2.85 (June 30) to below ~2.5 this quarter.

Microchip Risk Analysis

Microchip disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Microchip reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Microchip Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MX:MCHP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NXPINXPI82Outperform$65.44B20.3029.17%1.56%8.77%39.24%
TXNTXN77Outperform$274.90B38.9240.51%1.92%20.27%40.76%
ADIADI73Outperform$202.12B49.2412.26%1.03%33.65%114.59%
ONON68Neutral$27.90B45.368.38%―-3.14%44.55%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
STMSTM60Neutral$41.72B80.122.97%0.77%15.81%-2.21%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%MX:MCHPADINXPIONSTMTXNDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:MCHP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:MCHPMicrochip Technology1435.00269.6423.14%
ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.417.11186.3980.78%
NXPINXP Semiconductors259.6152.8725.57%
ONON Semiconductor Corporation71.6721.2142.03%
STMStmicroelectronics N.V.46.7422.5393.05%
TXNTexas Instruments300.84142.8290.38%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.