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Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL) AI Stock Analysis

MX:KNSL

Kinsale Capital Group

(BMV:KNSL)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Underwriting profitabilityA 75.4% combined ratio and operating ROE above 25% demonstrate strong underwriting economics and disciplined risk selection. Sustaining these results would support internal capital generation, reinforce Kinsale’s specialty-market position, and provide resilience as pricing conditions normalize.
Negative Factors
Premium growth slowdownDeclining written premium indicates that recent underwriting strength is not yet translating into expanding volume. If the slowdown persists, slower premium growth could limit operating leverage, reduce future investment float growth, and make it harder to sustain earnings momentum despite strong margins.

Kinsale Capital Group (KNSL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%MX:KNSL-11.88%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 8.23B
Dividend Yield
0.23%
Average Volume (3M)
224
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.5
Beta (1Y)
0.19
Revenue Growth
-2.63%
EPS Growth
1.41%
Country
Mexico
Employees
716
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Insurance - Property & Casualty

Kinsale Capital Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. engages in the provision of property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company’s commercial lines offerings include commercial property, excess casualty, general casualty, small business casualty, c...

Kinsale Capital Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 21, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-4.84%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive: operating earnings, ROE, underwriting profitability, investment income, capital returns, technology, and submission activity were strong, while management emphasized disciplined growth and pricing. The principal challenges were declining written premium, a soft and highly competitive E&S market, pressure in Commercial Property and large accounts, a GAAP earnings decline caused by investment repositioning, and competition in personal lines. Management characterized the premium decline as a temporary mix shift and remained confident in the company's operating model.

Positive Updates

Operating Earnings and Return on Equity Growth
Third-quarter 2026 diluted operating earnings per share increased 9.4% year over year. Annualized operating ROE was 25.6% through nine months, while annualized GAAP ROE was 26.6%.

Negative Updates

Decline in Written Premium
Gross written premium declined 4.8% year over year and net written premium declined 1.5%. Excluding the Commercial Property division, gross written premium was down 0.5%.

Company Guidance

Management expects the most recent CAT activity impact on results to be immaterial; the average premium per policy was $10.7 thousand through Q3 and will “probably remain pretty steady but it will trend maybe slightly downward as competition picks up,” while commercial property reductions are “hopefully” expected to moderate. At this time, $100 million is expected to be a good quarterly run rate for repurchases, with the company planning to be opportunistic otherwise and intending that run rate for the remainder of its repurchase authorization; fixed-income repositioning is expected to add $5.5 million to $6 million annually. The company continues to target a 20% return on equity or better, expects its expense ratio to “drift downward over time, not up,” plans to roll out an additional 5 or 6 new offerings, and expects the temporary drop off in written premium to “correct near term on its own” and return to “a modest growth hopefully in the near term.”

Kinsale Capital Group Risk Analysis

Kinsale Capital Group disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kinsale Capital Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Kinsale Capital Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

MX:KNSL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
WRBWRB85Outperform$27.44B15.8218.98%2.50%1.45%-0.85%
PLMRPLMR76Outperform$3.69B18.9121.61%0.31%60.27%30.93%
SKWDSKWD76Outperform$2.62B13.8316.84%―37.99%34.78%
MKLMKL74Outperform$22.87B13.479.66%―-0.64%-12.26%
RLIRLI72Outperform$5.98B15.6722.50%6.96%6.25%11.83%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%MX:KNSLMKLRLIWRBPLMRSKWDDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:KNSL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:KNSLKinsale Capital Group6924.20-933.74-11.88%
MKLMarkel Corporation1904.42-77.39-3.91%
RLIRLI Corp67.2411.4820.58%
WRBW. R. Berkley Corporation75.163.124.33%
PLMRPalomar Holdings145.0229.8925.96%
SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.61.1315.2633.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.