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Robinhood (HOOD) AI Stock Analysis

MX:HOOD

Robinhood

(BMV:HOOD)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Profitability and Cash GenerationRobinhood is currently converting reported earnings into substantial operating and free cash flow, supporting reinvestment without relying as heavily on external funding. Strong margins and cash conversion provide resilience and capacity to fund product expansion, technology, and international growth.
Negative Factors
Cyclical Earnings and Cash FlowRobinhood’s recent improvement has not eliminated the business’s demonstrated sensitivity to market cycles and changing customer activity. Prior losses and negative cash flow show that profitability and internal funding can deteriorate materially when trading conditions, volumes, or business mix become less favorable.

Robinhood (HOOD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%MX:HOOD-38.78%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 67.43B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
3,565
Price to Earnings (P/E)
38.6
Beta (1Y)
0.78
Revenue Growth
9.45%
EPS Growth
-20.15%
Country
Mexico
Employees
2,900
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets

Robinhood Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates a financial services platform available to users throughout the United States. This platform empowers individuals to engage in a wide array of investments, encompassing common stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), opt...

Robinhood Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 26, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-11.64%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 15, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, with record revenue, adjusted EBITDA, platform assets, net deposits and trading volumes, broad product expansion, increasing Gold adoption, early Robinhood Chain traction and continued international growth. The main challenges were modestly lighter early-Q4 trading volumes, tighter spreads and lower take-rate dynamics, quarter-to-quarter variability in net deposits and monthly activity, staged product rollouts, and regulatory uncertainty around U.S. tokenization. Management remained confident in customer engagement, product momentum and long-term expansion.

Positive Updates

Record Revenue, EBITDA and Platform Assets
Q3 revenue grew 12% year-over-year to a record $1.4 billion, adjusted EBITDA increased 9% to a record $808 million, adjusted EBITDA margin was 57%, and platform assets reached nearly $400 billion.

Negative Updates

October Trading Volumes Were Slightly Below Q3 Records
Although October trading activity was strong, average daily volumes for equities, options and crypto were about 5% lighter than the exceptionally strong Q3 levels.

Company Guidance

Management expects full year adjusted OpEx in SBC to be between $2.675 billion and $2.75 billion, with the top end lowered by $25 million and the midpoint $13 million lower versus prior outlook; Trump accounts are expected to represent about $100 million investment for the full year. Net deposits have already surpassed the 20% annualized growth target, reaching over $13 billion in October and over $68 billion year-to-date, while Q4 average daily volumes for equities, options and cryptos are about 5% lighter relative to the really strong Q3 and event contract ADVs are up about 10%; in a normalized environment, Robinhood expects to monetize Robinhood Chain at probably a couple of basis points on notional values, and each 25 basis point hike or decline is expected to produce about a 1.5% change to revenue. Over the long run, management’s vision is that more than half of the business should be outside the U.S. and more than half should be institutional; no 2027 expense guidance was provided, with the company saying it will share the full plan in January and February.

Robinhood Risk Analysis

Robinhood disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Robinhood reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.There are no guarantees that we will repurchase shares under the Repurchase Program or that the Repurchase Program will result in increased shareholder value.Q4, 2024
2.Risks Related to Regulation of PFOFQ4, 2024
3.Risks Related to our Business Relationships with Market MakersQ4, 2024

Robinhood Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

MX:HOOD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TIGRTIGR84Outperform$696.00M6.1413.05%―41.46%-8.31%
FUTUFUTU80Outperform$13.80B9.6728.42%2.64%44.47%39.64%
SCHWSCHW77Outperform$152.27B14.9521.29%1.40%12.30%37.56%
XPXP77Outperform$7.39B7.5722.05%2.66%16.84%20.39%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
ETORETOR66Neutral$1.82B7.4818.97%―9.87%32.48%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%MX:HOODSCHWFUTUTIGRXPETORDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:HOOD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc. Class A1570.00-1149.00-42.26%
SCHWCharles Schwab Corp.88.05-3.92-4.27%
FUTUFutu Holdings98.45-92.78-48.52%
TIGRUp Fintech Holding3.87-7.04-64.53%
XPXp Incorporation14.29-3.64-20.32%
ETOREtoro Group Ltd.22.51-13.96-38.28%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.