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Gold Fields (GFIN) AI Stock Analysis

MX:GFIN

Gold Fields

(BMV:GFIN)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Strong cash generation and shareholder returnsExceptional free cash flow gives Gold Fields capacity to fund sustaining investment, advance growth projects, reduce debt and return capital concurrently. This strengthens financial resilience and supports a durable capital-allocation model, although cash generation remains linked to operating performance.
Negative Factors
Rising operating costsHigher cash costs and AISC reduce the margin retained from each ounce and make profitability more exposed to changes in realized gold prices. Royalties, inflation, currencies, strip ratios and deeper mining costs indicate that pressure may reflect several persistent drivers rather than a single temporary issue.

Gold Fields (GFIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%MX:GFIN-0.76%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 29.37B
Dividend Yield
6.41%
Average Volume (3M)
136
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.6
Beta (1Y)
0.96
Revenue Growth
55.35%
EPS Growth
113.40%
Country
Mexico
Employees
6,560
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gold

Gold Fields Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gold Fields Limited is a prominent global gold mining enterprise, holding significant reserves and resources across diverse regions including Chile, South Africa, Ghana, West Africa, Australia, and Peru. Beyond its primary focus on gold, the company...

Gold Fields Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 24, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-1.10%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a strongly positive near-term financial and operational performance: doubled free cash flow, a ~51% higher realized gold price, 12% production growth and significant returns to shareholders alongside a near-net-cash balance sheet. These substantial positives are tempered by rising unit costs (AISC +13%), portfolio-level cost inflation and specific execution/sovereign risks (Windfall permitting delays, Tarkwa lease uncertainty and localized operational disruptions). Management has clear mitigation/actions (transformation program, disciplined capital allocation, readiness to progress Windfall when permits are received) but there are non-trivial timing and cost risks on growth projects. On balance, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights given the scale of cash generation, deleveraging and shareholder returns.

Positive Updates

Strong safety performance
No fatalities and no serious injuries across the group in H1 2026, attributed to the safety improvement program (visible leadership, critical control verification and focus on lead indicators).

Negative Updates

Rising cash costs and all-in sustaining costs
Group cash costs rose ~10% and all-in sustaining costs (AISC) increased ~13% to $1,893/oz (all-in cost ~$2,125/oz). Drivers include higher royalties, mining cost inflation, stronger producing currencies, higher strip ratios and deeper mining structural costs.

Company Guidance

Management guided that H2 delivery is expected to keep production toward the upper end of guidance while all‑in sustaining costs are expected toward the midpoint (~$1,893/oz) and all‑in costs slightly toward the lower end (~$2,125/oz); group CapEx was revised slightly down with sustaining capital unchanged (sustaining capital cited at ~$497/oz). They highlighted strong H1 metrics that underpin the guidance: adjusted free cash flow $2.225bn (free cash flow yield ~11%), net debt $437m (net debt/EBITDA 0.06x; excluding lease liabilities net cash), sales volumes +18%, attributable production up ~12 to ~1.27Moz (Salares Norte 337koz, +173%; Granny Smith 147koz, +10%; South Deep 151koz), average realized gold price +51% to $4,678/oz, cash costs +10% and AISC +13%. Capital allocation guidance remains to fund sustaining spend (~$0.6bn in H1), growth (~$0.3bn in H1), maintain a 35% base dividend policy and pursue additional shareholder returns (interim dividend ZAR16.25/share, +132% YoY; $300m buybacks completed Mar–Jul; $500m added to the top‑up program, taking it to $1.25bn, $553m delivered to date).

Gold Fields Risk Analysis

Gold Fields disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gold Fields reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Failure of Gold Fields’ information, communication and technology systems, or the failure to protect personal data, could significantly impact Gold Fields’ operations and business, may lead to public and private censure, regulatory penalties, fines and/or sanctions and may damage Gold Fields’ reputation.Q4, 2021
2.Gold Fields may not be able to meet its environmental, social and corporate governance targets.Q4, 2021
3.Gold Fields may not be able to operate successfully if our employees are not able to perform their jobs in a safe and respectful work environment.Q4, 2021

Gold Fields Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MX:GFIN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HMYHMY84Outperform$9.30B5.2346.23%5.27%49.72%120.32%
CDECDE80Outperform$13.47B10.4012.49%0.15%116.79%211.59%
NEMNEM77Outperform$110.79B12.3426.45%0.97%23.41%33.87%
SSRMSSRM75Outperform$5.40B20.0610.25%0.11%48.40%42.80%
AUAU74Outperform$40.29B10.6245.77%5.66%――
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%MX:GFINCDEHMYNEMSSRMAUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:GFIN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:GFINGold Fields668.03-5.14-0.76%
CDECoeur Mining13.10-2.02-13.38%
HMYHarmony Gold Mining Co. Ltd14.45-1.08-6.97%
NEMNewmont Mining106.6125.7531.84%
SSRMSsr Mining26.483.6115.79%
AUAnglogold Ashanti PLC79.7915.7224.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.