Geo Group (GEO1) Stock Price & Analysis
GEO1 Stock Chart & Stats
- Day’s Range
- MXN 512.00 - MXN 512.00
- 52-Week Range
- MXN 227.00 - MXN 590.00
- Previous Close
- MXN 512.00
- Volume
- 0
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1
- Market Cap
- MXN 70.54B
- Enterprise Value
- MXN 5.48B
- Total Cash (Recent Filing)
- MXN 57.13M
- Total Debt (Recent Filing)
- MXN 1.61B
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 13.3
- Beta
- -0.74
- Next Earnings
- Nov 05, 2026 (Est.)
- EPS Estimate
- 6.48
- Next Dividend Ex-Date
- N/A
- Dividend Yield
- N/A
Bulls Say, Bears Say
Bulls Say
Contract-driven Growth
Contract wins and facility activations are supporting substantial revenue growth and expanding the operating base. This provides greater visibility than purely transactional demand, while the multi-year nature of government contracts can support continued revenue and earnings development over coming quarters.
Balance-sheet Optimization
The Adelanto transaction converts a major owned asset into cash without ending GEO’s operating role at the facilities. Using proceeds to reduce debt can improve financial flexibility, lower secured-debt exposure, and strengthen the company’s ability to fund operations and capital priorities.
Higher-value Monitoring Mix
The shift toward GPS monitoring and case-management services increases the proportion of higher-priced offerings within ISAP. A richer service mix can support revenue quality and profitability even when total participant growth is moderate, making this a potentially durable business improvement.
Bears Say
Government Funding Dependence
GEO’s growth depends heavily on government appropriations, procurement decisions, and policy direction, particularly from ICE. Funding interruptions or changed priorities can delay activations, disrupt revenue ramps, and make otherwise awarded opportunities less predictable over the medium term.
Delayed Contract Revenue
The Florida contract delays defer a meaningful revenue opportunity and postpone the benefits of nearly 2,900 beds. This reduces near-term growth conversion from previously announced awards and demonstrates that facility onboarding and government implementation timing can materially affect results.
Uneven Cash Conversion
Weak and volatile free-cash-flow conversion means reported earnings are not consistently translating into cash after capital spending and other uses. That can constrain internally funded expansion, increase reliance on asset proceeds or financing, and reduce flexibility during activation periods.
Geo Group News
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Geo Group Stock Smart Score
Company Description
Geo Group
The GEO Group, Inc. is dedicated to the operation, leasing, and ownership of secure correctional centers, administrative processing hubs, and community reentry facilities situated in the United States, Australia, and South Africa. The company's operations are segmented into four main areas: U.S. Secure Services, Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, Reentry Services, and International Services. GEO Group provides a comprehensive suite of services. This includes offering counseling, educational programs, and treatment for alcohol and drug dependency within its various locations. It also leverages compliance technologies for monitoring services and implements empirically supported supervision and rehabilitation programs for individuals on parole, probation, or awaiting trial in a community setting. The firm's secure facility management services span security protocols, administrative tasks, rehabilitative initiatives, educational opportunities, and food provision. Its reentry services involve overseeing individuals in community-based programs and specialized centers, furnishing temporary housing, structured programming, employment assistance, and other essential support. Furthermore, GEO Group delivers monitoring and reporting solutions aimed at enhancing the participation of non-detained foreign nationals in the immigration court system. Additional services include secure transportation. Under its "GEO Continuum of Care" platform, the company offers extensive rehabilitation services, encompassing evidence-based cognitive behavioral therapy, post-release support, and academic and vocational training focused on life skills and therapeutic interventions. Beyond its operational roles, GEO Group also develops, designs, constructs, and finances new facilities, often under contract. Established in 1984, The GEO Group, Inc. maintains its corporate headquarters in Boca Raton, Florida.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Security & Protection Services
- CEO
- George C. Zoley
- Employees
- 18,000
- Website
- www.geogroup.com
- Address
- 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, 33431, US
Geo Group (GEO1) Earnings & Revenues
GEO1 Company Deck
GEO1 Earnings Call
Earnings Call SentimentPositive
The call presented strong operational and financial momentum: solid top-line growth (+15% revenue), outsized net income and EPS gains (63% and 71%), improved adjusted EBITDA (+20%), raised full-year guidance, meaningful new ICE contracts that add significant bed capacity and future revenue, and active share repurchases. Key risks and challenges cited include timing delays for several managed contracts (Florida facilities), a temporary lapse in skip-tracing revenue due to funding disruptions, modest near-term ISAP headcount growth despite favorable device/case mix, higher operating expenses from activations, and uncertainty around potential asset sales to ICE. On balance, positive execution and upgraded guidance substantially outweigh the operational and timing risks described on the call.
View all MX:GEO1 earnings summariesGEO1 Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
Technical Analysis
Overall Consensus
| Indicator | Bullish | Neutral | Bearish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall Consensus | 17 | 1 | 4 |
| Technical Analysis | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| Moving Averages | 11 | 1 | 0 |
