Floor & Decor Holdings (FND) AI Stock Analysis

Company Guidance

For fiscal 2026, sales are expected to be in the range of $4.765 billion to $4.835 billion, or increase by 2% to 3% from fiscal 2025, with the 53rd week expected to contribute approximately $65 million to sales; comparable store sales are estimated to be down 3.5% to down 2.0%, comp average ticket is estimated to be up low single digits, comp transactions are estimated to be down mid-single digits, adjusted gross margin is expected to be approximately 43.6%, SG&A as a percentage of sales is estimated to be approximately 38.5%, interest income expense, net, is expected to be approximately 0, tax rate is expected to be approximately 21.5% to 22.0%, depreciation and amortization expense is expected to be approximately $250 million, adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $535 million to $550 million with the 53rd week contributing approximately $11 million, diluted earnings per share is estimated to be approximately $2.19 to $2.29, adjusted diluted earnings per share is estimated to be approximately $1.88 to $1.98, the 53rd week is expected to contribute approximately $0.08 to adjusted diluted EPS, implying 52-week adjusted diluted EPS of $1.80 to $1.90, diluted weighted average shares outstanding are estimated to be approximately 107 million shares, and CapEx is estimated to be approximately $235 million to $250 million; the company plans to open 8 new warehouse format stores in the fourth quarter, bringing fiscal 2026 openings to 20, and currently plans for 10 to 15 openings in 2027, with a broader Pro loyalty program launch on track for the first quarter of 2027.