TipRanks
Go Ultimate55% OFF

FMC (FMC1) AI Stock Analysis

MX:FMC1

FMC

(BMV:FMC1)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Product PipelineFMC’s pipeline of new active ingredients and differentiated formulations can support product mix, market access, and future growth beyond mature products. Pending registrations and planned launches provide a multi-period avenue to rebuild volumes and strengthen the branded portfolio.
Negative Factors
Severe Profitability DeteriorationThe sharp shift from prior profitability to exceptionally large losses indicates that FMC’s earnings base has been materially impaired. Recovering margins will require successful pricing, volume, cost, and portfolio actions, making near-term earnings quality and sustainable profitability difficult to underwrite.

FMC (FMC1) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%MX:FMC1-74.57%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 776.41M
Dividend Yield
3.59%
Average Volume (3M)
2,200
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.2
Beta (1Y)
0.03
Revenue Growth
-29.86%
EPS Growth
-639.94%
Country
Mexico
Employees
5,500
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Agricultural Inputs

FMC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

FMC Corporation functions as an agricultural science enterprise, delivering products for crop safeguarding, plant wellness, and professional pest and turf management. The company is responsible for creating, commercializing, and selling various crop...

FMC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 08, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNegative

The call had a negative near-term tone, driven by substantially below-expectation third-quarter results, large commercial action charges, lower fourth-quarter EBITDA guidance, negative 2026 free cash flow guidance, and ongoing pricing and demand pressures. Management presented a detailed recovery plan centered on channel inventory normalization, manufacturing cost reductions, new active ingredients, liquidity management, and expected EBITDA growth in 2027 and 2028, but execution of those actions remains the key focus.

Positive Updates

Commercial Actions Received Positive Initial Customer Feedback
FMC has begun implementing commercial actions to reduce the value of channel inventory, with the transition expected to occur over the next 3 quarters. Initial customer feedback has been described as very positive. The new North America pricing model is expected to reduce future rebate volatility, simplify pricing, and help customers position FMC products more competitively against generic alternatives.

Negative Updates

Third-Quarter Results Were Below Expectations
Third-quarter underlying performance was below expectations after channel customers sharply reduced replenishment orders during the final weeks of the quarter. Revenue was $106 million, including approximately $639 million from the commercial actions; underlying sales excluding the commercial actions and India were $745 million, below the low end of original guidance due to lower-than-expected volumes. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $559 million, including approximately $672 million from the commercial actions; underlying EBITDA was $113 million, also below the low end of guidance. Adjusted EPS was negative $4.41, well below initial guidance.

Company Guidance

Fourth quarter 2026 revenue is guided between $1.04 billion and $1.14 billion, about flat versus prior year at the midpoint, with volume growth offset by high single-digit price decline; adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $210 million and $230 million, a decline of 22% versus the prior year, and adjusted earnings per share is expected to be between $0.56 and $0.70. Full year 2026 interest expense is expected to be in the range of $270 million to $280 million, depreciation and amortization between $160 million and $170 million, the effective tax rate on adjusted earnings 12% to 14%, and free cash flow in the range of negative $350 million to negative $150 million, including $180 million in restructuring spending, with free cash flow before restructuring expected to be negative $170 million to positive $30 million. FMC expects to end 2026 with net debt of approximately $3.1 billion with no outstanding revolver balance and to remain in compliance with all covenants through 2027. Preliminary 2027 adjusted EBITDA is expected to be at least $650 million and as much as $730 million, while 2028 adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $760 million to $840 million; in 2027, the core business is expected to grow in the low single digit, the growth platform is expected to be up in the mid-teens, new active ingredients are expected to grow 50%, and the company has applied an EBITDA margin of 18% to 19% to its planning assumptions.

FMC Risk Analysis

FMC disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. FMC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.Forward-Looking InformationQ2, 2026
2.In addition to the other information set forth in this Form 10-Q, you should carefully consider the factors discussed in Part I, Item 1A "Risk Factors" of our 2025 Form 10-K, and the Company’s other filings with the SEC, which are available at www.sec.gov and on the Company’s website at www.fmc.com.Q2, 2026

FMC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MX:FMC1 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CTVACTVA74Outperform$7.77B51.284.08%0.93%3.70%-26.39%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
ICLICL60Neutral$5.91B18.765.02%4.50%10.92%-16.91%
SMGSMG48Neutral$3.62B49.79-21.87%4.24%-1.95%44.91%
AVDAVD44Neutral$32.45M-0.58-27.83%―-3.54%56.67%
BIOXBIOX34Underperform$13.15M-0.06-216.09%―-26.10%14.85%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%MX:FMC1AVDSMGICLBIOXCTVADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:FMC1 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:FMC1FMC Corp172.00-504.43-74.57%
AVDAmerican Vanguard Corporation1.10-3.57-76.45%
SMGScotts Miracle-Gro62.2410.5720.46%
ICLIcl Group Ltd.4.58-1.77-27.85%
BIOXBioceres Crop Solutions0.21-1.65-88.82%
CTVACorteva11.642.4226.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.