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DR Horton (DHI) AI Stock Analysis

MX:DHI

DR Horton

(BMV:DHI)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetModest leverage and substantial liquidity give D.R. Horton financial flexibility through housing-cycle volatility. This supports continued land investment, inventory management and shareholder returns while reducing the risk that weaker demand forces overly defensive capital decisions.
Negative Factors
Demand and Volume PressureLower expected revenue and closings indicate that elevated mortgage rates and affordability constraints are affecting the near-term demand foundation. If these conditions persist, reduced absorption could limit revenue growth and keep inventory and community productivity under pressure.

DR Horton (DHI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%MX:DHI-14.88%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 40.84B
Dividend Yield
1.27%
Average Volume (3M)
2,595
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.4
Beta (1Y)
0.09
Revenue Growth
-13.44%
EPS Growth
-21.75%
Country
Mexico
Employees
14,341
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Residential Construction

DR Horton Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in Arlington, Texas, in 1978, D.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a prominent residential construction enterprise. The company's core business involves acquiring and preparing land, then constructing and marketing homes across a substantial por...

DR Horton Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 18, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call reflected strong execution, cash generation, liquidity, shareholder returns, market share positioning, and operational flexibility. However, management emphasized that higher mortgage rates, cautious consumer sentiment, weaker orders, elevated incentives, lower margins, construction-cost pressures, and rental impairments are creating significant near-term challenges. Highlights outweigh the lowlights because the company remains profitable, highly liquid, cash-generative, and positioned to gain share, although the outlook is cautious and fiscal 2027 guidance reflects lower revenue and volume ranges.

Positive Updates

25th Consecutive Year as Largest Builder
D.R. Horton completed its 25th consecutive year as America's largest builder by volume and provided homeownership to more than 84 thousand individuals and families, including approximately 43.5 thousand first-time homebuyers. Homebuilding and rental operations provided more than 89 thousand families a place to call home during fiscal 2026.

Negative Updates

Lower New Home Demand
New home demand came under increased pressure in the fourth quarter as mortgage rates rose sharply, further constraining affordability while consumer sentiment remained cautious. Net sales orders decreased 7% year over year to 18.6 thousand homes.

Company Guidance

For fiscal 2027, D.R. Horton expects consolidated revenues of approximately 30 to $32 billion, homebuilding closings of 79 thousand to 84 thousand homes, an income tax rate of 25.5%, approximately $3.5 billion of cash flow from operations, approximately $3 billion of common-stock repurchases and dividends of around $500 million; for the first quarter, it expects consolidated revenues of $5.9 to $6.4 billion, homebuilding closings of 15.5 thousand to 16.5 thousand homes, home sales gross margin of 18% to 18.5%, consolidated pre tax profit margin of 7% to 8%, and an income tax rate of approximately 25.5%. Incentive levels are expected to remain elevated in fiscal 2027, interest rates are expected to remain high with no much reduction in rates in the near term, stick-and-brick costs are expected to be flat to slightly up, lot costs flat to slightly up sequentially and up on a year over year basis for the next couple of quarters, rental inventory is expected to remain at or below its current level during fiscal 2027, and leverage is targeted at around 20% over the long term.

DR Horton Risk Analysis

DR Horton disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DR Horton reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

DR Horton Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MX:DHI against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NVRNVR72Outperform$15.88B15.6529.53%―-10.43%-21.29%
TOLTOL72Outperform$13.45B11.6414.23%0.71%-1.08%-8.57%
PHMPHM69Neutral$22.96B13.2713.80%0.83%-9.35%-27.96%
LENLEN65Neutral$20.65B16.436.03%2.30%-8.01%-47.77%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
KBHKBH43Neutral$2.91B13.215.93%2.09%-20.80%-50.30%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%MX:DHIKBHLENNVRPHMTOLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:DHI and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:DHID.R. Horton Inc2462.00-430.32-14.88%
KBHKB Home47.94-12.05-20.09%
LENLennar Corporation86.94-31.01-26.29%
NVRNVR Inc5958.56-1113.76-15.75%
PHMPultegroup124.746.985.93%
TOLToll Brothers Inc.145.9513.6210.29%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.