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CMS Energy (CMS1) AI Stock Analysis

MX:CMS1

CMS Energy

(BMV:CMS1)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Regulated Utility ModelCMS operates an essential-service utility with earnings supported by regulated electric and gas rates. This model provides recurring customer demand and a framework for recovering prudently incurred costs and infrastructure investment, supporting business stability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Persistently Negative Free Cash FlowHeavy capital spending currently exceeds internally generated cash, leaving CMS dependent on debt or equity financing to fund investment. This can constrain financial flexibility and increase exposure to funding conditions while the company executes its large utility buildout.

CMS Energy (CMS1) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%MX:CMS1+4.05%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 21.99B
Dividend Yield
3.20%
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
24.6
Beta (1Y)
0.23
Revenue Growth
-3.14%
EPS Growth
-27.15%
Country
Mexico
Employees
8,350
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Regulated Electric

CMS Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CMS Energy Corporation operates as an energy company primarily in Michigan. The company operates through three segments: Electric Utility; Gas Utility; and NorthStar Clean Energy. The Electric Utility segment is involved in the generation, purchase,...

CMS Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 26, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.00%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly constructive, with management reaffirming 2026 and 2027 earnings guidance, reporting year-to-date outperformance, advancing the NorthStar restructuring, highlighting substantial clean energy and load-growth opportunities, and citing constructive regulatory outcomes. The main challenges were storm-related O&M pressure, incomplete NorthStar asset transactions, a gap between the electric rate case request and staff recommendation, upcoming parent debt maturities, and the utility's negative Moody's outlook.

Positive Updates

Long-Term Earnings and Shareholder Return Framework
CMS Energy reiterated its investment model targeting 6% to 8% adjusted EPS growth toward the high end, reflecting 7% or better compounded annual growth, paired with an approximately 3% yield.

Negative Updates

NorthStar Asset Sales Are Not Yet Complete
Although more than 35% of NorthStar assets have signed agreements or closed, the remaining assets are still in the buyer process, with management describing them as being primarily in exclusivity rather than completed transactions.

Company Guidance

CMS Energy reaffirmed full year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.83 to $3.90 per share with continued confidence toward the high end, and 2027 guidance of $4.08 to $4.17 per share, which incorporates the North Star restructuring; longer term, it continues to guide toward the high end of its adjusted EPS growth range of 6% to 8%, reflecting 7% or better compounded annually, paired with an approximately 3% yield and approximately 100% regulated utility earnings growth after 2027. Its 5-year plan includes 2% to 3% annual load growth, while the long-term rate base CAGR remains 10.5%. The IRP includes roughly $27 billion in new clean energy resources, battery storage, and gas generation, including 15.8 gigawatts of clean energy resources, 4.1 gigawatts of battery, and 1.4 gigawatts of new simple cycle gas generation; the FCM is projected at $125 million beginning in 2031, growing to $195 million by 2040, assuming a 50% ownership split.

CMS Energy Risk Analysis

CMS Energy disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CMS Energy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Legal & Regulatory - Litigation, compliance, new legislation, and taxation risks

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

CMS Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

MX:CMS1 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
WECWEC76Outperform$37.82B20.9112.81%3.23%8.14%4.57%
AEEAEE74Outperform$30.60B19.2911.70%2.68%3.76%25.15%
XELXEL69Neutral$51.23B18.5611.01%2.94%4.35%30.94%
DTEDTE67Neutral$28.19B21.2710.78%3.44%17.53%-8.86%
LNTLNT66Neutral$18.58B19.8512.41%2.99%5.36%13.51%
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%MX:CMS1LNTAEEDTEWECXELDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:CMS1 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:CMS1Cms Energy1300.0050.634.05%
LNTAlliant Energy Corporation71.657.0810.96%
AEEAmeren Corporation110.5411.4511.55%
DTEDTE Energy Company135.496.495.03%
WECWEC Energy Group Inc116.077.907.30%
XELXcel Energy79.820.690.87%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.