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Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) AI Stock Analysis

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MX:AMTM

Amentum Holdings, Inc.

(BMV:AMTM)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Backlog and bookings strengthStrong bookings and a large, growing funded backlog provide substantial revenue visibility for a government-services contractor. Book-to-bill above one indicates demand is replenishing delivered work, while pending awards create additional potential for sustained program growth.
Negative Factors
Thin margins and weak top-line growthDespite the profitability rebound, thin margins leave limited room for execution problems, labor-cost pressure or unfavorable contract mix to affect earnings. Slightly declining TTM revenue also means future profit expansion depends heavily on efficiency and mix rather than broad-based top-line growth.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. (AMTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%MX:AMTM+0.48%SPY+8.76%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
MXN 5.46B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
302
Price to Earnings (P/E)
26.9
Beta (1Y)
0.30
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
Mexico
Employees
50,000
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Aerospace & Defense

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a provider of critical, technology-driven services, serving both governmental and commercial sectors. Its operations are structured around two distinct segments: Critical Mission Solutions and Cyber & Intelligence. The Criti...

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-1.89%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 23, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a constructive operational and financial picture—strong margin expansion, EPS growth, robust bookings/backlog, capital structure improvement and meaningful strategic wins (notably in nuclear and digital infrastructure). These positives are tempered by near‑term revenue timing headwinds from protests, materials timing, and a newly quantified ~3% revenue impact from NASA in‑sourcing, plus a deliberate ~1% revenue reduction from exiting low‑margin work. Given the scale and quality of the wins, improved margins and cash generation, management raised profit guidance despite slightly weaker revenue, indicating confidence in execution and long‑term growth trajectory.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Growth
Q3 revenue of $3.5B, normalized year-over-year growth ~1%; FY'26 revenue guidance updated to $13.8B–$13.95B (midpoint implies modest growth vs prior year).

Negative Updates

Revenue Shortfall Versus Expectations
Q3 revenue came in slightly below company expectations attributed to extended protest delays and lower-margin material volume; management revised FY'26 revenue guidance downward to reflect reduced contributions from awards under protest and materials/nonlabor timing.

Company Guidance

Amentum updated its FY‑26 guidance to revenue of $13.8–$13.95 billion (midpoint implying ~2% normalized Q4 growth), raised adjusted EBITDA to $1.115–$1.14 billion (midpoint margin ~8.1%, +20 bps vs prior guide and +40 bps vs FY‑25), increased adjusted diluted EPS to $2.40–$2.50, and maintained free cash flow at $525–$575 million. Q3 results included $3.5 billion revenue (normalized +1%), $290 million adjusted EBITDA (8.3% margin), $0.67 adjusted EPS (+20% YoY), and $135 million Q3 free cash flow ($213M YTD). Business development: net bookings $3.9B (book‑to‑bill 1.1x; LTM 1.3x), backlog $48B (funded backlog $6.2B, +10% YoY), $32B pending awards (including $2B won under protest). Capital/financials: nearly $700M debt repaid over 12 months ($125M in Q3), net leverage 3x (target <3x in Q4). Preliminary FY‑27 assumptions: a 3% NASA revenue headwind, ~1% revenue exit of low/no‑margin work, mid‑single‑digit growth on the remainder, and ~20 bps margin improvement.

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Risk Analysis

Amentum Holdings, Inc. disclosed 57 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amentum Holdings, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Amentum Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

MX:AMTM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GDGD80Outperform$95.68B21.0017.60%1.77%9.73%10.46%
NOCNOC77Outperform$74.59B16.9725.70%1.82%6.51%14.02%
LHXLHX75Outperform$48.39B25.1810.17%1.91%7.33%15.31%
VVXVVX75Outperform$2.39B25.798.83%―13.16%25.03%
HIIHII73Outperform$11.38B16.3613.95%1.91%12.64%28.39%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%60%MX:AMTMGDLHXHIINOCVVXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
MX:AMTM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:AMTMAmentum Holdings, Inc.416.00-18.34-4.22%
GDGeneral Dynamics354.0610.823.15%
LHXL3harris Technologies259.89-35.45-12.00%
HIIHuntington Ingalls Industries288.74-23.95-7.66%
NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp.525.01-24.60-4.48%
VVXV2x, Inc.76.1420.6437.19%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.