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Adobe (ADBE) AI Stock Analysis

MX:ADBE

Adobe

(BMV:ADBE)

Rating:―N/A
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No summary available

Positive Factors
Exceptional profitability and cash conversionAdobe’s high gross and net margins demonstrate strong software economics, while free cash flow converting at about 98% of net income shows that reported earnings translate into cash. This combination supports sustained reinvestment in products, AI capabilities, and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Material slowdown in revenue growthThe deceleration from prior growth rates indicates that Adobe’s large installed base is producing slower incremental expansion. Even with strong profitability, softer top-line momentum can limit operating leverage and reduce the pace at which the company compounds earnings.

Adobe (ADBE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%MX:ADBE-23.99%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
MXN 97.39B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1,337
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.9
Beta (1Y)
-0.04
Revenue Growth
0.57%
EPS Growth
0.05%
Country
Mexico
Employees
31,360
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Adobe Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Adobe Inc. stands as a prominent global software provider, delivering a diverse range of solutions. Its operations are structured into three primary business divisions: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing and Advertising. The Digital Me...

Adobe Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 09, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:11.46%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 08, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive, supported by record revenue and cash flow, double-digit subscription and ARR growth, substantial expansion in monthly active users, accelerating Firefly usage, strong enterprise activity, and raised full-year revenue and EPS targets. The main challenges were single-digit RPO growth, a 36% to 37% year-over-year decline in net new ARR, the stated near-term headwinds from the freemium strategy and deferred pricing initiatives, and a slight Q4 FX headwind. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Record Q3 Revenue and EPS Growth
Adobe achieved record Q3 revenue of $6.76 billion, growing 13% year over year as reported and 12% in constant currency. GAAP EPS was $4.62, up 11% year over year, while non-GAAP EPS was $6.13, up 15%.

Negative Updates

RPO Growth in the Single Digits
Remaining performance obligations were $22.16 billion exiting the quarter, growing 8% year over year, while CRPO grew 9% year over year both as reported and in constant currency. Management confirmed that RPO growth was in the single digits and said the result reflected continued execution against strategic initiatives and a focus on accelerating new-user acquisition through the freemium business model.

Company Guidance

For Q4 FY 26, Adobe is targeting Total Adobe revenue of $6.8 billion to $6.85 billion, Business professionals and consumer subscription revenue of $1.93 billion to $1.95 billion, Creative and Marketing Professional subscription revenue of $4.665 billion to $4.695 billion, GAAP EPS of $4.65 to $4.70 and non GAAP EPS of $6.30 to $6.35, with non GAAP operating margin of approximately 44%, GAAP tax rate of approximately 2% and a non GAAP tax rate of approximately 18%; for FY 2026, it is targeting total Adobe revenue of $26.576 billion to $26.626 billion, Business Professionals and Consumer subscription revenue of $7.47 billion to $7.49 billion, Creative and Marketing Professional subscription revenue $18.242 billion to $18.272 billion, total Adobe ending ARR, book of business growth of 10.2% year over year compared to our FY 2026 beginning book of business of $25.66 billion, GAAP EPS of $18.12 to $18.17 and non GAAP EPS of $24.45 to $24.50, with non GAAP operating margin approximately 45%, a GAAP tax rate of approximately 22.5%, and a non GAAP tax rate of approximately 18%; Q4 will be larger than the Q3 number, Q4 is our seasonally strong quarter, and a very strong enterprise quarter for us.

Adobe Risk Analysis

Adobe disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adobe reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Adobe Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MX:ADBE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CRMCRM86Outperform$188.61B20.8320.15%0.76%11.23%58.19%
DOCUDOCU77Outperform$15.36B49.2017.74%―8.59%20.88%
TEAMTEAM72Outperform$48.29B-912.95-4.39%―26.02%81.08%
FIGFIG62Neutral$11.54B-6.87-108.20%―43.43%-1737.89%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
HUBSHUBS58Neutral$11.71B82.997.75%―21.08%―

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%MX:ADBECRMHUBSTEAMDOCUFIGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MX:ADBE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MX:ADBEAdobe Systems Incorporated4715.00-1546.00-24.69%
CRMSalesforce.com229.17-23.13-9.17%
HUBSHubSpot, Inc.234.87-237.12-50.24%
TEAMAtlassian Corporation Plc191.7226.7216.19%
DOCUDocusign82.1711.3616.04%
FIGFigma, Inc. Class A21.65-24.16-52.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.