Alcoa(MX:AA1)
MX$736.55-22.95 (-3.02%)
MX:AA1
Alcoa stock forecast
MX$736.55
At close:-22.95 (-3.02%)
Alcoa (AA1) Stock Forecast & Price Target
1 Followers
AA1 Analyst Ratings
Moderate Buy
5Buy4Hold1Sell
Based on 10 analysts giving stock ratings to Alcoa in the past 3 months
AA1 Stock 12 Month Forecast
Average Price Target
Mex$1,017▲(38.07% Upside)Based on 10 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Alcoa in the last 3 months. The average price target is MXN 1,016.96 with a high forecast of MXN 1,171.98 and a low forecast of MXN 892.94. The average price target represents a 38.07% change from the last price of MXN 736.55.
Past 12 Months12 Month ForecastJan2026Oct2026
HighMex$1.17K
AverageMex$1.02K
LowMex$892.94
Highest Price TargetHighestMex$1,172Average Price TargetMex$1,017Lowest Price TargetLowestMex$892.94
Detailed List of Analyst Forecasts
Analyst Type
Ranks
Analyst Rating
Upside/ Downside
Action
| Price Target | Article | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Yates | Argus Research | ― | hold | ― | Downgraded | 10/21/26 | ||
| Alexander Hacking | Citi | Mex$1,414→Mex$1,042 | buy | 41.44%Upside | Reiterated | 10/20/26 | ||
| Nick Giles | B. Riley Securities | Mex$1,488→Mex$1,172 | buy | 59.12%Upside | Reiterated | 10/20/26 | ||
| Vitaly Kononov | Freedom Capital Markets | Mex$1,414→Mex$1,153 | buy | 56.59%Upside | Reiterated | 10/20/26 | ||
| Carlos De Alba | Morgan Stanley | Mex$930.15 | hold | 26.28%Upside | Assigned | 10/19/26 | ||
| Timna Tanners | Wells Fargo | Mex$1,116→Mex$1,079 | buy | 46.49%Upside | Assigned | 10/16/26 | ||
| Lawson Winder | Bank of America Securities | Mex$948.75→Mex$892.94 | sell | 21.23%Upside | Reiterated | 10/16/26 | ||
| Bill Peterson | J.P. Morgan | Mex$930.15 | hold | 26.28%Upside | Reiterated | 10/15/26 | ||
| Katja Jancic | BMO Capital | Mex$1,023→Mex$930.15 | hold | 26.28%Upside | Reiterated | 10/15/26 | ||
| Richard Garchitorena | Barclays | Mex$1,023 | buy | 38.91%Upside | Initiated | 10/14/26 | ||
| Daniel Major | UBS | Mex$1,488→Mex$1,265 | buy | 71.75%Upside | Assigned | 06/30/26 | ||
 Unknown AnalystNot Ranked | Jefferies | Mex$1,525 | buy | 107.11%Upside | Reiterated | 04/17/26 |
| Rating | Article | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra YatesArgus Research | HoldDowngraded | 10/21/26 | ― | ||
| Alexander HackingCiti | BuyReiteratedMex$1,414→Mex$1,042 | 10/20/26 | 41.44%Upside | ||
| Nick GilesB. Riley Securities | BuyReiteratedMex$1,488→Mex$1,172 | 10/20/26 | 59.12%Upside | ||
| Vitaly KononovFreedom Capital Markets | BuyReiteratedMex$1,414→Mex$1,153 | 10/20/26 | 56.59%Upside | ||
| Carlos De AlbaMorgan Stanley | HoldAssignedMex$930.15 | 10/19/26 | 26.28%Upside | ||
| Timna TannersWells Fargo | BuyAssignedMex$1,116→Mex$1,079 | 10/16/26 | 46.49%Upside | ||
| Lawson WinderBank of America Securities | SellReiteratedMex$948.75→Mex$892.94 | 10/16/26 | 21.23%Upside | ||
| Bill PetersonJ.P. Morgan | HoldReiteratedMex$930.15 | 10/15/26 | 26.28%Upside | ||
| Katja JancicBMO Capital | HoldReiteratedMex$1,023→Mex$930.15 | 10/15/26 | 26.28%Upside | ||
| Richard GarchitorenaBarclays | BuyInitiatedMex$1,023 | 10/14/26 | 38.91%Upside | ||
| Daniel MajorUBS | BuyAssignedMex$1,488→Mex$1,265 | 06/30/26 | 71.75%Upside | ||
| Unknown AnalystJefferiesNot Ranked | BuyReiteratedMex$1,525 | 04/17/26 | 107.11%Upside |
Stocks with the Highest Top Analyst Consensus in the Basic Materials Sector
Best Analysts Covering Alcoa
3 Months
Success Rate19/31 ratings generated profit
61%
Average Return
+10.09%
Copying Alexander Hacking's trades and holding each position for 3 Months would result in 61.29% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +10.09% per trade.
1 Year
Success Rate20/31 ratings generated profit
65%
Average Return
+14.27%
Copying Alexander Hacking's trades and holding each position for 1 Year would result in 64.52% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +14.27% per trade.
2 Years
Success Rate23/31 ratings generated profit
74%
Average Return
+27.80%
Copying Alexander Hacking's trades and holding each position for 2 Years would result in 74.19% of your transactions generating a profit, with an average return of +27.80% per trade.
AA1 Analyst Recommendation Trends
| Rating | Jul 26 | Aug 26 | Sep 26 | Oct 26 | Nov 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Buy | 11 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Hold | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| Sell | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| total | 24 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 17 |
In the current month, AA1 has received 9 Buy Ratings, 7 Hold Ratings, and 1 Sell Ratings. AA1 average Analyst price target in the past 3 months is 1,016.96.
AA1 Financial Forecast
HighMex$39.56
ConsensusMex$29.35
LowMex$22.42
AA1 Earnings Forecast
Next quarter’s earnings estimate for AA1 is MXN 29.35 with a range of MXN 22.42 to MXN 39.56. The previous quarter’s EPS was MXN 34.28. Its overall industry beat the EPS estimate 45.00% of the time in the past 12 months.
HighMex$76.1B
ConsensusMex$71.5B
LowMex$66.9B
AA1 Sales Forecast
Next quarter’s sales forecast for AA1 is MXN 71.52B with a range of MXN 66.91B to MXN 76.10B. The previous quarter’s sales results were MXN 66.59B. Its overall industry beat sales estimates 58.40% of the time in the past 12 months.
AA1 Stock Forecast FAQ
What is MX:AA1’s average 12-month price target, according to analysts?
Based on analyst ratings, Alcoa’s 12-month average price target is Mex$1,016.96.
What is MX:AA1’s upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target?
Alcoa has 38.07% upside potential, based on the analysts’ average price target.
Can I see which stocks the top-ranking analysts are rating?
Yes, go to the Analysts’ Top Stocks tool to see stocks with a Strong Buy or Strong Sell analyst rating consensus, according to the top performers.
How can I follow the stock ratings of top Wall Street analysts?
Head over to our Expert Center to see a list of the top 100 Wall Street analysts and follow the analysts of your choice. Visit their profiles for more details about their stock ratings and see how they perform on a stock-by-stock basis.
Is Alcoa a Buy, Sell or Hold?
Alcoa has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy, which is based on 5 buy ratings, 4 hold ratings and 1 sell ratings.
What is Alcoa’s share price target?
The average share price target for Alcoa is Mex$1,016.96. This is based on 10 Wall Street analysts’ 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months. The highest analyst share price target is Mex$1,171.98, and the lowest forecast is Mex$892.94. The average share price target represents a 38.07% increase from the current price of Mex$736.55.
What do analysts say about Alcoa?
Alcoa’s analyst rating consensus is a Moderate Buy. This is based on the ratings of 10 Wall Street analysts.
How can I buy shares of Alcoa?
To buy shares of MX:AA1, you can open a brokerage account. See exclusive account opening deals on our Best Online Brokers page.
