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Studio City International Holdings (MSC) AI Stock Analysis

MSC

Studio City International Holdings

(NYSE:MSC)

Select Model
Rating:36Underperform
Price Target:$0.73▼(-7.02% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/01/26

MSC scores poorly, driven primarily by a strained financial profile: persistent net losses, a 3.9x debt-to-equity ratio, and an eroding equity base that leaves little cushion against any slowdown in Macau gaming demand. Technicals compound the concern, with the stock trading well below all major moving averages and negative MACD confirming a sustained downtrend, though oversold RSI and Stochastic readings hint at potential for a short-term bounce. Valuation offers little support, as the negative P/E reflects unprofitability and there is no dividend. On the positive side, revenue growth of 8.7%, ~40.7% EBITDA margins, and $148M of free cash flow show the operating recovery is real and provide capacity to service debt — but until the company reaches net profitability and meaningfully deleverages, risk remains elevated.

Positive Factors
Revenue and operating recoveryThe sharp recovery in revenue from the 2022 trough, together with improved EBIT and EBITDA performance, indicates that the resort is converting stronger demand into operating earnings. If sustained, this recovery can support reinvestment, improve fixed-cost absorption, and strengthen the business over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High leverage and declining equityThe highly leveraged capital structure leaves limited financial flexibility if operating conditions weaken. Large debt balances increase the importance of maintaining resort cash generation, while declining equity and consistently negative returns on equity reduce the company’s capacity to absorb shocks or fund growth without further financing.

Studio City International Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Net Sales by Geography

0.00%25.00%50.00%75.00%Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Studio City International Holdings (MSC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%MSC-79.26%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$37.76M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
104.50K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.7
Beta (1Y)
-0.48
Revenue Growth
0.71%
EPS Growth
24.32%
Country
US
Employees
5,879
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Studio City International Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Studio City International Holdings Limited is responsible for running a major resort complex in Cotai, Macau, which integrates gaming, retail, and entertainment options. At the heart of its offerings is the Studio City Casino, which features 250 gami...

How the Company Makes Money

The company generates revenue primarily by operating an integrated resort in Macau, combining casino gaming with non-gaming hospitality and entertainment offerings. Key revenue streams include: (1) Casino gaming: This is typically the largest driver,...

Studio City International Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Studio City is recovering post-pandemic, with revenue up 8.7% to ~$695M, EBITDA margins near 40.7%, and free cash flow turning positive at $148M. However, the company remains unprofitable (-$59M net loss in 2025), gross margin compressed sharply from ~65% to ~37%, and the balance sheet is highly leveraged with $2.05B of debt against a shrinking $524M equity base (3.9x debt-to-equity). Positive operating cash flow of $210M is the key offset, but the fragile capital structure and negative ROE (-11.2%) keep the score low.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

25Negative

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue684.08M694.57M639.14M445.54M11.55M106.87M
Gross Profit421.48M465.95M415.29M273.01M-67.21M24.62M
EBITDA283.14M281.59M240.18M152.80M-141.61M-83.86M
Net Income-51.79M-58.77M-96.73M-133.52M-326.45M-252.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.70B2.80B2.99B3.24B3.59B3.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments118.18M109.40M127.63M228.04M509.52M499.29M
Total Debt1.99B2.05B2.18B2.35B2.45B2.10B
Total Liabilities2.17B2.22B2.34B2.51B2.72B2.37B
Stockholders Equity484.45M523.89M590.74M728.98M876.14M944.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0148.35M103.14M-175.72M-630.90M-541.32M
Operating Cash Flow0210.32M189.90M-18.89M-178.78M-136.84M
Investing Cash Flow0-85.15M-108.46M-161.54M-453.39M-407.24M
Financing Cash Flow0-143.11M-183.26M-100.90M643.11M471.51M

Studio City International Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.78

Price Trends

50DMA1.19Negative
100DMA1.53Negative
200DMA2.15Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.10Negative
RSI30.98Neutral
STOCH11.16Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.89, below the 50-day MA of 1.19, and below the 200-day MA of 2.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MSC.

Studio City International Holdings Risk Analysis

Studio City International Holdings disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Studio City International Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Studio City International Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MSC against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
LVSLVS55Neutral$23.18B15.09216.58%3.11%10.93%9.73%
MLCOMLCO54Neutral$1.50B6.58-17.37%―6.01%338.84%
MGMMGM52Neutral$7.58B11.3028.11%―2.57%1487.04%
WYNNWYNN52Neutral$7.69B17.08-174.87%1.34%6.36%21.32%
CZRCZR43Neutral$5.93B-11.10-15.71%―3.08%-128.00%
MSCMSC36Underperform$165.26M-0.72-10.08%―0.71%24.32%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%MSCLVSMLCOMGMWYNNCZRDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MSC and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MSCStudio City International Holdings0.78-3.21-80.35%
LVSLas Vegas Sands36.97-23.45-38.81%
MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment3.94-4.41-52.81%
MGMMgm Resorts International29.96-2.17-6.75%
WYNNWynn Resorts Limited74.66-49.90-40.06%
CZRCaesars Entertainment Inc29.098.6442.25%

Studio City International Holdings Corporate Events

Studio City Faces NYSE Price‑Compliance Deadline After October Notice

Oct 30, 2026

Studio City International Holdings Limited said that on October 30, 2026 it received a notice from the New York Stock Exchange stating its American depositary shares no longer meet the exchange’s minimum US$1.00 average closing price requiremen...

Studio City Sets November 4, 2026 Date for Q3 Earnings Release

Oct 28, 2026

Studio City International Holdings announced in Macau on October 28, 2026 that it plans to release its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2026 on November 4, 2026. The timing of this earnings disclosure will be closely watched by in...

Studio City Names Dominique Mielle Chair of Audit and Risk Committee

Sep 23, 2026

Studio City International Holdings Limited, a NYSE‑listed integrated resort operator in Cotai, Macau, focuses on gaming and entertainment offerings and benefits from the backing of majority shareholder Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited....

Studio City Mourns Passing of Key Independent Director Kevin F. Sullivan

Sep 4, 2026

Studio City International Holdings Limited announced that independent director Kevin F. Sullivan passed away on September 4, 2026, in Macau. Sullivan had served on the board since October 2018, chairing the audit and risk committee and sitting on the...

Studio City International Strengthens Debt Profile with Redemptions and New 2031 Notes

Aug 28, 2026

On August 28, 2026, Studio City International Holdings filed a Form 6-K covering unaudited results for Studio City Finance Limited and Studio City Investments Limited for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026. The quarterly report details the...

Studio City Q2 2026 Earnings Decline as Resort Operator Reshapes Debt Profile

Aug 14, 2026

Studio City reported unaudited second‑quarter 2026 operating revenues of US$164.6 million, down from US$190.1 million a year earlier, reflecting softer mass‑market table performance and weaker non‑gaming income. Gross gaming revenue...

Studio City Sets August 13, 2026 Date for Q2 Earnings Release

Aug 7, 2026

Studio City International Holdings announced on August 7, 2026, that it plans to release its unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2026 on August 13, 2026. The scheduled earnings disclosure will give investors and analysts a closer lo...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026