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Macquarie Group (MQBKY) AI Stock Analysis
Macquarie Group
(Other OTC:MQBKY)
The overall score reflects a solid franchise with strong recent earnings momentum and capital strength, tempered by deteriorating cash flow metrics, elevated leverage and cyclicality, and a valuation that prices in a meaningful portion of the recovery. Earnings strength and constructive technicals support the stock, but the weak and volatile underlying cash generation, leverage‑intensive balance sheet and exposure to market conditions cap the rating at a moderately positive level.
Macquarie Group (MQBKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $67.72B
- Dividend Yield
- 2.64%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 10.85K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 19.8
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.30
- Revenue Growth
- 6.35%
- EPS Growth
- 33.56%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 19,124
- Sector
- Financial
- Sector Strength
- 68
- Industry
- Investment - Banking & Investment Services
Macquarie Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Macquarie Group Limited is a global financial services organization with a significant presence across Australia, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region. The company structures its diverse operations into four prin...
How the Company Makes Money
Macquarie makes money through a diversified set of financial-services revenue streams across its operating businesses. Key sources include: (1) Asset management fees: Macquarie earns management fees (and, where applicable, performance fees) for manag...
Macquarie Group Earnings Call Summary
The call communicated a robust operating performance across all four operating groups, highlighted by a 30% increase in net profit, double‑digit revenue growth, strong deposit and loan growth, meaningful realizations and rising performance fees. Management also emphasized a strong capital position (capital surplus up to $9.3 billion, CET1 12.8%), disciplined cost control and continued strategic investment in technology and compliance. Offsetting these positives were higher credit and other impairment charges (mostly in H2), increased regulatory capital usage (particularly in CGM), costs associated with remediation and transactional activity, and uncertainty that could moderate client activity and transactional velocity. Overall, the positives—substantial profit and revenue growth, diversified global income, balance sheet strength and continued deployment of capital into high‑return areas—outweigh the contained but notable headwinds and risks identified.
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Macquarie’s short‑term guidance was group‑specific: Macquarie Asset Management expects base fees broadly in line (excluding the sold NA/EM public investments) with net other operating income up and the Macquarie Air Finance divestment to complete; Banking & Financial Services expects continued growth in loans, funds on platform and deposits while continuing technology investment (home loans ~$181bn, +28%; deposits ~$215–222bn, +25%; funds on platform +1%; 2.3m clients); Macquarie Capital and Commodities & Global Markets expect net operating income broadly in line with FY‑26 (MacCap private credit ~ $27bn earning ~4–4.5%; CGM outlook excludes the FY‑26 OnStream meters realization); at the corporate level management expects compensation and effective tax rates broadly in line, will remain cautious on funding/capital/liquidity (CET1 12.8%; capital surplus $9.3bn, up from $7.6bn H1; ~$30bn term funding raised; weighted average term funding life 4.1 years; loans $253bn, +23%), and the Board declared a H2 dividend of $4.20 (FY $7.00; payout ratio 50% H2, 55% FY).
Macquarie Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial performance is mixed and risk‑skewed: revenue has been volatile with a recent sharp decline and margin compression, leverage remains structurally high for a capital markets business, and operating and free cash flows turned materially negative, signaling weakened cash generation despite solid reported profitability and ROE.
Income Statement
42NeutralBalance Sheet
35NegativeCash Flow
28Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 35.94B | 19.61B | 6.79B | 6.25B | 19.14B | 16.39B |
| Gross Profit | 21.11B | 21.09B | 6.79B | 6.25B | 6.56B | 6.89B |
| EBITDA | 7.69B | 22.13B | 20.52B | 18.86B | 15.00B | 8.82B |
| Net Income | 4.76B | 4.85B | 3.71B | 3.52B | 5.18B | 4.71B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 537.24B | 537.24B | 445.22B | 403.40B | 389.41B | 399.18B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 148.41B | 148.41B | 88.04B | 83.90B | 87.79B | 103.57B |
| Total Debt | 174.37B | 174.37B | 330.19B | 269.21B | 141.79B | 140.47B |
| Total Liabilities | 500.53B | 500.53B | 409.43B | 369.41B | 355.31B | 370.37B |
| Stockholders Equity | 35.91B | 35.91B | 35.36B | 33.48B | 33.16B | 28.56B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -9.58B | -32.34B | 5.27B | -6.05B | -12.20B | 9.57B |
| Operating Cash Flow | -8.99B | -31.75B | 6.33B | -4.09B | -11.38B | 10.55B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -50.94B | -1.59B | -2.34B | -3.88B | -1.23B | -31.13B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 56.07B | -840.00M | -1.94B | -2.99B | 450.00M | 72.19B |
Macquarie Group Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MQBKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 177.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 174.35, above the 50-day MA of 174.80, and above the 200-day MA of 165.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.32 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MQBKY.
Macquarie Group Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
PJT82.75Outperform
SF76Outperform
IBKR75Outperform
PIPR66Neutral- MQBKY64Neutral
BNY63Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJT | 83Outperform | $3.83B | 16.67 | 71.16% | 0.67% | 22.91% | 21.48% |
| SF | 76Outperform | $10.01B | 8.53 | 16.46% | 1.99% | 8.19% | 51.30% |
| IBKR | 75Outperform | $34.84B | 29.24 | 20.41% | 0.44% | 16.12% | 25.72% |
| Sector * | 68Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
| PIPR | 66Neutral | $4.51B | 14.02 | 22.54% | 3.13% | 20.40% | 24.50% |
| MQBKY | 64Neutral | $65.30B | 19.75 | 13.72% | 2.64% | 6.35% | 33.56% |
| BNY | 63Neutral | $99.81B | 16.16 | 14.82% | 1.61% | -1.26% | 30.78% |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MQBKY | Macquarie Group | 177.59 | 36.73 | 26.08% | |
| BNY | The Bank Of New York Mellon Corporation | 147.11 | 40.84 | 38.43% | |
| IBKR | Interactive Brokers Group | 76.90 | 4.13 | 5.67% | |
| PIPR | Piper Sandler Companies | 63.81 | -15.05 | -19.09% | |
| SF | Stifel Financial | 66.69 | -11.36 | -14.55% | |
| PJT | Pjt Partners Inc. | 149.71 | -11.71 | -7.25% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026