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Mogu
(NYSE:MOGU)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(6.38% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/09/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial quality—deeply negative operating profitability, sharp gross margin compression, and persistent negative operating/free cash flow that raises sustainability and liquidity concerns. Technicals add a modest headwind with the stock trading below key moving averages and slightly negative momentum. Valuation further pressures the score because the high P/E suggests significant turnaround expectations despite the current cash burn and uneven segment performance.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage reduces refinancing pressure and limits the risk that interest obligations constrain operations. A sizable equity cushion also gives Mogu greater capacity to absorb continued volatility, preserve strategic flexibility, and support a recovery without relying heavily on additional debt.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow means the business is not currently self-funding, even after the cash deficit improved from 2025. Continued burn can pressure liquidity, limit investment capacity, and weaken the durability of any reported earnings recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Extremely low leverage reduces refinancing pressure and limits the risk that interest obligations constrain operations. A sizable equity cushion also gives Mogu greater capacity to absorb continued volatility, preserve strategic flexibility, and support a recovery without relying heavily on additional debt.
Read all positive factors
Mogu Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down Mogu's sales across its business lines (for example marketplace transactions, live commerce, advertising, and membership services). Reveals which segments drive growth, which generate higher margins, and which are most exposed to volatility or promotional pressure. Trending segment mixes indicate whether revenue gains are sustainable, concentrated among a few sellers, or reliant on less profitable channels — key for judging future profitability and risk.
Breaks down Mogu's sales across its business lines (for example marketplace transactions, live commerce, advertising, and membership services). Reveals which segments drive growth, which generate higher margins, and which are most exposed to volatility or promotional pressure. Trending segment mixes indicate whether revenue gains are sustainable, concentrated among a few sellers, or reliant on less profitable channels — key for judging future profitability and risk.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyMogu (MOGU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$18.31M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)3.48K
Price to Earnings (P/E)62.4
Beta (1Y)0.53
Revenue Growth-9.81%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees274
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-2.85
Shares Outstanding7,162,861
10 Day Avg. Volume6,146
30 Day Avg. Volume3,475
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.71
Price to Book (P/B)0.25
Price to Sales (P/S)1.03
P/FCF Ratio-2.44
Enterprise Value/Market Cap-346.24K
Enterprise Value/Revenue-69.59K
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit-273.13K
Enterprise Value/Ebitda133.67K
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Mogu Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
MOGU Inc., through its various subsidiaries, manages a significant online fashion and lifestyle e-commerce platform catering to consumers across the People's Republic of China. This digital marketplace features an extensive array of products, enco...
How the Company Makes Money
Mogu primarily makes money by monetizing activity on its fashion e-commerce platform. Its core revenue stream is commissions and service fees earned when users purchase products from merchants on the platform (i.e., the company takes a percentage ...
Mogu Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
21
Negative
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 121.54M | 141.23M | 160.34M | 232.08M | 338.01M |
| Gross Profit | 34.57M | 56.47M | 69.15M | 118.19M | 177.87M |
| EBITDA | -66.09M | -43.69M | -51.42M | -20.80M | -102.84M |
| Net Income | 1.78M | -62.56M | -59.28M | -177.98M | -639.80M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 826.91M | 858.23M | 938.36M | 1.01B | 1.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 295.13M | 379.59M | 420.10M | 562.04M | 635.46M |
| Total Debt | 768.00K | 972.00K | 2.66M | 3.41M | 10.06M |
| Total Liabilities | 318.79M | 321.23M | 323.91M | 339.79M | 334.82M |
| Stockholders Equity | 508.12M | 508.95M | 588.39M | 640.71M | 789.74M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -51.51M | -78.00M | -134.62M | -65.64M | -169.55M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -47.42M | -67.92M | -40.46M | -10.09M | -114.41M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 99.33M | -207.93M | -19.77M | 608.00K | 13.95M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 8.00K | -822.00K | 0.00 | -12.06M | 450.00K |
Mogu Technical Analysis
Positive
1.88
Price Trends
1.91
Positive
1.95
Positive
2.12
Positive
Market Momentum
0.01
Negative
65.94
Neutral
39.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MOGU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.90, below the 50-day MA of 1.91, and below the 200-day MA of 2.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MOGU.
Mogu Risk Analysis
Mogu disclosed 107 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mogu reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our plan to allocate corporate assets to digital currencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, exposes us to significant risks associated with crypto assets, including volatility, concentration, and competition from other crypto assets. Q1, 2026
2.
Our Cryptocurrency Treasury Program exposes us to risk of non-performance by counterparties. Q1, 2026
3.
Our digital asset holdings expose us to the risk of non-performance by counterparties, including custodians, exchanges, or other service providers. Q1, 2026
Mogu Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
56 Neutral | $54.08M | 3.03 | -231.46% | ― | 2.99% | 214.73% | |
55 Neutral | $5.81M | -0.85 | -46.24% | 14.09% | 24.08% | 21.73% | |
44 Neutral | $18.31M | 62.37 | 0.35% | ― | -9.81% | ― | |
44 Neutral | $56.35M | -0.03 | -34.49% | ― | 4368.01% | -109.28% | |
42 Neutral | $1.14M | >-0.01 | 1005.34% | ― | 24.07% | 90.05% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
MOGU
Mogu
2.24
-1.03
-31.50%
LITB
LightInTheBox
2.99
1.14
61.62%
NVVE
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1.15
-169.99
-99.33%
WNW
Meiwu Technology Company Limited
2.14
-186.86
-98.87%
JWEL
Jowell Global
2.45
0.63
35.08%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.