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Mitsui & Co (MITSY) AI Stock Analysis

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MITSY

Mitsui & Co

(Other OTC:MITSY)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:$646.00▲(2.73% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is primarily held back by weak cash conversion and negative recent free cash flow despite otherwise solid profitability and an improving leverage profile. Technical indicators add pressure (negative MACD, sub-50 RSI, and trading below key moving averages), while valuation and a ~3% dividend yield provide some offsetting support.

Positive Factors
Diversified integrated business modelMitsui’s broad industry and geographic footprint, combined with trading, financing, logistics, project development, and operating-company management, creates multiple earnings channels. This integrated model can support resilience by capturing value across supply chains rather than relying on one product or market.
Negative Factors
Weak earnings-to-cash conversionOperating cash flow is materially below reported net income, indicating that accounting profitability is not currently translating efficiently into cash. If this pattern persists, working-capital demands or other cash timing effects could constrain reinvestment, debt reduction, and shareholder distributions.

Mitsui & Co (MITSY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%MITSY+18.35%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$89.65B
Dividend Yield
2.91%
Average Volume (3M)
4,013
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.7
Beta (1Y)
0.16
Revenue Growth
4.65%
EPS Growth
3.96%
Country
US
Employees
55,463
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Conglomerates

Mitsui & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Mitsui & Co., Ltd., a comprehensive general trading company founded in 1947 and headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, conducts a vast array of global operations across numerous industries. Its extensive involvement in the energy and resources sector include...

How the Company Makes Money

Mitsui makes money through a combination of (1) trading and distribution and (2) earnings from investments in operating businesses. A core revenue stream comes from facilitating the purchase, sale, and physical distribution of commodities and manufac...

Mitsui & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025(Q1-2026)|% Change Since:52.65%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call reflects a balanced view with robust progress in strategic investments and segments like chemicals and energy, countered by significant declines in profit and challenges in mineral, metal resources, and renewable energy segments.

Positive Updates

Increased Core Operating Cash Flow
Core operating cash flow (COCF) increased by JPY0.5 billion YoY to JPY216.3 billion, indicating solid progress against the business plan.

Negative Updates

Decline in Overall Profit
Profit declined by JPY84.5 billion YoY to JPY191.6 billion, primarily due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in the previous year.

Company Guidance

During the call, MITSUI & CO., LTD. provided a detailed overview of their Q1 financial results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, highlighting several key metrics. Core Operating Cash Flow (COCF) increased by JPY0.5 billion year-over-year (YoY) to JPY216.3 billion, reflecting solid progress against their business plan. However, profit declined by JPY84.5 billion YoY to JPY191.6 billion, primarily due to the absence of gains from asset sales recorded in the previous year. The company achieved 25% progress towards their business plan, with COCF showing positive trends across most segments. Cash inflows amounted to JPY270 billion, comprising JPY216 billion from COCF and JPY54 billion from asset recycling, while cash outflows for investments and loans totaled JPY208 billion. Significant investments included the ITC Antwerp tank terminal business and the Blue Point low-carbon ammonia project. The call also addressed segment-specific performance, with notable increases in the chemicals and iron and steel products segments, while challenges persisted in the mineral and metal resources segment due to lower commodity prices. The company reiterated its commitment to its medium-term management plan, focusing on industrial business solutions, global energy transition, and wellness ecosystem creation.

Mitsui & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Earnings and profitability are solid (mid-to-high single-digit net margins), and leverage has improved (debt-to-equity down into the mid-0.6 range). However, cash generation is a major concern: operating cash flow is low relative to net income recently and free cash flow has turned negative in the latest annual period and TTM, which weakens earnings quality and raises funding/discipline risk if persistent.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

44Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.74T14.00T14.66T13.32T14.31T11.76T
Gross Profit1.47T1.33T1.29T1.32T1.40T1.14T
EBITDA956.47B738.43B1.65T1.28T1.23T1.07T
Net Income996.25B833.97B900.34B1.06T1.13T914.72B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.67T20.91T16.81T16.90T15.38T14.92T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments963.15B988.14B979.75B902.72B1.40T2.13T
Total Debt5.79T5.73T4.84T4.78T5.04T4.88T
Total Liabilities11.30T11.85T9.05T9.13T8.82T9.13T
Stockholders Equity9.05T8.81T7.55T7.54T6.37T5.61T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-461.82B-164.86B671.37B569.65B819.47B621.37B
Operating Cash Flow757.29B1.01T1.02T864.42B1.05T806.90B
Investing Cash Flow-1.03T-1.12T-161.99B-427.55B-178.34B-181.19B
Financing Cash Flow238.99B52.37B-749.60B-1.01T-634.68B-614.33B

Mitsui & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price628.86

Price Trends

50DMA635.76Negative
100DMA615.73Positive
200DMA666.10Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-3.23Positive
RSI50.84Neutral
STOCH62.04Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MITSY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 628.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 628.16, below the 50-day MA of 635.76, and below the 200-day MA of 666.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MITSY.

Mitsui & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

MITSY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HONHON73Outperform$72.43B10.2936.19%1.95%-17.35%23.22%
VMIVMI68Neutral$8.10B15.9630.42%0.70%4.55%131.74%
SEBSEB67Neutral$3.61B6.4910.25%0.24%6.98%40.66%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
BBUCBBUC59Neutral$6.11B-18.212.32%0.85%179.94%85.40%
MMMMMM59Neutral$97.85B27.9894.02%1.63%1.70%7.26%
MITSYMITSY59Neutral$87.65B14.7311.21%2.91%4.65%3.96%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%MITSYMMMHONSEBVMIBBUCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
MITSY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MITSYMitsui628.8697.0118.24%
MMM3M Company188.8821.3512.75%
HONHoneywell International227.6422.1610.78%
SEBSeaboard Corporation3749.49-259.15-6.46%
VMIValmont Industries424.8329.267.40%
BBUCBrookfield Business Corp. Class A29.37-2.39-7.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026