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MCAP Inc. (MCAP) AI Stock Analysis

MCAP

MCAP Inc.

(Other OTC:MCAP)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$9.50â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/08/26

MCAP scores below average, driven primarily by significant financial deterioration — TTM gross margins have collapsed to ~11% (alarming for a software company), revenue growth is inconsistent, and profitability has turned negative. The elevated P/E of ~41x is difficult to justify given these fundamentals, though the 4.8% dividend yield offers some appeal. The debt-free balance sheet and recent cash flow recovery are genuine positives but insufficient to offset the margin compression and valuation concerns. Technical indicators show mild short-term momentum but a bearish longer-term trend. Investors should closely monitor whether the margin deterioration is temporary or structural before considering a position.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetEffectively no debt gives MCAP substantial financial flexibility and reduces exposure to interest burdens or refinancing pressure. A stronger equity base also supports resilience, allowing the company to absorb operating volatility while continuing to pursue mortgage lending and servicing opportunities.
Negative Factors
TTM profitability deteriorationThe TTM shift from stronger annual profitability to a small net loss signals that earnings power has weakened materially. Persistently lower profitability would reduce internally generated capital, pressure returns, and make recent cash-flow strength less dependable as a measure of ongoing performance.

MCAP Inc. (MCAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%MCAP-22.05%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$234.24M
Dividend Yield
4.21%
Average Volume (3M)
203
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-950.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.18
Revenue Growth
10.77%
EPS Growth
-101.94%
Country
US
Employees
7
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

MCAP Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MCAP Inc. functions as a real estate holding firm, primarily dedicated to acquiring undervalued land and properties across the United States. Established in 1995, the company was previously known as MetaCap Inc. before officially changing its name to...

MCAP Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

MCAP's financial profile is concerning. The income statement score of 35 reflects collapsing TTM gross margins (~11%, far below software industry norms), volatile revenue, and near-breakeven profitability. The balance sheet score of 68 is a bright spot with zero debt and growing equity ($53.9M). Cash flow scored 52, with a strong TTM rebound to $29M operating cash flow, but historical volatility undermines confidence. The severe margin deterioration dominates, dragging the composite financial score well below average despite the solid balance sheet.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue107.53M104.71M87.77M144.46M102.55M
Gross Profit-2.72M43.37M41.39M41.19M45.16M
EBITDA-1.48M11.14M9.43M8.82M16.37M
Net Income-238.62K7.00M4.28M3.98M10.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.59B868.54M968.30M1.48B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.57B850.12M956.17M1.47B1.43B
Total Debt0001.10M6.50M
Total Liabilities1.54B819.86M930.82M1.45B1.41B
Stockholders Equity53.91M48.68M37.48M26.91M19.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.66M23.13M-119.49K542.51K14.31M
Operating Cash Flow29.04M23.44M-32.72K-4.91M14.67M
Investing Cash Flow-3.05M-5.94M-3.51M668.48K-356.73K
Financing Cash Flow-10.20M-6.29M145.12K-2.93M3.59M

MCAP Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price9.50

Price Trends

50DMA8.93Positive
100DMA8.39Positive
200DMA8.13Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.18Positive
RSI84.15Negative
STOCH0.00Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MCAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.50 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.32, above the 50-day MA of 8.93, and above the 200-day MA of 8.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 84.15 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MCAP.

MCAP Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MCAP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
AGMHAGMH46Neutral$11.44M-2.025.15%―-4.63%-22.14%
MCAPMCAP46Neutral$234.73M-950.00-0.47%4.21%10.77%-101.94%
CXAICXAI44Neutral$3.11M-0.04-135.04%―-20.40%32.15%
FRGTFRGT41Neutral$1.80M-0.02-92.67%―――

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%MCAPFRGTAGMHCXAIRMSGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
MCAP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MCAPMCAP Inc.9.50-1.49-13.56%
FRGTFreight Technologies, Inc1.07-251.43-99.58%
AGMHAgm Group0.51-3.18-86.28%
CXAICxapp Inc.1.33-33.16-96.14%
RMSGReal Messenger Corporation0.17-1.99-91.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2026