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Lotus Technology (LOT) AI Stock Analysis

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LOT

Lotus Technology

(NASDAQ:LOT)

Select Model
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:$0.26â–¼(-3.75% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/11/26

LOT scores low primarily due to weak financial performance (large ongoing losses, cash burn, negative equity, and rising debt) and very bearish technicals (price far below major moving averages with negative momentum). The score is partially supported by improved operating trends and constructive long-term guidance from the latest earnings call, while valuation is difficult to assess given negative earnings and no dividend support.

Positive Factors
Improving operating trajectoryHigher deliveries and revenue, combined with materially improved gross profit and narrower operating losses, indicate better operating leverage and product traction. If sustained, these trends can strengthen the path toward breakeven and support reinvestment in Lotus’s vehicle portfolio.
Negative Factors
Persistent profitability gapDespite year-over-year improvement, Lotus remains deeply loss-making, showing that revenue growth has not yet translated into sustainable earnings. Continued losses can constrain investment flexibility and require further execution, scale benefits and cost discipline before the business reaches durable profitability.

Lotus Technology (LOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%LOT-79.14%SPY+14.97%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$173.04M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
321.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.4
Beta (1Y)
1.76
Revenue Growth
-43.74%
EPS Growth
58.87%
Country
US
Employees
1,132
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Auto - Manufacturers

Lotus Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lotus Technology Inc. primarily focuses on the engineering, manufacturing, and commercialization of premium, high-performance battery-powered electric vehicles designed for a sophisticated lifestyle. Its product portfolio includes all-electric sports...

Lotus Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-77.56%|Next Earnings Date:May 29, 2024
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call conveyed meaningful operational and financial progress: strong delivery and revenue growth, materially improved gross profit and margin, and significantly narrower operating and EBITDA losses. Management presented a coherent multi-year Focus 2030 plan (product roadmap, One Lotus integration, and financial targets) and tangible early wins (For Me order momentum, sold-out limited editions, global retail expansion). However, important challenges remain: the company is still loss-making on an absolute basis (and significant when excluding one-offs), Europe faces competitive pressure, ASPs softened due to model mix, chip-driven BOM cost pressures persist, and near-term consolidation of Lotus UK may increase reported expenses. Overall, the improvements and strategic clarity outweigh the near-term negatives, though the path to sustained profitability still requires execution against Focus 2030 milestones.

Positive Updates

Strong Delivery Growth
Total vehicle deliveries of 3,904 units in 1H26, up 39% year-over-year, driven by lifestyle vehicles which comprised 77% of deliveries and the ramp of the Eletre X/For Me models.

Negative Updates

Continued Net Losses and Structural Profitability Gap
Despite progress, the company remains loss-making: reported operating loss (USD 97 million) and net loss (narrowed 52% YoY). Excluding one-offs, operating loss remained material at USD 195 million, indicating further work to reach sustained profitability.

Company Guidance

Management’s guidance under the Focus 2030 plan targets reaching 30,000 annual vehicle sales (implying a 36% CAGR in volume from 2025–2030), lifting gross margin to above 20% by 2030, and cutting combined SG&A and R&D to under 25% of revenue so that EBITDA/EBIT turn positive; near‑term commercial milestones include Eletre X order openings in Europe (orders opened June 3) with EU deliveries starting in Q4 2026, U.K. launches in mid‑2027 and Middle East deliveries by year‑end 2026, while current momentum is supported by H1 2026 results of 3,904 unit deliveries (+39% YoY), revenue of $268M (+23% YoY), ASP down 3%, gross profit $26M (+47% YoY) and roughly 10% gross margin (≈+1.6 pp), operating loss narrowed 63% to $97M (adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed 57% to $104M from $240M), operating expenses $127.5M (‑46% YoY) with R&D ~$96M, S&M $83M and G&A $46M, China deliveries +60% (58% of volumes), ex‑China deliveries +17.4% (Americas +45%, ROW +164%), and an expectation that chip supply pressures will rebalance by late‑2026/early‑2027 to further support margin improvement.

Lotus Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials indicate high risk: sharp revenue contraction in 2025 (~44% YoY), very large operating and net losses (operating margin about -82%, net margin about -89%), persistent negative operating/free cash flow, and a stressed balance sheet with negative equity and rising debt (~$0.94B in 2023 to ~$1.84B in 2025). Positives include some YoY loss and operating cash-flow narrowing in 2025, but the company remains far from breakeven and dependent on external funding.

Income Statement

12Very Negative

Balance Sheet

9Very Negative

Cash Flow

10Very Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue923.97M519.10M924.35M679.01M9.56M3.69M
Gross Profit29.56M45.21M29.63M102.18M2.31M557.00K
EBITDA-967.49M-332.19M-969.91M-680.98M-674.62M-110.89M
Net Income-1.10B-464.22M-1.10B-742.00M-723.92M-110.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.29B1.95B2.29B1.58B1.58B1.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments103.07M73.43M103.07M422.94M739.00M531.45M
Total Debt1.19B1.84B1.19B942.04M658.60M218.27M
Total Liabilities3.15B3.28B3.15B2.41B1.66B1.12B
Stockholders Equity-852.86M-1.32B-852.86M-821.77M-83.96M195.32M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-905.86M-413.34M-905.86M-600.65M-484.99M-161.09M
Operating Cash Flow-848.52M-333.91M-848.52M-386.93M-351.58M-126.50M
Investing Cash Flow-579.44M277.56M-579.44M-197.99M-149.34M244.48M
Financing Cash Flow1.46B128.45M1.46B284.71M758.34M364.85M

Lotus Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.27

Price Trends

50DMA0.69Negative
100DMA0.87Negative
200DMA1.04Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.12Negative
RSI23.44Positive
STOCH9.58Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LOT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.41, below the 50-day MA of 0.69, and below the 200-day MA of 1.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 23.44 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LOT.

Lotus Technology Risk Analysis

Lotus Technology disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lotus Technology reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Lotus Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

LOT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
XPEVXPEV51Neutral$9.59B-20.13-10.72%―28.99%24.33%
NIONIO49Neutral$8.19B-10.06-108.58%―69.72%82.72%
VFSVFS48Neutral$7.23B-1.4679.30%―73.93%-48.37%
LOTLOT46Neutral$170.42M-0.4134.67%―-43.74%58.87%
LCIDLCID43Neutral$1.45B-0.25-277.68%―46.49%-26.27%
PSNYPSNY39Underperform$805.75M-0.2439.95%―17.58%50.60%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-75%-50%-25%0%25%LOTNIOXPEVLCIDPSNYVFSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
LOT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
LOTLotus Technology Inc.0.27-1.05-79.77%
NIONio Inc3.05-3.03-49.84%
XPEVXPeng, Inc. ADR9.46-12.97-57.82%
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.3.25-9.66-74.79%
PSNYPolestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc Adr4.26-12.11-73.98%
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.3.06-0.48-13.56%

Lotus Technology Corporate Events

Lotus Technology Receives Nasdaq Notice Over $1 Minimum Bid Requirement

Nov 2, 2026

Lotus Technology Inc. is a global intelligent and luxury mobility provider operating across the UK, EU, U.S. and China. It develops high-performance sports cars and luxury lifestyle electric vehicles under the Lotus brand, supported by research and d...

Lotus Technology Narrows Losses as Revenue Climbs in First Half of 2026

Sep 14, 2026

On September 14, 2026, Lotus Technology Inc. filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, furnishing its unaudited interim report for the six months ended June 30, 2026. The filing integrates this report into several existing sh...

Lotus Technology Narrows Losses and Integrates Lotus UK on Strong H1 2026 Growth

Aug 27, 2026

In the first half of 2026, Lotus Technology reported 3,904 vehicle deliveries, up 39% year-on-year, with lifestyle models making up 77% of volumes and China leading regional growth with a 60% surge in deliveries. The successful launch of the Eletre X...

Lotus Technology Unifies Global Operations with Full Acquisition of Lotus UK

Aug 25, 2026

On August 21, 2026, Lotus Technology completed the acquisition of 100% of the equity interests in Lotus Advance Technologies Sdn Bhd, known as Lotus UK, following the exercise of put options by shareholders Geely and Etika. The deal consolidates Lotu...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026