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Lilium (LILMF) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q4, 2023
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Dec 31, 2023, filed Mar 15, 2024
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Our warrants are accounted for as liabilities and changes in the fair value of our outstanding warrants have adversely impacted, and may continue to adversely impact, our financial results.
In accordance with IFRS, our warrants are recognized as derivative financial instruments. Accordingly, we generally classify warrants as financial liabilities measured at fair value through profit or loss, which are subject to remeasurement at each balance sheet date until exercised or expired, and any change in fair value is recognized as finance income or finance expenses. As a result of recurring fair value measurement, our financial statements and results of operations may fluctuate based on factors outside of our control. Due to recurring fair value measurement, we recognize non-cash gains or losses on our outstanding warrants each reporting period and the amount of such gains or losses has been, and could continue to be, material. For example, for the year ended December 31, 2023, our finance expenses increased to €131.1 million from €2.0 million in 2022, which mainly resulted from changes in the fair value of our warrants of €129.6 million. Changes in the fair value of our outstanding warrants may continue to materially impact our financial results.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2023
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 72
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1AddedOur warrants are accounted for as liabilities and changes in the fair value of our outstanding warrants have adversely impacted, and may continue to adversely impact, our financial results.
In accordance with IFRS, our warrants are recognized as derivative financial instruments. Accordingly, we generally classify warrants as financial liabilities measured at fair value through profit or loss, which are subject to remeasurement at each balance sheet date until exercised or expired, and any change in fair value is recognized as finance income or finance expenses. As a result of recurring fair value measurement, our financial statements and results of operations may fluctuate based on factors outside of our control. Due to recurring fair value measurement, we recognize non-cash gains or losses on our outstanding warrants each reporting period and the amount of such gains or losses has been, and could continue to be, material. For example, for the year ended December 31, 2023, our finance expenses increased to €131.1 million from €2.0 million in 2022, which mainly resulted from changes in the fair value of our warrants of €129.6 million. Changes in the fair value of our outstanding warrants may continue to materially impact our financial results.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2Our failure to meet Nasdaq's continued listing requirements could result in a delisting of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants.
If we fail to satisfy Nasdaq's continued listing requirements, such as the corporate governance requirements or the minimum closing bid price requirement, Nasdaq may take steps to delist our Class A Shares and Public Warrants. For example, failing to meet the minimum closing bid price of $1.00 for 30 consecutive trading days constitutes non-compliance with a Nasdaq continuing listing standard. On February 22, 2024, we received a written notice from Nasdaq (the "Deficiency Notice") that we are not in compliance with the minimum bid price requirement based on the closing bid price of our Class A Shares for the 30 consecutive business days from January 9, 2024 to February 21, 2024. If our Class A Shares do not close at a minimum bid price of $1.00 or more for ten consecutive trading days within 180 calendar days of our receipt of the Deficiency Notice, or by August 20, 2024, Nasdaq may institute proceedings to delist our Class A Shares. The closing price of our Class A Shares on March 14, 2024 was $0.95. A delisting would likely have a negative effect on the price of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants and would impair your ability to sell or purchase our securities when you wish to do so. In the event of a delisting, we can provide no assurance that any action taken by us to restore compliance with listing requirements would allow our securities to become listed again, stabilize the market price or improve the liquidity of our securities, prevent our securities from dropping below Nasdaq's minimum bid price requirement or prevent future non-compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3We are an "emerging growth company," and our reduced SEC reporting requirements may make our shares less attractive to investors.
We are an "emerging growth company" as defined in the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act of 2012 ("JOBS Act"). We will remain an "emerging growth company" until the earliest to occur of (i) the last day of the fiscal year (a) following the fifth anniversary of the Closing Date, (b) in which we have total annual gross revenue of at least $1.235 billion or (c) in which we are deemed to be a large accelerated filer, which means the market value of Class A Shares held by non-affiliates exceeds $700 million as of the last business day of our prior second fiscal quarter, and (ii) the date on which we issued more than $1.0 billion in non-convertible debt during the prior three-year period. We intend to take advantage of exemptions from various reporting requirements that are applicable to most other public companies, such as an exemption from the provisions of Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act requiring our independent registered public accounting firm provide an attestation report on the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting and reduced disclosure obligations regarding executive compensation in our periodic reports and proxy statements and exemptions from the requirements of holding a nonbinding advisory vote on executive compensation and shareholder approval of any golden parachute payments not previously approved. We cannot predict if investors will find our securities less attractive because we intend to rely on certain of these exemptions and benefits under the JOBS Act. If some investors find our securities less attractive as a result, there may be a less active, liquid and/or orderly trading market for our Class A Shares and Public Warrants, and the market price and trading volume of our securities may be more volatile and decline significantly.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4The market price and trading volume of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants may be volatile and could decline significantly.
Stock markets, including Nasdaq, on which our Class A Shares and Public Warrants are listed, have from time-to-time experienced significant price and volume fluctuations. Even if an active, liquid and orderly trading market develops and is sustained for our Class A Shares and Public Warrants, the market price of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants may be volatile and could decline significantly. In addition, the trading volume in our Class A Shares and Public Warrants may fluctuate and cause significant price variations to occur. If the market price of our Class A Shares or Public Warrants declines significantly, you may be unable to resell your securities at or above the price you purchased them for. We cannot assure you that the market price of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants will not fluctuate widely or decline significantly in the future in response to a number of factors, including, among others, the following: - the realization of any of the risk factors presented in this Annual Report;- actual or anticipated differences in our estimates, or in the estimates of analysts, for our revenues, results of operations, liquidity or financial condition;- our ability to market our products, services and technology on a timely basis;- additions and departures of key personnel, including members of the Board or management;- failure to comply with the requirements of the SEC or Nasdaq;- failure to comply with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act or other laws or regulations;- changes in laws and regulations affecting our business;- commencement of, or involvement in, litigation involving us;- changes in our capital structure, such as future issuances, sales or resales, or anticipated issuances, sales or resales, of our Class A Shares;- sales of substantial amounts of Class A Shares by our directors, executive officers or significant shareholders or the perception that such sales could occur;- sales of substantial amounts of Class A Shares following the release of transfer restrictions on the sale of shares or upon the exercise or settlement of equity awards of implemented in connection with the Business Combination or otherwise;- the performance and market valuations of other similar companies;- broad disruptions in the financial markets, including sudden disruptions in the credit markets;- material and adverse impact of any emergent public health issues, including a resurgence of COVID-19 or variants thereof;- material and adverse impact of the war between Russia and Ukraine on the markets and the broader global economy;- speculation in the press or investment community, or inaccurate or unfavorable research or reports that may be published about us;- actual, potential or perceived control, accounting or reporting problems; and - changes in accounting principles, policies and guidelines. In the past, securities class-action litigation has often been instituted against companies following periods of volatility in the market price of their shares or warrants. This type of litigation could result in substantial costs and divert our management's attention and resources, which could have a material adverse effect on us.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5If securities or industry analysts publish inaccurate or unfavorable research or cease publishing research about us, the price and trading volume of our securities could decline significantly.
The market for our Class A Shares and Public Warrants depends in part on the research and reports that securities or industry analysts publish about us or our business. Currently, we have limited analyst coverage and may not obtain additional analyst coverage in the future or may lose the analyst coverage we have now. We do not have any control over such analysts. If one or more of the analysts who covers us downgrades its opinions about our Class A Shares or ceases publishing about us regularly, demand for our Class A Shares and Public Warrants could decrease, which could cause the market prices and trading volume of our securities to decline significantly. In addition, if securities or industry analysts or other market participants or investors publish inaccurate reports or unfavorable research about us this could adversely affect our reputation or harm investor confidence in our company. Additionally, the publishing of any such reports or research could cause volatility in the trading volumes of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants and cause the market price of our securities to decline significantly.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6Future sales, conversions or exercises by existing securityholders or future offerings of securities by us may cause dilution to our existing shareholders and cause the market price of our securities to fall.
If we or our shareholders, including our executive officers, directors and their affiliates, sell substantial amounts of Class A Shares in the public market, including Class A Shares issuable upon the exercise of outstanding warrants, or if the market perceives that such issuances or sales may occur, the market price of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants could fall, and it may become more difficult for us to sell equity or equity-related securities in the future at a time and price that we deem appropriate. A substantial number of Class A Shares are reserved for issuance upon the exercise of stock options, upon settlement of vested RSUs, upon conversion of the issued and outstanding Class B Shares and upon exercise of issued and outstanding warrants. These issuances could depress the market price of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants and would result in increased dilution to existing shareholders. In addition, exercises of significant amounts of options or the settlement of significant amounts of equity awards at one time, including any related sales of Class A Shares as a result of sell-to-cover transactions effected to address any associated tax liabilities or any discretionary sales by the holders, could also reduce the market price of our Class A Shares. Under our Legacy Stock Option Program, holders were subject to a 180-day lock-up period following the Business Combination and were first permitted to exercise their options as of March 14, 2022. Additionally, vested stock options under the Legacy Stock Option Program generally will be required to be exercised only during certain exercise windows during each quarter (with the exact dates during each quarter to be determined by Lilium). If there are significant exercises of options or settlement of equity awards in a limited period of time, such issuances would be dilutive to existing holders of outstanding shares. Further, significant sales of Class A Shares at one time as a result of associated sell-to-cover transactions or discretionary sales effected in connection with such exercises or settlement, for example as occurred on March 14, 2022, when a substantial volume of Class A Shares were sold in a short period of time, including to cover holders' tax obligations associated with the exercise and/or settlement of certain options and RSUs, may result in trading volatility and reduce the market price of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants. The likelihood that holders will exercise warrants is generally dependent upon the market price of our Class A Shares. In the future, Lilium may seek shareholder approval to further increase the number of Class A Shares authorized for issuance to enable, among other things, the possible issuance of additional Class A Shares in connection with any other capital raising activities. There can be no assurance that our Board will seek or receive, if sought, the requisite authorization at a General Meeting to issue additional Class A Shares, or authorization to issue a sufficient amount of Class A Shares as may be necessary to finance the Company's operations in the future.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7The future exercise of registration rights may adversely affect the market price of Class A Shares.
Certain Lilium shareholders have registration rights for restricted securities under the terms of our Registration Rights Agreement with Qell Partners LLC and certain other shareholders of Lilium that provide for customary "demand" and "piggyback" registration rights for certain shareholders. Additionally, we have entered into a registration rights agreement granting customary registration rights to Azul in respect of the Class A Shares issuable upon the exercise of the Azul Warrants. These sales, or the perception in the market that the holders of a large number of shares intend to sell shares, could reduce the market price of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8Risks for any holders of SPAC Warrants.
We may redeem the SPAC Warrants prior to their exercise at a time that is disadvantageous to holders of SPAC Warrants, thereby making such warrants worthless. We have the ability to redeem outstanding SPAC Warrants at any time prior to their expiration, at a price of $0.01 per warrant, provided that the closing price of the Class A Shares equals or exceeds $18.00 per share (as adjusted for share subdivisions, share capitalizations, reorganizations, recapitalizations and the like) for any 20 trading days within a 30 trading day period ending on the third trading day prior to the date on which a notice of redemption is sent to the SPAC Warrant holders. We may not redeem the SPAC Warrants as described above unless a registration statement under the Securities Act covering the Class A Shares issuable upon exercise of such warrants is effective and a current prospectus relating to those Class A Shares is available throughout the 30-day redemption period. If and when the SPAC Warrants become redeemable by us, we may exercise our redemption right even if we are unable to register or qualify the underlying securities for sale under all applicable state securities laws. Redemption of the outstanding SPAC Warrants could force holders of SPAC Warrants to (i) exercise their SPAC Warrants and pay the exercise price therefor at a time when it may be disadvantageous for such holders to do so, (ii) sell their SPAC Warrants at the then-current market price when they might otherwise wish to hold the SPAC Warrants or (iii) accept the nominal redemption price, which, at the time the outstanding SPAC Warrants are called for redemption, is likely to be substantially less than the market value of the SPAC Warrants. In addition, we have the ability to redeem the outstanding SPAC Warrants at any time prior to their expiration, at a price of $0.10 per warrant if, among other things, the closing price of the Class A Shares equals or exceeds $10.00 per share (as adjusted for share sub-divisions, share dividends, rights issuances, subdivisions, reorganizations, recapitalizations and the like) on the trading day prior to the date on which a notice of redemption is sent to the SPAC Warrant holders. If trading prices for the Class A Shares have not exceeded the $10.00 per share threshold at which the SPAC Warrants would become redeemable, holders will be able to exercise their SPAC Warrants prior to redemption for a number of Class A Shares determined based on the redemption date and the fair market value of the Class A Shares. The value received upon exercise of the SPAC Warrants (1) may be less than the value the holders would have received if they had exercised their SPAC Warrants at a later time where the underlying share price is higher and (2) may not compensate the holders for the value of the SPAC Warrants.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9Certain provisions of our outstanding warrants could discourage an acquisition of us by a third party.
Certain provisions of our outstanding warrants could make it more difficult or expensive for a third party to acquire us. For example, the Private Warrants and the SPAC Warrants provide that, in the case of certain change of control or "fundamental" transactions, among other things, the surviving entity must assume our obligations under such warrants. Additionally, in certain circumstances, the holders of 2022 Warrants, 2023 Warrants and Aceville Warrants will have the right to receive the Black Scholes Value (as defined in the applicable warrant agreement and form of warrant) of such warrants, calculated pursuant to a formula set forth in the applicable warrant agreement and form of warrant, payable either in cash or, in some cases, in the same type or form of consideration that is being offered and being paid to the holders of our Class A Shares. In the case of the SPAC Warrants, certain types of transactions may trigger a reduction in the exercise price of the SPAC Warrants equal to the sum of the price paid per Class A Share in the triggering transaction and the Black Scholes Warrant Value (as defined in the warrant agreement relating to the SPAC Warrants). These and other provisions of our outstanding warrants could prevent or deter a third party from acquiring us even where the acquisition could be beneficial to our shareholders.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10The rights of shareholders in companies subject to Dutch corporate law differ in material respects from the rights of shareholders of corporations incorporated in the U.S.
We are a public limited liability company incorporated under Dutch law. Our corporate affairs are governed by our articles of association, our internal rules and policies and by the laws governing companies incorporated in the Netherlands. The rights of shareholders may be different from the rights and obligations of shareholders in companies governed by the laws of U.S. jurisdictions. The role of the board of directors in a Dutch company is also materially different, and cannot be compared to, the role of a board of directors in a corporation incorporated in the U.S. In the performance of their duties, our board of directors is required by Dutch law to consider the interests of our company and the sustainable success of our business, with an aim to creating long-term value, considering the interests of our shareholders, our employees and other stakeholders of the Company, in all cases with due observation of the principles of reasonableness and fairness. It is possible that some of these parties will have interests that are different from, or in addition to, your interests as a shareholder.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 11Shareholders may not be able to exercise preemptive rights and, as a result, may experience substantial dilution upon future issuances of shares.
In the event of an issuance of our Class A Shares, subject to certain exceptions, each shareholder will have a preemptive right that is pro rata to the total number of Class A Shares held by such shareholder. Preemptive rights may be restricted or excluded by a resolution proposed by the Board and adopted by the General Meeting. The General Meeting may by resolution also designate the Board for a period not exceeding five years as the body authorized to restrict or exclude preemptive rights. Currently, the Board has been irrevocably authorized by the General Meeting to (i) issue Class A Shares and grant rights to subscribe for Class A Shares for a period of 36 months from July 7, 2023 up to 10% of the issued share capital calculated as of July 7, 2023 and (ii) issue Class A Shares and grant rights to subscribe for Class A Shares for a period of 36 months from September 11, 2023 up to 10% of the issued share capital calculated as of September 11, 2023 (each, an "Issuance Delegation"). The Board is also irrevocably authorized by the General Meeting to limit or exclude preemptive rights with respect to any issuances conducted pursuant to either of the foregoing Issuance Delegations, which could cause existing shareholders to experience substantial dilution of their holdings.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 12Our largest shareholders, in part due to our dual class structure, have significant influence in our Company.
Our four largest shareholders currently control nearly 52% of the total voting power of the Company. Class B Shares have three times as many votes per share as Class A Shares. Daniel Wiegand, our Co-Founder and Chief Engineer for Innovation and Future Programs, holds all of the issued and outstanding Class B Shares and controls approximately 12% of the total voting power of Lilium. Tencent Mobility (Luxembourg) S.à r.l ("Tencent") currently owns approximately 22% of our outstanding Class A Shares (which represents approximately 19.46% of the total voting power of the Company). LGT/Lightrock (as defined in "Item 7. Major Shareholders and Related Parties") currently own approximately 14% of our outstanding Class A Shares (which represents approximately 13% of the total voting power of the Company). The Atomico Entities (as defined in "Item 7. Major Shareholders and Related Parties") currently own approximately 8% of our outstanding Class A Shares (which represents approximately 7% of the total voting power of Lilium). Such calculations are based on the number of Class A Shares and Class B Shares outstanding on March 14, 2024, and do not take into account any exercise of warrants to purchase Class A Shares held by Tencent, LGT/Lightrock or their affiliates. Our largest shareholders may have interests that differ from yours and may vote in a way with which you disagree and which may be adverse to your interests. For more information about our dual class structure, see the section titled "Description of Securities" in the registration statement into which this summary is incorporated by reference. Shareholders with greater than 10% voting power in the Company, such as certain of the aforementioned shareholders, are able to call a special meeting of shareholders to propose matters for shareholder approval such as the removal or election of directors or amendments to our organization documents. Our largest shareholders may have interests that differ from yours and may vote in a way with which you disagree and which may be adverse to your interests. For more information about our dual class structure, see Exhibit 2.1 attached to this Annual Report.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 13Investors may have difficulty enforcing civil liabilities against us or the members of our management and our Board.
We are incorporated in the Netherlands, and we will conduct substantially all of our operations in Germany or Europe through our subsidiaries. A majority of our management and our directors are not U.S. residents and do not have significant assets in the U.S., and the majority of our assets are located outside the U.S. As a result, it may not be possible, or may be very difficult, to serve process on our representatives or us in the United States, or to enforce judgments obtained in U.S. courts against our representatives or us based on civil liability provisions of the securities laws of the U.S. There is no treaty between the U.S. and the Netherlands for the mutual recognition and enforcement of judgments (other than arbitration awards) in civil and commercial matters. Therefore, a final judgment for the payment of money rendered by any federal or state court in the U.S. based on civil liability, whether or not predicated solely upon the U.S. federal securities laws, would not be enforceable in the Netherlands unless the underlying claim is re-litigated before a Dutch court of competent jurisdiction. U.S. investors will be unable to enforce any judgments obtained in U.S. courts in civil and commercial matters, including judgments under the U.S. federal securities laws, against us, members of our management and our directors. In addition, there is doubt as to whether a Dutch court would impose civil liability on us or the members of our management or our directors in an original action predicated solely upon the U.S. federal securities laws brought in a court of competent jurisdiction in the Netherlands against us or our management or directors.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 14Provisions of our articles of association or Dutch corporate law might deter acquisition bids for us that our shareholders might consider to be favorable and prevent or frustrate any attempt to replace or remove the Board at the time of such acquisition bid.
Certain provisions of our articles of association may make it more difficult for a third party to acquire control of the Board or effect a change in the composition of the Board. These include: - the General Meeting may adopt a resolution to authorize the Board to issue Class A Shares and to limit or exclude preemptive rights on those Class A Shares, which could enable the Board to dilute the holdings of an acquirer by issuing Class A Shares to other parties;- a provision that our directors can only be removed (other than pursuant to a proposal by the Board) by our General Meeting by a majority of at least two thirds of the votes cast, provided such votes represent more than half of the issued share capital; if and to the extent permitted by law, our Executive Directors may also be suspended by the Board; and - a requirement that certain matters, including an amendment of our articles of association, a legal merger, legal demerger or a resolution to dissolve the Company, may only be brought to the shareholders for a vote upon a proposal by the Board. Such provisions could discourage a takeover attempt and impair the ability of shareholders to benefit from a change in control and realize any potential change of control premium. This may adversely affect the market price of our Class A Shares and Public Warrants. For additional information, see Exhibit 2.1 attached to this Annual Report.
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