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Li-Cycle Holdings (LICYQ) AI Stock Analysis

LICYQ

Li-Cycle Holdings

(Other OTC:LICYQ)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Action:N/A
Date:01/25/25

Li-Cycle Holdings' overall score is affected by strong revenue growth but hindered by significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative cash flows. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while recent earnings calls and corporate events highlight positive strategic progress and additional funding. Overall, while there are promising developments, financial and operational hurdles need resolution to improve the stock's outlook.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthStrong revenue growth indicates increasing demand for Li-Cycle's recycling services, suggesting successful market penetration and business model effectiveness.
Negative Factors
High LeverageHigh leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, necessitating careful management to avoid potential liquidity issues.

Li-Cycle Holdings (LICYQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Not enough price history over this period.

Market Cap
$45
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
―
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-1.0
Beta (1Y)
490.37
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
384
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Waste Management

Li-Cycle Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Peridot Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.

How the Company Makes Money

Li-Cycle makes money primarily through its proprietary 'Spoke & Hub' model, which involves breaking down used lithium-ion batteries at regional Spoke facilities and further processing the materials at centralized Hub facilities. The company's revenue...

Li-Cycle Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2024(Q3-2024)|% Change Since:-99.72%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 29, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The earnings call reflects significant achievements in securing a major DOE loan, substantial revenue growth, and successful cost management, indicating strong progress in Li-Cycle's strategic initiatives. However, challenges remain with funding requirements and optimizing the Spoke network, leading to the closure of some operations.

Positive Updates

DOE Loan Agreement Finalized
Li-Cycle closed an agreement with the U.S. Department of Energy for a loan of up to $475 million, increased from a previously announced commitment of $375 million. This marks the first DOE loan for a sustainable lithium-ion battery materials company.

Negative Updates

Spoke Network Optimization and Closures
Operations at the New York Spoke have been curtailed, and closure activities are continuing at the Ontario Spoke as part of optimization efforts.

Company Guidance

During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Li-Cycle Holdings Corp., the company provided significant guidance on its financial and operational strategies. Key highlights included the finalization of a U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) loan for up to $475 million, which is a $100 million increase from the previously announced commitment and crucial for the Rochester Hub project. The loan matures on March 15, 2040, with a principal amount of up to $445 million and capitalized interest of up to $30 million during construction. The company aims to restart construction at the Rochester Hub, with an estimated remaining cost of $487 million, and expects the facility to produce up to 8,250 tonnes of battery-grade lithium carbonate and 72,000 tonnes of mixed hydroxide precipitate annually. Li-Cycle's revenue for Q3 was $8.4 million, marking a 79% increase year-over-year, attributed to higher recycling service revenue and favorable metal prices. The company is also focusing on optimizing its Spoke network and securing a full funding package to support the Rochester Hub project.

Li-Cycle Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.01

Price Trends

50DMA0.07Negative
100DMA0.17Negative
200DMA0.99Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Positive
RSI39.00Neutral
STOCH7.41Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LICYQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, below the 50-day MA of 0.07, and below the 200-day MA of 0.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.41 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LICYQ.

Li-Cycle Holdings Risk Analysis

Li-Cycle Holdings disclosed 85 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Li-Cycle Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Li-Cycle Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

LICYQ against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
LNZALNZA58Neutral$67.15M0.07230.00%―43.84%―
PESIPESI51Neutral$264.17M-11.02-40.97%―-4.73%0.30%
NVRINVRI49Neutral$519.26M-1.13918.96%81.43%-22.51%-698.56%
LICYQLICYQ44Neutral$45-1.04-7.37%―――
AQMSAQMS37Underperform$4.85M-0.18-145.58%――93.91%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%NVRIPESIAQMSLNZAJun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
LICYQ and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
LICYQLi-Cycle Holdings Corp.―――
NVRIEnviri Corporation18.422.2513.91%
PESIPerma-fix Environmental Services12.45-0.38-2.96%
AQMSAqua Metals Inc.1.36-5.94-81.37%
LNZALanzatech Global, Inc.5.13-15.81-75.50%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Jan 25, 2025