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LEIFRAS Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR (LFS) AI Stock Analysis

LFS

LEIFRAS Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:LFS)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$2.50â–²(19.62% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/08/26

LEIFRAS scores in the upper-middle range, driven primarily by strong fundamental momentum: 45% revenue growth, expanding gross margins, and a dramatically de-leveraged balance sheet (debt-to-equity down from 4.3x to 0.57x). The latest earnings call reinforces this with record first-half results, accelerating Social business growth, nationwide coverage, and reaffirmed full-year guidance. Technically, the stock trades above all key moving averages with positive MACD, though momentum indicators suggest the recent advance is becoming extended. Valuation at 17.7x earnings is fair but not compelling, and the lack of a dividend limits income appeal. Key risks holding the score back are thin net margins (~3.7%), volatile cash flow generation, a slight decline in Sports School membership, and heavy second-half profit seasonality that concentrates execution risk.

Positive Factors
Accelerating growth and profitabilityStrong revenue acceleration alongside higher gross margins indicates improving scale and operating performance. Although profitability is not yet broad-based, sustained top-line growth and better gross economics can strengthen earnings capacity and support continued investment over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin operating and net marginsLow margins leave limited room for execution errors, cost inflation, or weaker demand to be absorbed before earnings are affected. Increased governance and corporate spending may be strategically necessary, but they can restrain near-term profit conversion as the business expands.

LEIFRAS Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR (LFS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-100%0%100%200%300%400%LFS-15.73%SPY+12.58%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$54.41M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
630.66K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.2
Beta (1Y)
-0.50
Revenue Growth
13.83%
EPS Growth
7.79%
Country
US
Employees
1,055
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Entertainment

LEIFRAS Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

LEIFRAS Co., Ltd. is a Japanese enterprise that strategically integrates sports-focused business with social impact initiatives. The company manages sports academies for children and organizes a variety of athletic events. Beyond these commercial act...

LEIFRAS Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 07, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-13.46%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 17, 2025
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive: first-half revenue, profitability, both segment results, school club contracts, geographic coverage and liquidity all improved, and full-year guidance was maintained. The main challenges were the 0.9% decline in Sports School membership, seasonal concentration of profit in the second half, acquisition-related costs, lower operating cash flow, increased competition in tenders and a still-slow start to some school club reform opportunities.

Positive Updates

First-Half Revenue and Profit Reached Record Highs
First-half FY2026 net revenue increased 8.9% year-over-year to USD 36.8 million, gross profit increased 22.6% to USD 10.9 million, income from operations increased 35.9% to USD 0.6 million, and net income increased 43.5% to USD 0.5 million. Net revenue, gross profit, income from operations, operating margin, adjusted income from operations and net income all reached record highs for the first half of the fiscal year in the period shown since FY2025.

Negative Updates

Sports School Membership Declined
Sports School membership stood at 68,873, down 0.9% year-over-year. Management attributed the decline to more graduating members, a strategic shift in the timing of new member acquisition to strengthen service quality, changes in the timing of new class openings and customer acquisition, and the termination of a franchise agreement.

Company Guidance

The full year consolidated outlook for FY 2026 remains unchanged: net revenue of USD 82.9 million to USD 95.7 million, representing growth of 10.8% to 27.9% compared with FY 2025; income from operations of $4.5 million to $5.4 million, representing growth of 13.2% to 33.9%; and an expected operating margin of 5.5% to 5.6%. The company expects Sports School membership to recover in the third and fourth quarters through new initiatives, will continue to pursue both membership growth and higher revenue per member, and will continue to execute its second half initiatives and work toward achieving its full year targets, given that the majority of its profit is generated in the second half. This outlook assumes that no business acquisitions, restructuring transactions or legal settlements are entered into.

LEIFRAS Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are on a clearly improving trajectory. The income statement (72) stands out with 45% revenue growth to ¥12.2 billion, gross margin expansion from ~25.5% to ~29.5%, and net income nearly tripling since 2022. The balance sheet (62) has been substantially de-risked, with debt-to-equity falling from 4.3x to 0.57x and equity rising to ¥1.83 billion, though debt remains a meaningful share of assets. Cash flow (65) recovered to ¥487 million operating and ¥443 million free cash flow with earnings well backed by cash (0.91x), but year-to-year volatility and still-thin net margins (~3.7%) limit the score.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.17B11.73B10.33B9.30B7.69B
Gross Profit4.74B3.47B2.95B2.34B1.96B
EBITDA1.01B749.41M676.49M516.40M358.70M
Net Income586.16M438.46M418.63M245.34M178.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.94B4.64B4.50B4.38B3.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.59B2.51B2.54B2.73B2.08B
Total Debt1.15B1.05B1.73B1.87B1.80B
Total Liabilities3.01B2.81B3.45B3.76B3.10B
Stockholders Equity1.92B1.83B1.04B622.23M420.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow406.71M442.89M172.98M673.16M377.55M
Operating Cash Flow422.21M487.21M207.11M677.94M401.50M
Investing Cash Flow-220.09M-55.66M-51.39M-4.78M66.04M
Financing Cash Flow-176.35M-454.66M-346.45M-20.98M404.37M

LEIFRAS Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price2.09

Price Trends

50DMA2.18Negative
100DMA2.22Negative
200DMA2.31Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Positive
RSI43.63Neutral
STOCH9.98Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LFS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.09 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.19, below the 50-day MA of 2.18, and below the 200-day MA of 2.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.98 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LFS.

LEIFRAS Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

LFS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
LFSLFS67Neutral$54.41M14.2133.37%―13.83%7.79%
STGSTG66Neutral$29.38M0.6732.87%―-5.26%-3.04%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
YQYQ55Neutral$29.17M-1.65-39.66%―80.33%31.05%
RYETRYET45Neutral$26.06M-2.01-180.27%―――
GNSGNS40Underperform$23.07M-0.51-14.33%166.67%106.42%56.99%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%LFSSTGYQGNSRYETDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
LFS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
LFSLEIFRAS Co., Ltd. Sponsored ADR2.09-0.53-20.23%
STGSunlands Online Education Group2.55-3.82-59.97%
YQ17 Education & Technology Group, Inc.2.83-1.97-41.04%
GNSGenius Group Limited0.11-0.63-84.73%
RYETRuanyun Edai Technology Incorporation0.68-0.42-38.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2026