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Lee Enterprises (LEE) AI Stock Analysis

LEE

Lee Enterprises

(NASDAQ:LEE)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:$6.50▲(6.21% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/22/26

The overall score of 47 reflects a company in transition with a highly challenged financial foundation but credible operational momentum. The most significant negative factors are the extremely weak balance sheet, characterized by minimal equity and high leverage, and a bearish technical trend. These are partially offset by strong, measurable improvements highlighted in the earnings call, including substantial adjusted EBITDA growth, successful cost reductions, and a clear shift toward a digital-first revenue model. The company's path to sustainable profitability is visible but remains unproven, keeping the score in the lower range.

Positive Factors
Digital TransformationDigital products are becoming the core of Lee’s revenue base, reducing reliance on legacy print and supporting more scalable audience monetization. Growth in digital subscriptions, advertising, and agency services can improve revenue quality and create a stronger platform for recurring customer relationships.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue and LossesPersistent revenue contraction indicates that Lee has not yet fully offset structural pressure on its legacy publishing business. Continued top-line weakness, combined with recurring net losses, limits reinvestment capacity and makes recent operating improvements less durable until digital growth becomes large enough to reverse the overall decline.

Lee Enterprises Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Revenue by SourceBreaks down revenue by advertising (print and digital), circulation/subscriptions, commercial printing and marketing services to show how dependent Lee Enterprises is on ad cycles versus recurring reader income. A larger share of subscription and digital revenue suggests steadier cash flow and progress on digital transformation, while heavy reliance on print ads or printing services increases exposure to economic downturns and long-term readership declines and can pressure margins and capital needs.

$0.00$50.00M$100.00M$150.00M$200.00MMar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

Advertising has been under steady, structural pressure while subscription revenue — the higher‑margin pillar management leans on — has flattened and recently softened; TownNews was removed/reclassified, suggesting asset monetization. Management’s profitability gains therefore look driven more by aggressive cost cuts, asset sales and a one‑time insurance recovery than by a sustainable rebound in ad dollars. The investment case hinges on whether product, agency and subscriber initiatives can restore durable ad demand and accelerate paid‑subscriber growth to fully cover SG&A over the next three years.

Data provided by:The Fly

Lee Enterprises (LEE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%LEE+51.11%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$136.43M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
37.28K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.9
Beta (1Y)
0.42
Revenue Growth
-11.12%
EPS Growth
72.31%
Country
US
Employees
2,365
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Publishing

Lee Enterprises Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lee Enterprises, Incorporated, a long-standing media organization founded in 1890 and headquartered in Davenport, Iowa, delivers local news, critical information, and diverse advertising services throughout the United States. The company publishes a...

How the Company Makes Money

Lee Enterprises makes money primarily by monetizing audience attention and subscriber relationships across its local news brands, and by selling marketing services to businesses. Key revenue streams include: (1) Subscription and circulation revenue:...

Lee Enterprises Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-24.91%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 02, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized material progress in Lee Enterprises' digital transformation, strong profitability gains (adjusted EBITDA up 23% YoY, margin expansion, return to net income), meaningful balance sheet improvements (cash up to $59M, lower interest costs), and new capital-light growth channels (Hoffman Media Group management agreement). Offsetting these positives are continued advertising-market uncertainty, modest near-term debt paydown, reliance on cost reductions for improved results, and limited realized proceeds from non-core asset monetization. Overall, the positive operational momentum and financial improvements outweigh the challenges.

Positive Updates

Adjusted EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
Third quarter adjusted EBITDA of $18M, up 23% year-over-year (19% YoY excluding $0.56M business interruption insurance proceeds). Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 400 basis points, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of comparable adjusted EBITDA growth and $61M of adjusted EBITDA over the last 12 months.

Negative Updates

Advertising Environment Uncertainty
Management described the advertising market as still evolving and noted stabilization is early; emphasis on prioritizing higher-quality recurring revenue suggests top-line transactional ad demand remains uncertain despite sequential improvements.

Company Guidance

The company raised its full‑year guidance for adjusted EBITDA to growth of 22%–28%, and said it expects digital revenue and digital gross margin to fully support the business (covering SG&A) within the next three years; management also expects approximately $18 million of annual interest savings (about $90 million over five years) after reducing its interest rate from 9% to 5%. To accelerate deleveraging, Lee will apply proceeds from monetizing non‑core assets (identified value ~$20 million; one sale closed since quarter end) and any cash above a $64 million cap to debt repayment—the company paid $1 million in Q3 ( $3 million year‑to‑date including post‑quarter payments) and has reduced outstanding debt by $121 million since March 2020—while finishing the quarter with $59 million of cash versus $14 million a year ago.

Lee Enterprises Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak, driven by a very low balance sheet score of 15 due to minimal equity and extreme leverage, and poor cash flow generation. While the income statement shows some improvement with a narrowed net loss and a 5.1% EBIT margin, persistent revenue declines and a lack of consistent profitability weigh heavily. The overall financial position remains precarious.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

15Very Negative

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue517.10M562.34M611.38M691.14M780.97M794.65M
Gross Profit506.13M549.38M594.57M665.79M750.87M764.87M
EBITDA40.48M16.70M37.66M69.01M79.11M119.66M
Net Income-9.50M-37.59M-25.84M-5.27M-2.02M22.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets624.60M601.73M649.17M711.62M744.04M843.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.43M9.99M9.60M14.55M16.18M26.11M
Total Debt475.30M481.58M483.85M500.08M516.42M548.91M
Total Liabilities624.56M642.69M656.50M687.91M726.80M800.32M
Stockholders Equity-2.24M-43.31M-9.89M21.24M15.01M41.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-578.00K-7.08M-8.09M-7.63M-4.68M42.60M
Operating Cash Flow-167.00K-5.54M1.12M-2.52M2.85M50.08M
Investing Cash Flow538.00K7.71M3.73M7.98M6.91M-2.28M
Financing Cash Flow44.18M-1.78M-9.80M-7.09M-19.69M-55.42M

Lee Enterprises Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price6.12

Price Trends

50DMA7.21Negative
100DMA7.84Negative
200DMA8.00Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.28Positive
RSI36.73Neutral
STOCH32.46Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LEE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.71, below the 50-day MA of 7.21, and below the 200-day MA of 8.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LEE.

Lee Enterprises Risk Analysis

Lee Enterprises disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lee Enterprises reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.Except as otherwise described herein, there have been no material changes in the risk factors previously disclosed in “Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors” of our 2024 Form 10-K.Q2, 2025

Lee Enterprises Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

LEE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NYTNYT68Neutral$11.32B29.0019.47%1.24%10.76%23.78%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
SCHLSCHL49Neutral$723.49M26.037.05%2.29%-2.53%―
LEELEE47Neutral$136.43M-3.9538.08%―-11.12%72.31%
SEATSEAT44Neutral$25.97M-0.069301.18%―-25.24%-83.32%
SSPSSP41Neutral$242.79M-0.19-127.81%―-14.18%-2948.71%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%LEESSPNYTSCHLSEATDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
LEE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
LEELee Enterprises6.121.8342.66%
SSPE. W. Scripps Company Class A2.620.2711.49%
NYTThe New York Times Company70.1713.7924.47%
SCHLScholastic39.3011.4641.17%
SEATVivid Seats Inc.2.31-9.89-81.07%

Lee Enterprises Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy

Lee Enterprises Signs New AI-Focused Software Agreements

Positive
Oct 22, 2026

On October 16, 2026, Lee Enterprises and its majority-owned subsidiary BLOX Digital each entered into three-year Master Service Agreements with Quintype Solutions for software development services, backed by guaranties from shareholder Quint Digital....

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Lee Enterprises Adds Hoffmann to Board Amid Governance Shift

Positive
Sep 30, 2026

On September 24, 2026, Lee Enterprises appointed Gregory Hoffmann, Co-Chief Executive Officer of Hoffmann Family of Companies and an experienced real estate and investment executive, to its Board of Directors, with service running through the 2028 an...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Lee Enterprises Enhances Executive Incentives and Leadership Alignment

Positive
Aug 11, 2026

On April 23, 2026, Lee Enterprises’ board named Nathan E. Bekke president and chief executive officer and Joshua P. Rinehults vice president, chief financial officer and treasurer, and on August 6, 2026, its executive compensation committee app...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing

Lee Enterprises Highlights Strong Digital Growth and Profitability

Positive
Aug 6, 2026

Lee Enterprises, Inc. reported preliminary results for its third quarter of fiscal 2026, ended June 28, highlighting the impact of its digital-first strategy and tighter cost controls. Digital revenue reached $72 million, or 57% of total operating re...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Lee Enterprises Announces Board Retirement and Governance Transition

Neutral
Jul 30, 2026

On July 28, 2026, Herbert W. Moloney III informed the Board of Directors of Lee Enterprises that he was retiring from the Board, effective that same day. The company stated that Moloney’s departure involved no disagreements with the Board, indi...

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Lee Enterprises Updates Stock Purchase Agreement Standstill Terms

Positive
Jul 24, 2026

On July 24, 2026, Lee Enterprises, Incorporated amended a December 30, 2025 Stock Purchase Agreement with a group of major investors, adjusting standstill provisions that govern how much company stock they may buy during a restricted period. The upda...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2026