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Kingsway Corporation (KWY) AI Stock Analysis

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KWY

Kingsway Corporation

(NYSE:KWY)

Select Model
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:$9.00â–¼(-0.11% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

Weak financial performance is the primary constraint, driven by continued losses, negative ROE, and volatile cash generation. Technical trends and valuation are also unfavorable, while the latest earnings call provides meaningful support through improving EBITDA, operating cash flow, segment profitability, and management's growth outlook.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthMeaningful top-line expansion indicates improving demand across Kingsway’s operating portfolio. If sustained, higher revenue can provide greater operating scale, support investment in subsidiaries, and create a stronger base for converting growth into durable earnings.
Negative Factors
Persistent Net LossesKingsway remains unprofitable despite improved revenue and EBITDA, showing that operating progress has not yet translated into consistent bottom-line earnings. Continued losses could limit reinvestment capacity and make the portfolio’s earnings power less predictable over the next several quarters.

Kingsway Corporation (KWY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%KWY-30.32%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$260.67M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
48.70K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-29.8
Beta (1Y)
1.23
Revenue Growth
24.39%
EPS Growth
27.61%
Country
US
Employees
588
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Insurance - Diversified

Kingsway Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kingsway Financial Services, Inc. functions as a holding company, primarily delivering financial services. The firm organizes its activities into two principal segments: Extended Warranty and Kingsway Search Xcelerator. The Extended Warranty division...

How the Company Makes Money

Kingsway primarily seeks to generate returns as a holding company through cash flows and value appreciation from its operating subsidiaries and investments. Its earnings typically can come from (a) operating income produced by majority-owned subsidia...

Kingsway Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:-5.75%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 24, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive, supported by 29% portfolio EBITDA growth, roughly 54% organic segment adjusted EBITDA growth, strong operating cash flow, segment profitability improvements, lower net debt, and an active acquisition pipeline. Offsetting issues included a larger consolidated net loss, a slight decline in consolidated adjusted EBITDA, DDI's continued J-curve and added sales-force costs, unusual revenue re-deferrals, and the likelihood of completing two rather than three deals in 2026. Highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.

Positive Updates

Portfolio EBITDA Growth
Portfolio EBITDA was just over $6 million in the third quarter, up 29% against the prior-year period. Management described this as the second strongest quarter of operating performance since the CEO's tenure began.

Negative Updates

Consolidated Net Loss Worsened
Consolidated net loss was $3.2 million in the third quarter, compared with a net loss of $2.4 million in the prior-year quarter.

Company Guidance

Kingsway’s long-term target is to deliver consistent double-digit organic segment adjusted EBITDA growth and to normalize towards this level over time; management expects organic profit growth to continue to be strong in the fourth quarter and into 2027, and is confident in the continued positive trajectory of LTM Portfolio EBITDA, which increased to a range of $23 million-$24 million, in the fourth quarter and into 2027. Management said it is becoming more likely that the company ends the year with two completed deals and not three, with a target of three to five deals per year in 2027; at the platform level, self-funding tuck-in capacity may converge around year two or something between year two and year three.

Kingsway Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue, EBITDA, debt, and TTM cash flow improved, but persistent net losses, negative ROE, modest equity, and volatile free cash flow keep financial performance weak. The score reflects the average of the provided income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow scores, adjusted to the required minimum range.

Income Statement

40Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue156.54M136.72M112.53M107.66M114.69M81.41M
Gross Profit64.01M60.55M112.53M107.66M114.69M81.41M
EBITDA8.02M670.00K3.53M36.12M49.50M4.60M
Net Income-7.48M-10.73M-9.27M23.56M24.72M-342.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets227.32M231.50M186.62M197.72M285.65M475.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.39M15.63M13.63M15.18M64.33M12.80M
Total Debt75.20M78.02M60.22M45.61M103.31M96.58M
Total Liabilities198.43M197.09M168.31M173.11M263.53M460.88M
Stockholders Equity26.13M31.42M16.66M27.71M21.68M773.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.21M-1.62M358.00K-26.39M11.89M-6.74M
Operating Cash Flow5.27M-3,0001.07M-26.19M-14.57M-5.91M
Investing Cash Flow61.62K-29.61M-16.85M6.46M100.94M-8.60M
Financing Cash Flow-6.10M32.75M11.44M-39.96M-37.93M-540.00K

Kingsway Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price9.01

Price Trends

50DMA9.49Negative
100DMA9.64Negative
200DMA10.42Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.22Positive
RSI44.93Neutral
STOCH42.75Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KWY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 9.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.44, below the 50-day MA of 9.49, and below the 200-day MA of 10.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.75 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KWY.

Kingsway Corporation Risk Analysis

Kingsway Corporation disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kingsway Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our skilled trades operations involve inherent safety risks that could result in worker injuries, property damage, regulatory liabilities and increased operating costs.Q4, 2025
2.Certain of our business operations rely on the availability of skilled labor and effective execution in field services and shop repair; labor shortages, wage inflation, or operational disruptions could reduce margins and impair service levels.Q4, 2025
3.Roundhouse's business includes equipment sales that may be subject to supply chain constraints, delivery delays, and pricing pressures.Q4, 2025

Kingsway Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

KWY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CARSCARS70Outperform$661.89M16.639.42%―0.86%63.24%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
KWYKWY48Neutral$260.67M-29.80-25.78%―24.39%27.61%
RDNWRDNW46Neutral$173.60M-9.47121.27%―-3.36%83.23%
VRMVRM44Neutral$36.66M-0.87-39.79%―183.44%59.16%
CRMTCRMT43Neutral$7.80M-0.04-43.59%―-21.59%-1589.52%
UXINUXIN40Underperform$177.90M-2.7773.63%―97.00%-42.04%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%KWYCRMTCARSRDNWUXINVRMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
KWY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
KWYKingsway Corporation9.01-3.51-28.04%
CRMTAmerica's Car-Mart, Inc.0.94-16.99-94.78%
CARSCars.com, Inc.12.711.4913.28%
RDNWRidenow Group, Inc.4.45-0.85-16.04%
UXINUxin Limited0.81-2.02-71.45%
VRMVroom, Inc.6.95-13.26-65.61%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026