Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

Katapult Holdings (KPLT) AI Stock Analysis

230 Followers
KPLT

Katapult Holdings

(NASDAQ:KPLT)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:$12.00▲(7.33% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality—negative equity and consistently negative operating/free cash flow—despite a strong TTM rebound in revenue and return to modest profitability. Technicals are a clear positive (price above major moving averages with positive MACD), and valuation looks supportive with a low P/E, but balance-sheet and cash-generation risk remain the main overhang.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Profitability ReboundTTM revenue growth of roughly 96% and a 5.4% net margin indicate a meaningful operating rebound. If sustained, this improves Katapult’s ability to scale, rebuild capitalization, and fund investment, though durability depends on converting earnings into cash.
Negative Factors
Negative Stockholders’ EquityPersistently negative stockholders’ equity leaves Katapult with a fragile capital base and less financial flexibility. Even with debt below its 2024 peak, leverage relative to the equity deficit can constrain investment, increase financing sensitivity, and magnify downside during setbacks.

Katapult Holdings (KPLT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%KPLT+86.96%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$948.61M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
279.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.5
Beta (1Y)
0.60
Revenue Growth
12.96%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
5,289
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Infrastructure

Katapult Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Katapult Holdings, Inc. is a technology-enabled omnichannel platform serving nonprime consumers in North America. Through its Aaron’s, Community Choice Financial (CCFI) and Katapult brands, it provides lease-to-own solutions and alternative consumer...

Katapult Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025(Q3-2025)|% Change Since:68.37%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

Katapult Holdings demonstrated robust growth in applications, customers, revenue, and EBITDA, supported by a significant capital investment and expanded KPay originations. However, challenges in application quality, specific market categories, and macroeconomic uncertainties present headwinds, leading to a conservative Q4 outlook.

Positive Updates

Significant Capital Investment
Katapult Holdings received a $65 million investment from Hawthorn Horizon Credit Fund, which allowed the company to pay off its term loan, reduce its revolving line of credit, and invest in growth opportunities.

Negative Updates

Decline in Application Quality
The company observed a slight downward trend in the credit quality of applications received, prompting tightened underwriting decisions.

Company Guidance

In the third quarter of 2025, Katapult Holdings provided detailed financial guidance and performance metrics during their earnings call. The company reported a $65 million capital investment from Hawthorn Horizon Credit Fund, which enabled them to pay off their term loan and invest in growth opportunities. Katapult saw a 76% increase in applications through the first three quarters of 2025, leading to a 35% growth in unique new customers year-over-year, with a 47% increase in the third quarter alone. Their total customer base grew by over 30%, and monthly active users rose by nearly 49% compared to the same period in 2024. The company's gross originations increased by 25.3%, with total app originations growing by 44% to $39.3 million. Katapult's revenue for Q3 grew by 22.8%, and they achieved $4.4 million in positive adjusted EBITDA, surpassing their forecasted range. Their Net Promoter Score (NPS) rose to 64, and 55.3% of gross originations came from repeat customers, whose lifetime value increased by about 5%. Looking forward, Katapult expects gross originations to grow between 15% and 20% in Q4 2025, with revenue growth projected at 21% to 23% and approximately $2 million in adjusted EBITDA. For the full year 2025, they anticipate gross originations to grow 20% to 23%, revenue to increase 18% to 20%, and adjusted EBITDA to be between $8 million and $9 million, representing significant year-over-year growth.

Katapult Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement momentum has improved materially (TTM revenue up ~96% and net margin ~5.4%), but overall financial quality is constrained by persistently negative stockholders’ equity and continued negative operating/free cash flow in TTM and recent years. The gap between accounting profitability and cash generation, plus fragile capitalization, keeps risk elevated despite the turnaround.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

28Negative

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue301.71M291.76M247.19M221.59M209.50M303.11M
Gross Profit55.79M51.60M45.77M41.71M37.41M88.99M
EBITDA252.53M186.55M161.48M137.12M95.94M182.22M
Net Income16.19M1.36M-25.91M-36.67M-40.47M21.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets101.99M107.87M93.17M100.86M130.05M166.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.05M22.43M3.46M21.41M65.43M92.49M
Total Debt74.48M81.63M115.70M90.34M106.52M104.60M
Total Liabilities110.12M145.95M139.97M128.85M132.12M125.36M
Stockholders Equity-36.03M-38.08M-46.79M-27.99M-2.07M40.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.52M-11.97M-32.62M-18.39M-22.35M730.00K
Operating Cash Flow-2.60M-11.93M-32.57M-17.41M-20.85M2.17M
Investing Cash Flow-1.20M-1.10M-1.30M-974.00K-1.50M-1.44M
Financing Cash Flow18.90M19.97M21.61M-22.64M-4.24M26.10M

Katapult Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price11.18

Price Trends

50DMA7.68Positive
100DMA7.18Positive
200DMA6.90Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.30Negative
RSI62.92Neutral
STOCH70.45Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KPLT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.29, above the 50-day MA of 7.68, and above the 200-day MA of 6.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KPLT.

Katapult Holdings Risk Analysis

Katapult Holdings disclosed 114 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Katapult Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Katapult Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

KPLT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JGJG63Neutral$34.52M39.969.31%―14.88%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
KPLTKPLT58Neutral$977.46M7.50-39.38%―12.96%―
XBPXBP57Neutral$39.50M0.031328.38%―441.85%―
SOSSOS41Neutral$6.87M-0.03-28.73%―-56.42%-36185.93%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%KPLTSOSJGXBPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
KPLT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
KPLTKatapult Holdings, Inc.11.184.9880.32%
SOSSos Limited0.18-1.35-88.17%
JGAurora Mobile5.88-0.63-9.68%
XBPXbp Europe Holdings Inc.2.92-3.18-52.13%

Katapult Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Katapult Holdings Extends Revolving Credit Facility Draw Period

Positive
Oct 2, 2026

On September 30, 2026, CCF OpCo LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Katapult Holdings, entered into a Seventh Amendment to its Second Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreement with its lender group. The amendment extends the scheduled draw period...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Katapult Extends Revolving Credit Draw Period for Liquidity

Positive
Aug 28, 2026

On August 28, 2026, Katapult Holdings’ wholly owned subsidiary CCF OpCo LLC amended its existing Second Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreement with a group of lenders and The Huntington National Bank as administrative agent. The Sixth Amendm...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Katapult Holdings Completes Transformative All-Stock Merger Transaction

Positive
Aug 11, 2026

On August 11, 2026, Katapult Holdings completed an all-stock business combination with The Aaron’s Company and CCF Holdings, creating a scaled financial solutions platform for nonprime consumers that will retain the Aaron’s, CCFI and Katapult brands...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026