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KKR & Co (KKR)
NYSE:KKR

KKR & Co (KKR) AI Stock Analysis

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KKR & Co

(NYSE:KKR)

73Outperform
KKR's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, highlighted in the earnings call, are key strengths. However, the high valuation and technical indicators suggest caution, as does historical volatility in cash management. While the company is on a positive trajectory, investors should be mindful of market uncertainties and leverage risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
KKR has shown a strong performance, being up 16% since April 21, outperforming peers and the S&P 500, with expectations for a solid first quarter.
Growth Outlook
The favorable growth outlook is supported by a fundraising supercycle, with potential upside to capital raising expectations for upcoming years.
Product Launch
The KKR/Capital products officially go live, with expectations for flows to ramp due to the strength of the Capital distribution force and the brands of Capital and KKR.
Negative Factors
Earnings Impact
The issuance is expected to be 1.7% dilutive on a full-year basis.
Earnings Shortfall
Management fees, which are highly valued, fell short of both the estimate and consensus.
Market Sentiment
Downside risks involve a worsening economic backdrop, negative sentiment toward financial services stocks, and potential weakness in equity markets.

KKR & Co (KKR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

KKR & Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKKR & Co. Inc. is a private equity and real estate investment firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. It specializes in acquisitions, leveraged buyouts, management buyouts, credit special situations, growth equity, mature, mezzanine, distressed, turnaround, lower middle market and middle market investments. The firm considers investments in all industries with a focus on software, security, semiconductors, consumer electronics, internet of things (iot), internet, information services, information technology infrastructure, financial technology, network and cyber security architecture, engineering and operations, content, technology and hardware, energy and infrastructure, real estate, services industry with a focus on business services, intelligence, industry-leading franchises and companies in natural resource, containers and packaging, agriculture, airports, ports, forestry, electric utilities, textiles, apparel and luxury goods, household durables, digital media, insurance, brokerage houses, non-durable goods distribution, supermarket retailing, grocery stores, food, beverage, and tobacco, hospitals, entertainment venues and production companies, publishing, printing services, capital goods, financial services, specialized finance, pipelines, and renewable energy. In energy and infrastructure, it focuses on the upstream oil and gas and equipment, minerals and royalties and services verticals. In real estate, the firm seeks to invest in private and public real estate securities including property-level equity, debt and special situations transactions and businesses with significant real estate holdings, and oil and natural gas properties. The firm also invests in asset services sector that encompasses a broad array of B2B, B2C and B2G services verticals including asset-based, transport, logistics, leisure/hospitality, resource and utility support, infra-like, mission-critical, and environmental services. Within Americas, the firm prefers to invest in consumer products; chemicals, metals and mining; energy and natural resources; financial services; healthcare; industrials; media and communications; retail; and technology. Within Europe, the firm invests in consumer and retail; energy; financial services; health care; industrials and chemicals; media and digital; and telecom and technologies. Within Asia, it invests in consumer products; energy and resources; financial services; healthcare; industrials; logistics; media and telecom; retail; real estate; and technology. It also seeks to make impact investments focused on identifying and investing behind businesses with positive social or environmental impact. The firm seeks to invest in mid to high-end residential developments, but can invest in other projects throughout Mainland China through outright ownership, joint ventures, and merger. It invests globally with a focus on Australia, emerging and developed Asia, Middle East and Africa, Nordic, Southeast Asia, Asia Pacific, Ireland, Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan, India, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, France, Germany, Netherlands, United Kingdom, Caribbean, Mexico, South America, North America, Brazil, Latin America, Korea with a focus on South Korea, and United States of America. In the United States and Europe, the firm focuses on buyouts of large, publicly traded companies. It seeks to invest $30 million to $717 million in companies with enterprise values between $500 million to $2389 million. The firm prefers to invest in a range of debt and public equity investing and may co-invest. It seeks a board seat in its portfolio companies and a controlling ownership of a company or a strategic minority positions. The firm may acquire majority and minority equity interests, particularly when making private equity investments in Asia or sponsoring investments as part of a large investor consortium. The firm typically holds its investment for a period of five to seven years and more and exits through initial public offerings, secondary offerings, and sales to strategic buyers. KKR & Co. Inc. was founded in 1976 and is based in New York, New York with additional offices across North America, Europe, Australia, Sweden and Asia.
How the Company Makes MoneyKKR makes money primarily through management fees and performance-based incentives. The firm charges management fees to its investors based on a percentage of the assets under management (AUM). Additionally, KKR earns performance fees, often referred to as carried interest, which is a share of the profits generated by its investments above a certain threshold. The firm's revenue is also bolstered by its capital markets business, which provides financing solutions and investment banking services to its portfolio companies and third-party clients. KKR's earnings are influenced by its ability to successfully manage and grow its investment portfolios, as well as its strategic partnerships and co-investment opportunities with other institutional investors.

KKR & Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KKR & Co demonstrates strong revenue growth and improving profitability, with a strengthened balance sheet. While cash flow management has improved, historical volatility and leverage pose potential risks. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory, but careful financial management is essential to sustain growth and stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
KKR & Co has shown a significant increase in total revenue and net income over the years, particularly from 2023 to 2024, indicating strong growth momentum. The gross profit margin and EBIT margin have improved markedly, suggesting enhanced operational efficiency. However, fluctuations in EBIT and EBITDA margins in earlier years highlight some volatility in profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of KKR & Co reflects a stable equity position with a positive equity ratio. However, the historical presence of significant liabilities, although reduced recently, suggests potential leverage risks. The debt-to-equity ratio has been managed well as of the latest period, showing prudent financial management.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
KKR & Co's cash flow statements show improvement in free cash flow, particularly from 2023 to 2024, indicating better cash generation. Operating cash flow has turned positive recently, which is a positive sign. However, prior years' negative operating and free cash flows indicate earlier challenges in cash management that need ongoing attention.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.64B14.32B5.57B16.11B4.23B
Gross Profit
17.31B4.86B2.01B6.90B2.08B
EBIT
16.24B2.14B-345.58M4.95B1.30B
EBITDA
9.17B9.50B1.35B14.98B6.70B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.08B3.73B-521.66M4.73B2.00B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
9.06M20.35B12.82B10.09B5.36B
Total Assets
360.10B317.29B277.08B264.29B79.81B
Total Debt
50.82B49.39B44.07B39.29B33.42B
Net Debt
35.94B29.04B31.25B29.20B28.06B
Total Liabilities
298.11B258.92B223.42B206.15B39.01B
Stockholders Equity
23.65B22.86B17.73B17.58B13.72B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.51B-1.60B-5.36B-7.28B-6.11B
Operating Cash Flow
6.65B-1.49B-5.28B-7.18B-5.95B
Investing Cash Flow
-19.05B-3.88B-13.65B-9.61B-153.39M
Financing Cash Flow
7.08B12.77B22.06B20.36B9.80B

KKR & Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price118.08
Price Trends
50DMA
112.67
Positive
100DMA
130.85
Negative
200DMA
132.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.56
Negative
RSI
57.54
Neutral
STOCH
77.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KKR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 118.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 110.18, above the 50-day MA of 112.67, and below the 200-day MA of 132.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KKR.

KKR & Co Risk Analysis

KKR & Co disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. KKR & Co reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

KKR & Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AMAMP
79
Outperform
$46.87B16.7258.11%1.20%9.20%0.05%
76
Outperform
$52.13B90.2315.93%2.37%19.02%-20.50%
BLBLK
75
Outperform
$141.84B22.3614.37%2.22%11.73%4.76%
KKKKR
73
Outperform
$100.95B49.449.03%0.59%-27.45%-46.67%
CGCG
70
Outperform
$14.42B14.6120.38%3.33%62.87%
BXBX
67
Neutral
$162.57B41.1834.07%2.90%24.92%16.65%
64
Neutral
$12.60B9.737.92%16985.68%12.21%-5.61%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KKR
KKR & Co
118.08
18.25
18.28%
AMP
Ameriprise Financial
492.18
65.68
15.40%
BLK
BlackRock
923.44
150.97
19.54%
BX
Blackstone Group
139.39
20.45
17.19%
CG
Carlyle Group
42.04
1.23
3.01%
ARES
Ares Management
164.95
28.42
20.82%

KKR & Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant capital raising and robust global operations. However, there are concerns about the impact of tariffs on existing portfolios and the volatility in the market environment. The insurance segment is also facing near-term pressures. Overall, while there are significant achievements, the challenges in the broader economic environment balance out the sentiment.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Fee-related earnings per share increased by 22% year-over-year to $0.92. Total operating earnings per share rose 16% year-over-year to $1.24, and adjusted net income per share grew by 19% to $1.15. These figures are among the highest reported as a public company.
Significant Capital Raising
$31 billion of new capital was raised in Q1, with $64 billion committed but not yet earning fees, indicating strong future growth potential.
Record Embedded Gains
Gross unrealized performance income stands at $8.7 billion, marking a 25% increase year-over-year, showcasing the maturity and strength of the portfolio.
Resilient Global Operations
Nearly 80% of pretax earnings over the last 12 months were driven by recurring earnings streams, with management fees growing at a high teens CAGR over the past three years.
Positive Outlook on Infrastructure and Private Wealth
Infrastructure and private wealth segments showing strong momentum, with the K-Series suite of vehicles reaching $22 billion in AUM, up from $9 billion a year ago.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs and Volatility
While 90% of the private equity portfolio is shielded from tariffs, there are still concerns about the impact of tariffs on existing portfolios, and the need for mitigating measures.
Insurance Segment Pressure
Insurance segment operating earnings are expected to remain around $250 million plus or minus for the next few quarters, with shifts in strategy putting near-term pressure on earnings.
Uncertain Market Environment
Volatility in the market due to tariffs and geopolitical tensions could impact monetization and capital raising efforts, despite current resilience.
Company Guidance
During KKR's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the guidance provided highlighted several key financial metrics. Fee-related earnings per share increased by 22% year-over-year to $0.92. Total operating earnings per share rose 16% to $1.24, while adjusted net income per share grew 19% to $1.15. The quarter's management fees reached $917 million, up 13% from the previous year, and total fee-related revenues were $1.2 billion, showing a 22% year-over-year increase. Fee-related earnings totaled $823 million, with an FRE margin of 69%. Insurance segment operating earnings were $259 million, and strategic holdings operating earnings were $31 million. Within the investment segment, realized performance income was $348 million, and realized investment income was $218 million, totaling $566 million in monetization activity, up nearly 40% year-over-year. KKR also noted its private equity portfolio was up 4% for the quarter and 11% over the last twelve months. Finally, the company increased its dividend to $0.74 per share on an annualized basis, marking the sixth consecutive year of dividend increase.

KKR & Co Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
KKR & Co Releases Financial Presentation for Stockholders
Neutral
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, KKR & Co. Inc. released a presentation for its common stockholders and analysts, which is available on their website. This presentation serves as a channel for distributing financial and other important information, although it is not considered filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Spark’s Take on KKR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, KKR is a Outperform.

KKR & Co’s overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive recent earnings call insights, bolstered by strategic board appointments. However, mixed technical signals and a relatively high valuation pose challenges. The company’s ability to manage historical cash flow volatility and leverage, coupled with market uncertainties, are crucial factors influencing the score.

To see Spark’s full report on KKR stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
KKR & Co Appoints Timothy Barakett to Board
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

On March 13, 2025, KKR & Co. Inc. appointed Timothy R. Barakett to its Board of Directors, increasing the number of independent directors to ten out of fourteen total seats. Mr. Barakett, founder and CEO of TRB Advisors, brings significant experience from his previous roles, including his leadership at Atticus Capital and various positions at Harvard University. This appointment reflects KKR’s strategic efforts to strengthen its board with experienced leaders, potentially enhancing its governance and strategic decision-making capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
KKR & Co Embraces Digital for Financial Disclosures
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

On February 24, 2025, KKR & Co. Inc. released a presentation for its common stockholders and analysts on its website. This move highlights the company’s ongoing use of digital platforms to disseminate important financial information, potentially impacting how stakeholders access and engage with KKR’s operational updates.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.