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Kirkland's (KIRK)
NASDAQ:KIRK

Kirkland's (KIRK) AI Stock Analysis

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KI

Kirkland's

(NASDAQ:KIRK)

45Neutral
Kirkland's faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and negative cash flows, impacting its overall stock score negatively. The recent earnings call shows some operational improvements, but persistent issues with sales and profitability remain. While technical indicators suggest a neutral position, the valuation is weak due to unprofitability. The score reflects a need for substantial strategic changes to enhance financial health.

Kirkland's (KIRK) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Kirkland's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKirkland's, Inc. operates as a specialty retailer of home furnishings décor in the United States. The company's stores provide various merchandise, including holiday décor, furniture, textiles, ornamental wall décor, decorative accessories, art, mirrors, home fragrance, lighting, floral, housewares, and gifts. The company operates its stores under the Kirkland's, Kirkland's Home, Kirkland's Home Outlet, Kirkland's Outlet, and The Kirkland Collection names. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated 361 stores in 35 states, as well as an e-commerce website, www.kirklands.com. Kirkland's, Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyKirkland's generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse range of home décor products. The company's key revenue streams include sales from its network of physical retail stores across the United States and its online e-commerce platform. These channels allow Kirkland's to reach a broad customer base, offering both in-store shopping experiences and convenient online purchasing options. Kirkland's revenue is significantly influenced by seasonal trends and customer preferences in home decoration, with peak sales typically occurring during holiday seasons when demand for decorative and seasonal items is high. Additionally, Kirkland's occasionally collaborates with designers and brands to introduce exclusive product lines, enhancing its appeal and driving sales.

Kirkland's Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kirkland's financial position is weak, with declining revenues, persistent losses, and cash flow challenges. High debt levels and negative equity indicate solvency risks, while negative cash flows limit financial flexibility.
Income Statement
Kirkland's has experienced declining revenues over the years, with a significant drop from 2022 to 2025. The gross profit margin has also decreased over time, indicating cost pressures or inefficiencies. The company has been consistently reporting negative EBIT and net income, highlighting ongoing operational challenges and lack of profitability. The revenue growth rate is negative, showing a declining sales trend.
Balance Sheet
40
The company shows a negative equity position in the recent year due to accumulated losses, which is a significant risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is not applicable due to negative equity, but high debt levels relative to assets indicate potential solvency issues. The declining total assets and negative stockholders' equity signal financial instability.
Cash Flow
Kirkland's has consistently reported negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow has not shown positive growth, impacting the company's ability to reinvest or reduce debt. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting the company is not converting its earnings into cash effectively.
Breakdown
Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
468.69M498.82M558.18M543.50M603.88M
Gross Profit
126.99M119.79M188.43M172.38M165.43M
EBIT
-24.41M-40.68M25.34M26.61M-33.81M
EBITDA
-11.94M-25.89M46.12M31.92M-24.41M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-27.75M-44.69M22.03M16.64M-53.27M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.81M5.17M25.00M100.34M30.13M
Total Assets
250.57M274.25M331.19M389.42M422.44M
Total Debt
173.79M171.11M152.29M196.41M248.89M
Net Debt
169.99M165.94M127.29M96.07M218.76M
Total Liabilities
247.45M244.47M250.06M294.89M345.49M
Stockholders Equity
3.12M29.77M81.13M94.53M76.95M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-19.25M-26.27M-37.91M69.86M-23.95M
Operating Cash Flow
-14.48M-18.15M-30.79M78.56M-8.27M
Investing Cash Flow
-4.63M-8.06M-7.06M-8.49M-15.68M
Financing Cash Flow
17.74M6.38M-37.49M131.00K-3.87M

Kirkland's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.18
Price Trends
50DMA
1.25
Negative
100DMA
1.42
Negative
200DMA
1.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
44.59
Neutral
STOCH
13.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KIRK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.22, below the 50-day MA of 1.25, and below the 200-day MA of 1.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KIRK.

Kirkland's Risk Analysis

Kirkland's disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kirkland's reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kirkland's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$6.66B11.773.06%3.96%2.60%-21.54%
50
Neutral
$15.61M47.49%2.68%43.98%
45
Neutral
$25.37M77.02%-5.83%18.04%
44
Neutral
$17.78M-148.78%-11.06%-175.45%
43
Neutral
$6.00M-60.46%-8.13%0.04%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KIRK
Kirkland's
1.18
-0.64
-35.16%
LTRY
Lottery.com
0.82
-0.79
-49.07%
LXEH
Lixiang Education Holding Co
3.03
-1.89
-38.41%
RENT
Rent the Runway
4.29
-13.46
-75.83%
DTCB
Solo Brands
0.07
-1.96
-96.55%
LVLU
Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
0.40
-1.35
-77.14%

Kirkland's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -15.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a positive shift in operational efficiency and strategic repositioning with improvements in gross profit margin, customer traffic, and inventory management. However, significant challenges remain with declining net sales and negative adjusted EBITDA. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic as the company executes its turnaround strategy.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin increased by 130 basis points to 26.3% compared to 25% in the previous year, driven by a 110 basis point increase in merchandise margin and decreased central distribution costs.
Sequential Improvement in Comparable Sales
Comparable sales improved from a decline of 13% in August to 6% in October, showing a monthly sequential improvement throughout the quarter.
Cost Reduction Success
Operating expenses were reduced by over $2 million compared to the prior year, reflecting effective cost containment strategies.
Increased Customer Engagement
A 20% increase in lapsed customer reactivations and a significant improvement in e-commerce traffic decline from negative 17% to negative 3%.
Inventory Management
Inventory levels decreased by 17% compared to the previous year, improving supply chain efficiency and positioning for the holiday season.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Sales
Net sales decreased to $116.4 million from $131 million in the prior year quarter, with a 9.2% decline in comparable sales.
Continued Challenges in High-Ticket Categories
Inflation affected customer purchases in high-ticket categories like furniture and wall decor, although strategic shifts are being made to address this.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was negative $3.2 million, compared to negative $1.7 million in the prior year, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Interest Expense Increase
Net interest expense rose to $1.2 million from $0.7 million due to higher interest rates.
Company Guidance
During the third-quarter 2024 earnings call for Kirkland's, the company provided several key metrics and guidance updates. The call highlighted sequential improvements in traffic and comparable sales, with traffic declines improving from 14% in August to 4% in October, and comparable sales improving from a 13% decline in August to a 6% decline in October. Gross profit margin increased by 130 basis points to 26.3%, driven by a merchandise margin improvement of 110 basis points. Additionally, Kirkland's saw a 20% increase in lapsed customer reactivations and an 8% sales increase in the decorative accessories category. The company reported a 17% reduction in inventory levels compared to the previous year and reduced operating expenses by over $2 million. Looking ahead, Kirkland's expects a low single-digit increase in comparable sales and further improvements in merchandise margins in the fourth quarter.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.