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Kestrel Group (KG) AI Stock Analysis
Kestrel Group
(NASDAQ:KG)
The overall score is driven primarily by very weak financial performance, including persistent losses and continued cash burn despite revenue growth and a debt-free balance sheet. Secondary pressure comes from a pronounced technical downtrend with oversold indicators and high volatility, while valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and lack of dividend income, offering limited compensation for the underlying business and price risks.
Kestrel Group (KG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $31.37M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 23.38K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -0.8
- Beta (1Y)
- 1.48
- Revenue Growth
- 67.11%
- EPS Growth
- 80.59%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 44
- Sector
- Financial
- Sector Strength
- 68
- Industry
- Insurance - Reinsurance
Kestrel Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Kestrel Group Ltd engages in provision of fronting services to insurance program managers, managing general agencies, reinsurers, and reinsurance brokers in Bermuda. The company operates through two segments: Program Services and Legacy Reinsurance....
Kestrel Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial performance is very weak, with negative EBIT, EBITDA, and net income, deeply negative margins, and large negative operating and free cash flow, partially offset by debt-free capital structure and revenue growth.
Income Statement
23NegativeBalance Sheet
41NeutralCash Flow
17Very Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 47.42M | 34.05M | 1.33M | 58.13M | 98.72M | 186.59M |
| Gross Profit | 26.95M | 25.06M | -2.20M | 58.13M | 98.72M | 186.59M |
| EBITDA | -19.86M | 59.56M | -4.45M | -41.06M | 38.24M | 55.88M |
| Net Income | -38.32M | 46.73M | -4.22M | -60.35M | 25.62M | 41.76M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 919.61M | 548.76M | 954.60M | 1.85B | 2.32B | 2.95B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 26.28M | 16.95M | 42.68M | 46.62M | 66.09M | 135.83M |
| Total Debt | 176.99M | 176.46M | 314.00K | 255.57M | 255.35M | 255.13M |
| Total Liabilities | 805.65M | 420.47M | 705.44M | 1.56B | 1.94B | 2.42B |
| Stockholders Equity | 113.96M | 128.28M | 249.16M | 284.58M | 384.26M | 527.82M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -111.94M | -96.14M | -59.78M | -195.93M | -394.43M | -541.77M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -111.94M | -96.14M | -59.78M | -195.93M | -394.43M | -541.77M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 97.77M | 146.94M | 58.51M | 188.79M | 464.06M | 596.04M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -972.00K | -40.00M | -3.02M | -10.98M | -138.90M | -30.13M |
Kestrel Group Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.74, below the 50-day MA of 5.76, and below the 200-day MA of 9.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.99 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KG.
Kestrel Group Risk Analysis
Kestrel Group disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kestrel Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksKestrel Group Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
SPNT76Outperform
HG75Outperform
GLRE68Neutral
JRVR47Neutral- KG39.6Underperform
OXBR39Underperform
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPNT | 76Outperform | $3.01B | 6.24 | 21.84% | ― | 22.55% | 371.77% |
| HG | 75Outperform | $3.44B | 6.58 | 23.92% | ― | 19.62% | 22.42% |
| GLRE | 68Neutral | $478.52M | 9.77 | 7.28% | ― | -0.85% | 32.35% |
| Sector * | 68Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% |
| JRVR | 47Neutral | $178.98M | 7.75 | 4.68% | 1.03% | -1.82% | ― |
| KG | 40Underperform | $31.37M | -0.81 | -30.21% | ― | 67.11% | 80.59% |
| OXBR | 39Underperform | $5.96M | 46.32 | -5.66% | ― | 40.39% | ― |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KG | Kestrel Group Ltd | 4.01 | -18.70 | -82.34% | |
| GLRE | Greenlight Capital Re | 14.66 | 2.47 | 20.26% | |
| SPNT | Siriuspoint Ltd | 25.88 | 7.00 | 37.08% | |
| JRVR | James River Group Holdings Ltd. | 3.87 | -1.26 | -24.53% | |
| OXBR | Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd | 0.73 | -0.81 | -52.53% | |
| HG | Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B | 35.06 | 13.34 | 61.43% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Oct 07, 2026