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KDDI (KDDIY) AI Stock Analysis

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KDDIY

KDDI

(Other OTC:KDDIY)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:$20.00▲(11.70% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is anchored by solid operating profitability but held back by rising leverage and weakening recent free-cash-flow momentum. Valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and dividend support, while technicals are neutral-to-mixed with a negative MACD. Earnings-call commentary was net positive (strong first half and confident guidance), but offset by second-half profit headwinds and execution/interest-rate related risks.

Positive Factors
Improving mobile customer economicsSubscriber growth, lower churn, and higher ARPU indicate improving customer retention and monetization in KDDI’s core mobile franchise. These trends can support recurring service revenue and earnings resilience as customers migrate toward higher-tier plans and bundled offerings.
Negative Factors
Rising financial leverageThe sustained increase in debt relative to equity reduces financial flexibility and makes KDDI more sensitive to higher interest costs or weaker operating cash generation. Greater leverage may constrain investment, acquisitions, and shareholder-return choices if business conditions deteriorate.

KDDI (KDDIY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%KDDIY+4.04%SPY+9.07%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$72.96B
Dividend Yield
2.56%
Average Volume (3M)
153.78K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.4
Beta (1Y)
0.13
Revenue Growth
0.91%
EPS Growth
15.30%
Country
US
Employees
73,198
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Telecommunications Services

KDDI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

KDDI Corporation is a prominent telecommunications firm headquartered in Tokyo, Japan, offering a broad spectrum of communication solutions to both domestic and international markets. Its business is strategically divided into two core segments: Pers...

How the Company Makes Money

KDDI makes money primarily by charging recurring service fees for connectivity and related digital services across consumer and business customers. The largest revenue stream is mobile service revenue, which includes monthly subscription charges for...

KDDI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2026(Q2-2027)|% Change Since:-3.86%|Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was predominantly positive, supported by first-half revenue and profit exceeding plan, double-digit growth in Telecom Core and Business Growth, improving subscriber and churn metrics, growing ARPU, and expanding AI and data center initiatives. The main negatives were declines in finance and energy profit, a second-half year-on-year profit decline, profit below consensus, accounting-profit adjustments, and challenges in M&A execution. Highlights significantly outweighed lowlights.

Positive Updates

Strong First-Half Performance
First-half operating revenue and profit exceeded the initial plan, marking a solid start to the fiscal year under the new midterm management plan.

Negative Updates

Finance and Energy Profit Declines
Personal Growth profit was negatively affected by declines in finance and energy. Finance is expected to remain on a declining profit trend while KDDI normalizes its loan-to-deposit balance, which management identified as an issue. Energy was affected by a cooler-than-expected summer and timing differences.

Company Guidance

Management said the fiscal-year profit plan was “plus JPY 40 billion in the first half and JPY 20 billion in the second half,” with “over JPY 30 billion of overachievement” in the first half, including about JPY 10 billion of technological cost delayed to the second half, and JPY 30 billion of total investment considered for the second half; Rakuten roaming revenue is expected to contribute JPY 10 billion in the second half, and management is confident of achieving this fiscal year’s operating income target. The medium-term target is “5% plus alpha organic growth,” while Telecom Core is expected to deliver 3% annual profit growth, or about JPY 20 billion year-on-year; Personal Growth finance profit is expected to increase in Q4 and energy profit in Q3. The interim dividend is JPY 42, up 5% year-on-year, with the situation to be reassessed at fiscal year-end. Management expects Rubin by next year, Japan AI investment of JPY 100 billion to start generating value by FY '30, and R&D investment of JPY 30 billion at least until 2030.

KDDI Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Solid core profitability and steady revenue profile (telecom-like margins and consistent earnings power), but the balance sheet is increasingly levered (debt-to-equity rising to ~1.03 TTM) and cash-flow momentum weakened (TTM free cash flow down sharply and lower cash coverage vs. debt).

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.27T6.44T5.92T5.75T5.67T5.45T
Gross Profit2.68T2.75T2.51T2.43T2.41T2.46T
EBITDA1.86T1.86T1.78T1.62T1.71T1.78T
Net Income761.79B749.76B685.68B637.87B679.11B672.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.73T19.15T16.88T14.15T11.92T11.08T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments781.73B1.08T921.17B887.21B844.97B1.12T
Total Debt5.26T5.40T4.55T2.39T1.65T1.74T
Total Liabilities13.12T13.53T11.23T8.35T6.25T5.57T
Stockholders Equity5.09T5.10T5.13T5.25T5.12T4.98T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow642.39B1.28T958.47B956.97B444.74B793.08B
Operating Cash Flow1.05T1.71T1.25T1.71T1.08T1.47T
Investing Cash Flow-1.01T-1.15T-1.18T-832.43B-732.48B-761.59B
Financing Cash Flow-404.67B-577.29B-33.55B-476.48B-669.84B-727.26B

KDDI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price17.91

Price Trends

50DMA18.68Negative
100DMA18.15Positive
200DMA17.48Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.15Negative
RSI56.33Neutral
STOCH54.02Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KDDIY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.91 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.19, below the 50-day MA of 18.68, and above the 200-day MA of 17.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KDDIY.

KDDI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

KDDIY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CHTCHT80Outperform$38.23B36.748.91%3.23%7.69%9.46%
KDDIYKDDIY67Neutral$68.54B14.4214.91%2.56%0.91%15.30%
KTKT66Neutral$9.16B9.237.21%4.42%5.40%39.37%
TLKTLK63Neutral$10.89B12.1112.77%11.04%-3.29%-28.64%
VODVOD63Neutral$36.95B-67.65-0.79%3.45%16.69%87.12%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
SKMSKM56Neutral$11.99B12.9710.12%2.04%-1.72%125.64%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%KDDIYCHTKTTLKSKMVODDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
KDDIY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
KDDIYKddi Corp.17.910.814.73%
CHTChunghwa Telecom49.858.6220.89%
KTKT Corporation18.940.844.64%
TLKP.t. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk.11.12-8.37-42.93%
SKMSk Telecom31.2310.9153.69%
VODVodafone Group Plc15.584.3238.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026