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Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV (KCDMY) AI Stock Analysis

33 Followers
KCDMY

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV

(Other OTC:KCDMY)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:$10.50â–¼(-0.53% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/27/26

The overall score of 58 reflects a company with strong operational momentum and cash generation that is significantly overshadowed by a highly leveraged balance sheet and bearish market sentiment. The primary risk is the aggressive debt level, which makes the company vulnerable in a downturn. While the valuation is reasonable and the dividend yield is attractive, the technical trend is negative and the near-term demand outlook is weak. The company's ability to navigate cost pressures and sustain its cash flow to deleverage will be critical.

Positive Factors
Consumer Products GrowthRepeated Consumer Products growth and healthy market shares indicate durable brand relevance in essential hygiene categories. Continued volume and price/mix contributions support revenue resilience, while strong category positions can help preserve customer retention and competitive standing.
Negative Factors
High LeverageThe sharp increase in leverage makes the company more sensitive to earnings fluctuations and financing conditions. Higher debt can constrain capital allocation flexibility and increase the importance of sustained cash generation, particularly if demand or margins weaken.

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV (KCDMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%KCDMY+9.87%SPY+14.97%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$6.29B
Dividend Yield
5.64%
Average Volume (3M)
44.50K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.8
Beta (1Y)
0.12
Revenue Growth
13.74%
EPS Growth
24.96%
Country
US
Employees
9,400
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Household & Personal Products

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes a wide array of disposable consumer goods for everyday use across Mexico. The company's diverse product offering spans several categories: infant care...

How the Company Makes Money

Kimberly-Clark de México makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling branded hygiene and tissue products in Mexico. Revenue is generated through (1) consumer retail sales, where products such as diapers, feminine care, adult care, and tissue p...

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 20, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.06%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 19, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive, supported by higher year-to-date EBITDA and EPS, margin expansion, substantial cost savings, a strong balance sheet, continued Consumer Products growth, and encouraging private label, pet food, and innovation initiatives. However, the quarter also reflected flat total sales, weak consumer demand, declines in Away from Home and exports, higher SG&A and financing costs, and persistent cost pressures. Management remained confident in execution and potential 2027 improvement, but acknowledged that the near-term environment remains challenging.

Positive Updates

Consumer Products Delivered a Fifth Consecutive Quarter of Growth
Consumer Products sales increased 1.8%, with balanced contributions from 0.9% volume growth and 0.9% price and mix growth. The business grew for the fifth consecutive quarter, and management said market shares remained very healthy.

Negative Updates

Quarterly Sales Were Flat Year-Over-Year
Total sales were MXN 13.4 billion, in line with last year, with volume and price mix both flat.

Company Guidance

Management expects weak consumer demand to stretch through the end of the year, with cost pressures continuing through the fourth quarter, maybe at slightly lower levels, and expects a slightly better fourth quarter for Away from Home and a much better 2027. Going into 2027, it expects steady improvements in demand, improving growth rates and increased, although still moderate, domestic spending; Consumer Products could get back to growing at the rate seen in the first half of the year, or mid-single digit, if domestic consumption picks up. Private label will likely a little bit more than double in size this year, with the same thing expected to happen next year, while CapEx is expected to remain around between MXN 100 million and MXN 120 million for the year in 2027 and following years. The company remains comfortable staying within its 25% to 27% margin long-term range, expects its KCM plus initiatives and cost reduction program to accelerate, and expects a resolution on Kenvue Mexico by the fourth quarter.

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is a tale of two stories. Operational execution is strong, with robust TTM revenue growth of 20.1%, expanding margins, and excellent cash flow conversion (85.7% of net income). However, the balance sheet is a critical weakness, with a debt-to-equity ratio spiking to 7.45x, indicating an aggressive and risky capital structure. The overall score reflects this tension between strong profitability and high financial leverage.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

35Negative

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue56.30B51.94B54.78B53.31B51.06B46.89B
Gross Profit23.00B20.19B22.38B20.70B16.77B15.79B
EBITDA15.36B13.97B16.09B15.23B11.58B10.79B
Net Income7.94B7.11B7.83B7.01B4.94B4.49B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.45B45.71B52.11B53.92B53.54B48.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.23B9.68B15.58B16.86B16.92B12.27B
Total Debt30.03B21.36B28.10B29.72B34.15B29.83B
Total Liabilities51.01B38.46B44.70B47.00B48.51B43.06B
Stockholders Equity5.37B7.25B7.41B6.92B5.03B5.72B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow9.83B6.09B8.10B11.08B6.18B4.65B
Operating Cash Flow11.35B7.80B10.60B12.76B8.32B6.80B
Investing Cash Flow-1.28B-1.72B-1.30B-311.39M-2.15B-2.14B
Financing Cash Flow-287.88M-11.02B-13.50B-9.83B-1.32B-11.07B

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price10.56

Price Trends

50DMA10.63Negative
100DMA10.91Negative
200DMA11.06Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Negative
RSI53.81Neutral
STOCH83.00Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KCDMY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.29, below the 50-day MA of 10.63, and below the 200-day MA of 11.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.00 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for KCDMY.

Kimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

KCDMY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CHDCHD78Outperform$26.44B34.2718.21%1.10%1.70%2.07%
PGPG72Outperform$388.62B24.9529.55%2.57%3.52%-3.74%
CLXCLX64Neutral$12.95B19.42-1920.57%4.60%6.28%-13.15%
ULUL64Neutral$140.19B13.8858.26%3.26%-17.45%8.84%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
KCDMYKCDMY58Neutral$6.12B14.78165.92%5.64%13.74%24.96%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%KCDMYCHDCLXPGULDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
KCDMY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
KCDMYKimberly-Clark de Mexico SAB de CV (ADR)10.560.949.73%
CHDChurch & Dwight Company111.7329.4835.85%
CLXClorox Company108.2011.8912.34%
PGProcter & Gamble Company168.0326.3218.57%
ULUnilever plc66.034.196.77%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 27, 2026