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Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (9956) AI Stock Analysis

1 Followers
JP:9956

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.

(TSE/TYO:9956)

Select Model
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:JPY 1,694.00▲(8.52% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/12/26

The score is led by solid financial performance (steady growth, improving profitability, and manageable leverage) but tempered by thin net margins and volatile free cash flow. Valuation is a key positive with a low P/E and strong dividend yield, while technicals remain a headwind with the stock trading below major moving averages.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue GrowthSustained multi-year revenue growth indicates continued demand for the company’s retail offering and expanding sales across its operating base. Maintaining mid-single-digit growth provides a durable platform for operating improvement and supports reinvestment in stores, merchandising, and customer service over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Structurally Thin Net MarginsThin net margins leave limited room to absorb higher costs, weaker demand, or execution setbacks before earnings are affected. Margin volatility further reduces predictability, making sustained profit growth dependent on continued operating improvement and disciplined cost management within the retail business.

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. (9956) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%JP:9956+3.32%EWJ+15.75%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
JPY 185.83B
Dividend Yield
3.81%
Average Volume (3M)
419.78K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.8
Beta (1Y)
0.21
Revenue Growth
9.04%
EPS Growth
13.87%
Country
Japan
Employees
11,227
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Department Stores

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd., established in 1958 and headquartered in Tajimi, Japan, primarily operates supermarkets and home centers across the nation. Its retail footprint also extends to drugstores, sports clubs, and pet shops. Beyond direct retail,...

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Steady multi-year revenue growth and improved operating profitability in 2026 support the score, and leverage appears manageable with improving ROE. Offsetting this, net margins remain structurally thin and free-cash-flow conversion has been volatile, reducing earnings and cash-flow resilience.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

66Positive

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue946.00B924.11B854.43B807.79B759.98B732.52B
Gross Profit273.57B248.94B226.87B213.83B200.83B193.54B
EBITDA55.78B54.90B47.26B44.43B39.48B42.30B
Net Income18.97B16.48B13.65B11.95B7.60B9.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets527.60B514.86B460.07B444.81B417.11B410.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.57B32.98B22.63B29.60B21.48B23.26B
Total Debt138.18B147.94B128.57B123.05B118.78B125.45B
Total Liabilities319.58B311.54B272.02B265.48B249.58B247.85B
Stockholders Equity189.33B185.25B171.21B164.07B152.75B148.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow010.68B5.10B15.04B13.05B22.00M
Operating Cash Flow052.18B37.77B38.45B36.23B24.36B
Investing Cash Flow0-46.96B-39.89B-26.05B-25.72B-26.73B
Financing Cash Flow04.59B-4.69B-4.56B-12.33B-4.12B

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1561.00

Price Trends

50DMA1637.16Negative
100DMA1650.81Negative
200DMA1715.93Negative

Market Momentum

MACD11.96Positive
RSI41.90Neutral
STOCH39.25Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9956, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1561.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1657.05, below the 50-day MA of 1637.16, and below the 200-day MA of 1715.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 11.96 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:9956.

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

JP:9956 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
JP:2659JP:265979OutperformJPY 206.24B18.297.39%3.81%6.09%-0.75%
JP:8242JP:824273OutperformJPY 342.22B8.4012.34%1.74%-0.44%172.78%
JP:9956JP:995667NeutralJPY 200.01B8.77―3.81%9.04%13.87%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
JP:8278JP:827858NeutralJPY 177.44B20.34―1.49%-1.47%119.37%
JP:3222JP:322250NeutralJPY 162.13B-24.05―2.06%10.71%-523.13%
JP:8273JP:827348NeutralJPY 210.08B12.00―3.10%0.92%46.70%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%JP:9956JP:2659JP:8242JP:3222JP:8273JP:8278Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
JP:9956 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
JP:9956Valor Holdings Co., Ltd.1561.0094.236.42%
JP:2659SAN-A CO 3315.00586.3221.49%
JP:8242H2O Retailing Corporation2757.00669.9132.10%
JP:3222United Super Markets Holdings, Inc.777.00-66.00-7.83%
JP:8273Izumi Co., Ltd.967.0021.612.29%
JP:8278Fuji Co., Ltd.2019.0042.042.13%

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Valor Holdings Reports Monthly Business Results for October

Nov 11, 2026

Valor Holdings reported year-on-year monthly business results for the fiscal year ending March 2027 across grocery stores, pharmacies and home-improvement stores. For the current fiscal period, total sales growth was 6.1% for grocery stores, 2.5% for...

Valor Holdings Reports Six-Month Results Through September 2026

Nov 11, 2026

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd., listed on the Tokyo and Nagoya stock exchanges under code 9956, reported consolidated results for the six months ended September 30, 2026. Operating revenue rose 8.6% year over year to ¥489,204 million, while operating profi...

Valor Holdings Posts Mixed September Results as Supermarkets and Pharmacies Outperform DIY Stores

Oct 13, 2026

Valor Holdings reported mixed September performance across its main retail segments, with supermarkets and pharmacies posting modest year-on-year gains and home improvement stores remaining weak. Supermarket existing-store sales rose, driven by highe...

Valor Holdings Posts Mixed August Results Across Supermarkets, Pharmacies and Home Centers

Sep 10, 2026

Valor Holdings reported August 2026 monthly business results for its supermarket, pharmacy, and home improvement store operations for the fiscal year ending March 2027. Across the group’s 1,560 stores, the disclosure highlights year-on-year changes i...

Valor Holdings Confirms Auditor Review as Q1 Profit Jumps 64%

Aug 14, 2026

Valor Holdings Co., Ltd., a Tokyo and Nagoya-listed Japanese group, reported consolidated operating revenue of ¥243.4 billion for the three months ended June 30, 2026, up 9.9% year on year. Profit attributable to owners of the parent surged 64.3% to...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 12, 2026